Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2013

Gale Warning 91, NWS Anchorage, AK

January 22, 2013

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Jan 22, 2013, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 22, 2013, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
Expired
Jan 23, 2013, 4:00 PM AKST
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

529 
FZAK51 PAFC 230009
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 22 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-231500-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 22 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 983 MB LOW 320 NM SOUTH OF CAPE SUCKLING WILL MOVE TO 80 NM EAST 
OF SITKINAK WED AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE TO 180 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK
AND WEAKEN TO 991 MB BEFORE DISSIPATING THU AFTERNOON. A 990 MB LOW
WILL FORM 270 NM SOUTH OF CAPE SUCKLING THU AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-231500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 22 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-231500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 22 2013

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S
OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-231500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 22 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE...E
GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ126-231500-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 22 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ127-231500-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 22 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-231500-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-231500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 22 2013

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND 
SNOW. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-231500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 22 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT 45 KT BARREN ISLANDS AND W. SEAS 15
FT EXCEPT 8 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-231500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-231500-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-231500-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-231500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 22 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-231500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 22 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT EXCEPT N 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT N 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-231500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 22 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

JM
3 follow-up statements
013 
FZAK51 PAFC 231245
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-240300-
400 AM AKST WED JAN 23 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 982 MB 200 NM EAST OF KODIAK ISLAND WILL WEAKEN TO 987 MB AS IT
MOVES TO 190 NM EAST OF SAND POINT WED EVENING. A 988 MB LOW WILL
MOVE TO 310 NM WEST OF HAIDA GWAII AT 987 MB THU EVENING.

$$

PKZ120-240300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-240300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-240300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-240300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-240300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-240300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-240300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-240300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT E 20 KT EAST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-240300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-240300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-240300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-240300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-240300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT N 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT SUBSIDING TO 1 FOOT IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-240300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT.
SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$
562 
FZAK51 PAFC 231415 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

CORRECTED SYNOPSIS

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-240300-
400 AM AKST WED JAN 23 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 982 MB LOW 200 NM EAST OF KODIAK ISLAND WILL WEAKEN TO 987 MB AS IT
MOVES TO 190 NM EAST OF SAND POINT WED EVENING. A 988 MB LOW WILL
MOVE TO 310 NM WEST OF HAIDA GWAII AT 987 MB THU EVENING.

$$

PKZ120-240300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-240300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-240300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-240300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-240300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-240300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-240300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-240300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT E 20 KT EAST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-240300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-240300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-240300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-240300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-240300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT N 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT SUBSIDING TO 1 FOOT IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-240300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT.
SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$
648 
FZAK51 PAFC 240023
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-241500-
400 PM AKST WED JAN 23 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 982 MB LOW 90 NM EAST OF SITKINAK WILL MOVE TO 80 NM SOUTHWEST OF
SITKINAK AT 987 MB AND THEN DISSIPATE THU MORNING. A 988 MB NORTH
PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 200 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT AT 993 MB FRI
AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-241500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-241500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-241500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE...GUSTS TO 35 KT
IN THE EVENING. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ126-241500-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ127-241500-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-241500-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-241500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-241500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FROM
THE BARREN ISLAND E...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30
KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-241500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI AN FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-241500-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-241500-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-241500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-241500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 3 FT SUBSIDING TO 1 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT BUILDING TO
5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-241500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST WED JAN 23 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 
KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

JM

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jan 22, 11:30 AM AKST, 4 hours 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 22, 11:30 AM AKST, 4 hours 30 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1130 AM AKST TUE JAN 22 2013

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...THE UPPER LEVEL WAVE PATTERN HAS
CONTINUED ITS EASTWARD PROGRESSION THE PAST 24 HOURS...PUSHING
THE RIDGE (WHICH HAD BEEN OVER THE EAST PACIFIC) INLAND ACROSS
WESTERN NORTH AMERICA. THE LONG-WAVE TROUGH NOW ENCOMPASSES ALL
BUT THE NORTHEASTERN PORTION OF MAINLAND ALASKA...EXTENDING FROM
ASIA ACROSS THE ENTIRE NORTH PACIFIC. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TWO
LARGE LOWS IN THE FORECAST AREA...ONE MODERATE STRENGTH VERTICALLY
STACKED LOW TRACKING NORTHWARD INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA AND A MUCH
DEEPER AND MATURE LOW PASSING SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS. UPPER WAVES
AND ASSOCIATED MOISTURE ARE FLOWING NORTHWESTWARD FROM THE GULF
LOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND TO THE NORTHERN BERING. THE BULK
OF PRECIPITATION IS FALLING ALONG THE COASTAL ZONE THANKS TO LOW
LEVEL EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW. QUITE A BIT OF WARM AIR HAS ADVECTED
OVER THE COASTAL RANGE AS SEEN IN THE 12Z ANCHORAGE SOUNDING. THIS
PRODUCED SOME ISOLATED AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN IN THE ANCHORAGE
AREAS EARLY THIS MORNING. THE LOW SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS HAS
BOTTOMED OUT AND WILL BEGIN TO FILL THIS AFTERNOON. WEAK RIDGING
OVER THE CENTRAL BERING HAS HELPED SLOW THE PROGRESSION OF THE
LOW AND IS CAUSING IT TO TAKE MORE OF AN EASTERLY TRACK.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH LOW POSITIONS
THAN THEY HAVE BEEN OVER THE PAST COUPLE DAYS. SOME LARGER
DIFFERENCES DO EVOLVE ON THURSDAY AS COMPLEX SERIES OF LOWS ROTATE
AROUND EACH OTHER ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC AND GULF. THE ENTIRE
COMPLEX WILL BE SHIFTING EASTWARD TOWARD SOUTHEAST ALASKA AND
CANADA...SO THESE DIFFERENCES REALLY ONLY AFFECT THE WIND FORECAST
FOR THE GULF OFFSHORE WATERS. WILL SIDE WITH THE ECMWF FOR THE TIME
BEING. ONE FEATURE WHICH WILL LIKELY HAVE MUCH GREATER IMPACT ON
THE FORECAST IS A TROUGH DROPPING DOWN OUT OF THE ARCTIC ACROSS
MAINLAND ALASKA THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. MODELS ALL SHOW THE SAME GENERAL
IDEA BUT DIFFER ON ORIENTATION AND AMPLITUDE AS THIS TROUGH REACHES
SOUTHCENTRAL. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR ANCHORAGE AND THE MAT VALLEY
TO SEE SOME SNOW OUT OF THIS...BUT WILL HAVE TO WAIT TO SEE HOW
SUCCESSIVE MODEL RUNS HANDLE THE TROUGH.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...FLOW WILL BACK TOWARD THE NORTH OUT AHEAD OF
THE LOW MOVING INTO THE GULF THIS AFTERNOON WHICH WILL CAUSE PRECIP
TO DIMINISH OR TAPER OFF ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST AND PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND AREAS. HOWEVER...THE REMNANTS OF THE OCCLUDED FRONT
ALONG WITH AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVE WILL ROTATE NORTHWESTWARD INTO
THE COPPER BASIN AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIP. SOME OF THE
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS MAY MAKE IT OVER THE MOUNTAINS TO
ANCHORAGE AND THE MAT-SU...BUT ANYTHING THAT DOES WILL BE LIGHT
AND SHORT-LIVED BECAUSE THE SHORT-WAVE WILL SHEAR APART WITH TIME.
THE LOW WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES TO NEAR KODIAK ISLAND LATE WEDNESDAY
AND MAINTAIN AREAS OF LIGHT PRECIP OR SHOWERS ALONG THE GULF COAST.
A PATTERN CHANGE WILL THEN ENSUE AS WE HEAD THROUGH THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY AS THE LOW COMPLEX OVER THE GULF AND NORTHEAST PACIFIC EXITS
TO THE EAST AND A TROUGH DROPS DOWN FROM THE NORTH BRINGING ARCTIC
AIR BACK TO SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. AS MENTION DIN THE MODEL DISCUSSION
ABOVE...THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR SNOW AS THE TROUGH DROPS DOWN...BUT
IT IS TOO EARLY TO SAY WHICH AREAS WILL GET SNOW AND HOW MUCH WILL
FALL. THE HIGHER PROBABILITY ASPECT OF THE FORECAST IS THAT STRONG
GAP WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL AND THE GULF AS ARCTIC
AIR ARRIVES FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...WEAK UPPER LEVEL WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSIT
SOUTHWEST ALASKA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING PRODUCING AREAS
OF PRECIP. THINGS WILL THEN BEGIN TO DRY OUT AS FLOW BACKS TOWARD
THE NORTH OUT AHEAD OF LOW MOVING ACROSS THE GULF OF ALASKA. THERE
MIGHT STILL BE A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS IN THE BRISTOL BAY AREA INTO
WEDNESDAY WITH THE LOW MOVING TO THE WESTERN GULF...BUT ANYTHING
THAT FALLS WILL BE SHIRT-LIVED. MUCH COLDER AND DRIER AIR IS IN
STORE FOR THE END OF THE WEEK AS A TROUGH DROPS DOWN FROM THE
ARCTIC.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...THE STRONG LOW CROSSING THE NORTH PACIFIC
THIS MORNING WILL JUST GRAZE THE THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WITH A
LITTLE WIND. ANOTHER LOW CURRENTLY OVER THE WESTERN PACIFIC WILL
RAPIDLY DEEPEN TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AND THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT
MOVES TO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS LATER THIS WEEK. THE RIDGE BUILDING
OUT AHEAD OF IT WILL CAUSE THE LOW TO INITIALLY CURVE NORTHWARD
AND THEN STALL RIGHT OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS AS WE HEAD INTO
THE WEEKEND. THE EASTERN BERING WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY QUIET THE
NEXT FEW DAYS WITH JUST A FEW WEAK FEATURES MOVING THROUGH THE AREA.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...MEDIUM RANGES MODELS HAVE TAKEN A TURN FOR
THE WORSE...WITH EXTREMELY POOR RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY AND A HUGE
SPREAD IN SOLUTIONS AMONG THE VARIOUS INDIVIDUAL MODELS AND
ENSEMBLES. THE KEY FEATURE IS A LOW MOVING NORTHWARD OUT OF THE
NORTH-CENTRAL PACIFIC NEXT WEEKEND AND TOWARD THE EASTERN
BERING/ALASKA PENINSULA. SOME SOLUTIONS ULTIMATELY TRACK THE LOW
INTO THE GULF WHILE OTHER BRING IT INTO THE CENTRAL BERING. BASED
ON THIS...FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR NEXT WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK IS LOW.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 120 130 138 140 172 176.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEB JAN 13

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 22, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Jan 22, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Jan 23, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC7 days
Jan 23, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC3 days
Jan 23, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Jan 23, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Jan 23, 4:00 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC36 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2013Every gale warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.