Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2013
Gale Warning 957, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Dec 30, 2013, 4:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 15 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 30, 2013, 4:00 AM AKST (13:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 30, 2013, 7:20 PM AKST
- In force
- 15 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
402 FZAK52 PAFC 301241 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-310300- 400 AM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 982 MB LOW 70 NM SOUTHWEST OF ATTU MERGES INTO A COMPLEX CENTRAL BERING LOW ON TUE. A 987 MB LOW 175 NM SOUTH OF ADAK IS ABSORBED BY A 978 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT LATE MON NIGHT. THIS 978 MB LOW INTENSIFIES TO 971 MB TUE AFTERNOON NEAR CHIGNIK AND THEN CROSSES BRISTOL BAY TUE EVENING. THE LOW THEN WEAKENS TO 979 MB AS IT MOVES INLAND NEAR DILLINGHAM TUE NIGHT. $$ PKZ150-310300- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 AM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ155-310300- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ160-310300- BRISTOL BAY 400 AM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. .WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. .FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. $$ PKZ165-310300- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU AND FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ170-310300- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE 400 AM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ171-310300- UNALASKA BAY 400 AM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT THIS MORNING...THEN BECOMING S 10 KT LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ172-310300- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE 400 AM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ173-310300- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE 400 AM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ174-310300- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE 400 AM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ175-310300- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE 400 AM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ176-310300- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE 400 AM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ177-310300- ADAK TO KISKA 400 AM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...BERING SIDE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...BERING SIDE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ178-310300- KISKA TO ATTU 400 AM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. $$ PKZ179-310300- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS 400 AM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ180-310300- KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT 400 AM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO NE 35 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. .WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. $$ PKZ181-310300- NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND 400 AM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. $$ PKZ185-310300- SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 AM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ JM
2 follow-up statements
396 FZAK52 PAFC 310005 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-311500- 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 981 MB LOW 330 NM NORTHEAST OF SHEMYA WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY AND DISSIPATE LATE TUE NIGHT. A 984 MB LOW WILL FORM 320 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY MON EVENING AND RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN TO 967 MB 50 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHIGNIK TUE AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL THEN MOVE INLAND OVER BRISTOL BAY AT 976 MB LATE TUE NIGHT. A 978 MB LOW 270 NM SOUTHWEST OF ADAK LATE TUE NIGHT WILL STRENGTHEN TO 972 MB 50 NM SOUTHWEST OF ADAK WED AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ150-311500- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN. .WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ155-311500- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING W WIND 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED NIGHT AND THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ160-311500- BRISTOL BAY 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW. .TUE...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS BUILDING TO 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. .FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. $$ PKZ165-311500- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED NIGHT AND THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ170-311500- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ171-311500- UNALASKA BAY 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ172-311500- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ173-311500- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .FRI AND SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ174-311500- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI AND SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ175-311500- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ176-311500- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ177-311500- ADAK TO KISKA 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ178-311500- KISKA TO ATTU 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ179-311500- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ180-311500- KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. $$ PKZ181-311500- NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SNOW. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. .FRI AND SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. $$ PKZ185-311500- SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$
443 FZAK52 PAFC 310420 AAA CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 720 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 UPDATED ZONES 150 155 160 165 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-311500- 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 981 MB LOW 330 NM NORTHEAST OF SHEMYA WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY AND DISSIPATE LATE TUE NIGHT. A 984 MB LOW WILL FORM 320 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY MON EVENING AND RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN TO 967 MB 50 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHIGNIK TUE AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL THEN MOVE INLAND OVER BRISTOL BAY AT 976 MB LATE TUE NIGHT. A 978 MB LOW 270 NM SOUTHWEST OF ADAK LATE TUE NIGHT WILL STRENGTHEN TO 972 MB 50 NM SOUTHWEST OF ADAK WED AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ150-311500- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 720 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH TUE NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E AND INCREASING TO 50 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 55 KT BECOMING W 40 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN. .WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ155-311500- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 720 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...STORM WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 50 KT SHIFTING TO W 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED NIGHT AND THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ160-311500- BRISTOL BAY 720 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...STORM WARNING TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT SHIFTING TO W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. .WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. .FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. $$ PKZ165-311500- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 720 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED NIGHT AND THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ170-311500- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ171-311500- UNALASKA BAY 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ172-311500- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ173-311500- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .FRI AND SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ174-311500- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI AND SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ175-311500- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ176-311500- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ177-311500- ADAK TO KISKA 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ178-311500- KISKA TO ATTU 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ179-311500- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ180-311500- KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. $$ PKZ181-311500- NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SNOW. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. .FRI AND SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. $$ PKZ185-311500- SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 PM AKST MON DEC 30 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Dec 29, 2:00 PM AKST, 14 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 29, 2:00 PM AKST, 14 hours before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 200 PM AKST SUN DEC 29 2013 .ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS... THE ALASKAN DOMAIN IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A LARGELY ZONAL UPPER LEVEL PATTERN...WITH THE JET REMAINING SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS AND GULF OF ALASKA. AS IS TYPICAL WITH A HIGH ZONAL INDEX THERE ARE MULTIPLE FAIRLY WEAK DISTURBANCES MOVING THROUGH THE PATTERN. A DE-AMPLIFYING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS LIFTING NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE GULF...WITH A WEAK SURFACE LOW BEGINNING TO DEVELOP SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND WHERE LIGHT RAIN HAS BEGUN TO FALL. WHILE THIS TROUGH IS BRINGING WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS TO THE REST OF SOUTHCENTRAL THERE IS VERY LITTLE PRECIPITATION FALLING AT THIS TIME AS THE JET ENERGY IS ALREADY BEGINNING TO SHUNT MOST OF THE UPPER LEVEL ENERGY EASTWARD INTO THE PANHANDLE. HOWEVER...RIDGING AND RELATIVELY WEAK FLOW AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH HAVE ALLOWED AREAS OF STRATUS AND FOG TO DEVELOP AND PERSIST FROM COOK INLET TO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND EVEN THE COPPER RIVER BASIN. FURTHER WEST...A NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH IS SUPPORTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SURFACE LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN BERING WITH GUSTY WINDS AND LIGHT RAIN OCCURRING FROM THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TO THE ALASKA PENINSULA. .MODEL DISCUSSION... THE MODELS ALL SHOW AN AMPLIFICATION OF THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AS THE JET STREAM BUCKLES OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS AND ALLOWS A MUCH MORE SUBSTANTIAL LOW TO FORM SOMEWHERE IN THE VICINITY OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA ON TUESDAY. HOWEVER...EVEN SOME OF THE BASIC DETAILS OF THIS TRANSITION ARE UNCLEAR. THE NAM IS FURTHER EAST THAN ANY MODEL WITH THIS DEVELOPING LOW...NOT SURPRISING GIVEN THE ZONAL JET BRINGING FEATURES IN FROM OUTSIDE THE MODEL DOMAIN (A KNOWN WEAKNESS). AS A RESULT...THE NAM CAN BE TOSSED OUT TODAY. SEVERAL RUNS OF THE GEMGLB HAVE BEEN EXTREMELY FAST AND FURTHER NORTH THAN THE OTHER MODELS...SO DESPITE A 12Z SOLUTION THAT MAY BE FINALLY COMING INTO LINE...IT CANNOT BE TRUSTED. THE GFS AND EC HAVE EACH BEEN A BIT MORE CONSISTENT...BUT HAVE SOME DIFFERENCES WITH HOW QUICKLY MULTIPLE PIECES OF ATMOSPHERIC ENERGY COMBINE INTO A SINGLE UNIFIED LOW CENTER. THESE DIFFERENCES LIKELY STEM FROM A DIFFERENCE IN HOW DEVELOPED THE UPPER LOW WILL BECOME OVER THE CENTRAL BERING ON MONDAY. THE GFS KEEPS THIS UPPER FEATURE STRONGER...WHICH DELAYS HOW QUICKLY THE ENERGY TRANSFERS AND CONSOLIDATES OVER THE EASTERN BERING. AS A RESULT...THE SURFACE LOW KICKS EASTWARD TOWARD SHELIKOF STRAIT BEFORE RE-CURVING INTO BRISTOL BAY TUE EVENING. THE ECMWF HAS BEEN A BIT MORE CONSISTENT DEVELOPING A UNIFIED LOW CENTER EARLIER THAN THE GFS...INSTEAD TRACKING A LOW NORTHWARD DIRECTLY ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA. THIS SOLUTION (ECMWF) IS THE PREFERRED SOLUTION TODAY BASED ON BOTH RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY AND A DESIRE TO MAINTAIN SOME CONTINUITY WITH THE EXISTING FORECAST. .SHORT TERM FORECAST... SOUTHCENTRAL...MULTIPLE SURFACE LOWS WILL DEVELOP IN THE GULF OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS UPPER TROUGH LIFTS INTO THE AREA. THE FIRST IS CURRENTLY DEVELOPING SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND WHERE LIGHT RAIN HAS BEGUN WITH SHOWERS BEGINNING TO SPREAD NORTHWARD TOWARD THE GULF COAST. A GALE-FORCE BARRIER JET WILL FORM ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST AND THE COAST OF THE EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA THIS EVENING AS THE AFOREMENTIONED LOWS STRENGTHENS AND MOVES TOWARD THE CENTRAL GULF. GENERALLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD TO MOST OF THE COASTLINES THIS EVENING...FALLING MAINLY AS SNOW WITH MINIMAL ACCUMULATIONS. BY LATE TONIGHT A NEW LOW WILL FORM OVER THE EASTERN GULF AND QUICKLY PULL PRECIP TOWARD THE PANHANDLE. ANOTHER FAST-MOVING SHORTWAVE WILL JAZZ UP THE LINGERING LOW IN THE GULF ON MONDAY AFTERNOON...THOUGH THE MAIN IMPACT WILL SIMPLY BE A CONTINUATION OF SCATTERED SHOWERS ALONG THE COASTLINES AND ACROSS THE GULF. SOUTHWEST...BROAD SOUTHEAST FLOW WITH MULTIPLE UPPER WAVES MOVING THROUGH WILL KEEP SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL BE SNOW NORTH OF A LINE FROM KING SALMON TO CAPE NEWENHAM...WITH MINOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED THROUGH TOMORROW. A MUCH MORE SIGNIFICANT STORM WILL AFFECT THE REGION ON TUESDAY WITH STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY PRECIPITATION. THE EXACT STORM TRACK WILL DETERMINE HOW MUCH WARM AIR IS PULLED OVER THE ALEUTIAN RANGE AND INTO THE AREA...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG CHINOOK WINDS POSSIBLE AT MANY LOCATIONS. ALSO DEPENDENT ON THE TRACK OF THE LOW IS DETERMINING POTENTIAL FOR VERY STRONG WINDS TO DEVELOP OVER A MORE WIDESPREAD PORTION OF INTERIOR BRISTOL BAY ZONE...WHERE HEAVY SNOW OR A RAIN/SNOW MIX IS ALSO A POSSIBILITY. BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...MULTIPLE FAIRLY WEAK LOW PRESSURE CENTERS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS...BRINGING PERIODS OF RAIN AND NEAR GALE-FORCE WINDS TO MUCH OF THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN. UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS THE DOWNSTREAM JET AMPLIFIES. AS THIS HAPPENS...COLD AIR WILL SLOWLY BLEED BACK IN FROM THE NORTH AND WEST...RETURNING TEMPERATURES TO MORE SEASONABLE LEVELS. .LONG TERM FORECAST... EXTENDED MODELS SUGGEST A RESURGENCE OF A RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC AND GULF OF ALASKA BY NEXT WEEKEND AS A DEEP UPPER TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER BOTH EASTERN RUSSIA AND CENTRAL NORTH AMERICA. THIS WOULD KEEP ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS SOUTHERN ALASKA...WITH A POTENTIALLY ACTIVE STORM TRACK INTO THE EASTERN BERING. .AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY PUBLIC...NONE MARINE...GALE 119 120 131 150 155 172 174 177 178 FIRE WEATHER...NONE AMD DEC 13
The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 4:00 PM AKST | Brisk Wind Advisory | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Dec 29, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 50 hr | |
| Dec 29, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Dec 29, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 50 hr | |
| Dec 29, 4:00 PM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Dec 30, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 38 hr | |
| Dec 30, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 38 hr | |
| Dec 30, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Dec 30, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 38 hr | |
| Dec 30, 4:00 AM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 7 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.