Gale Warning 896, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 110155 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
455 PM AKST TUE DEC 10 2013

CORRECTION TO ZONE 119 

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-111500-
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 10 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 986 MB LOW 350 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK WILL MOVE TO 325 NM SOUTHEAST
OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 984 MB WED AFTERNOON AND THEN TO 50 NM WEST OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 996 MB THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-111500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 10 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. GUSTS TO
45 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. AREAS
OF FOG. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA.
SEAS 11 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-111500-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 10 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 9
FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-111500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 10 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-111500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 10 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4
FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-111500-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 10 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-111500-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 10 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-111500-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 10 2013

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  PATCHY FOG. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-111500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 10 2013

.TONIGHT...W WIND LESS THAN 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG.

.WED...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT.  PATCHY
FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-111500-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 10 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-111500-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 10 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.  
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-111500-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 10 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE IN THE
EVENING. SEAS 15 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-111500-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 10 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-111500-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 10 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-111500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 10 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-111500-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 10 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 9
FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-111500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 10 2013

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.  PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-111500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 10 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3
FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 111235
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST WED DEC 11 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-120300-
400 AM AKST WED DEC 11 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 982 MB LOW 270 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK WILL WEAKEN TO 989 MB THU
MORNING 130 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT BAY...THEN WEAKEN TO 996 MB THU
AFTERNOON 20 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND BEFORE DISSIPATING LATE
THU NIGHT. A WEATHER FRONT WILL ENTER THE WESTERN GULF LATE THU
NIGHT.
$$

PKZ119-120300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 AM AKST WED DEC 11 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  
$$

PKZ120-120300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST WED DEC 11 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
$$

PKZ121-120300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST WED DEC 11 2013

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING 
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S
OF CAINES HEAD. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ125-120300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST WED DEC 11 2013

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 4
FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE
MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ126-120300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKST WED DEC 11 2013

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ127-120300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKST WED DEC 11 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TONIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ128-120300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKST WED DEC 11 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-120300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST WED DEC 11 2013

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
40 KT NEAR WHITTIER MAINLY IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT.
SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
$$

PKZ130-120300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 AM AKST WED DEC 11 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
$$

PKZ131-120300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 AM AKST WED DEC 11 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
$$

PKZ132-120300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST WED DEC 11 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  
$$

PKZ136-120300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKST WED DEC 11 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ137-120300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKST WED DEC 11 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-120300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST WED DEC 11 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NORTH SIDE...N WIND 30 KT IN THE EVENING DIMINISHING TO 20
KT. SOUTH SIDE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING W 20 KT.
SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
$$

PKZ139-120300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 AM AKST WED DEC 11 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-120300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 AM AKST WED DEC 11 2013

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO
4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-120300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST WED DEC 11 2013

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
145 PM AKST TUE DEC 10 2013

CORRECTED TYPOS

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE GULF OF
ALASKA IS RAPIDLY WEAKENING AND MOVING TO THE EAST AS AN UPPER LEVEL
LOW SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA MOVES INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA.
A WEAK SHORT WAVE IS MOVING OUT OF THE INTERIOR OF THE STATE AND INTO
SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA AND THE COPPER RIVER BASIN...WITH THE BULK OF
THE ASSOCIATED LIFT IN THE COPPER RIVER BASIN.
AT THE SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE MAJORITY OF THE STATE. A
MODERATE LOW SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND IS TRACKING NORTHEAST INTO THE
GULF OF ALASKA AS A WEAK LOW IN THE WESTERN BERING SEA HEADS TOWARD
THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE DOING WELL WITH THE FIRST LOW THAT
WILL BE MOVING INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA AND ARE GOOD WITH THE SYNOPTIC
PATTERN WITH THE SECOND ONE. THE SECOND ONE IS GIVING ALL THE MODELS
TROUBLE AS IT MOVES INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA THURSDAY. THERE IS
DISAGREEMENT AS TO WHETHER THE LOW WILL SPLIT INTO TWO DISTINCT
CENTERS OR WHETHER IT WILL REMAIN CONSOLIDATED INTO ONE CENTER. THE
MOVEMENT OF THE WARM FRONT TOWARD THE GULF COAST IS ALSO A POINT OF
CONTENTION. THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO EACH OTHER TO
GIVE A REASONABLE SOLUTION AT THIS TIME BUT THE NAM IS A BIT OF AN
OUTLIER WITH ITS STRUCTURE...WHICH DOES NOT SEEM AS REASONABLE AT
THIS TIME. IN SHORT THE NAM IS GOOD FOR THE FIRST TWO DAYS OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD BUT A BLEND OF THE ECMWF AND GFS LOOKS MUCH BETTER AS
WE MOVE INTO THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...THE WIDESPREAD FOG IS DISSIPATING AS THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE MOVES OUT OF THE AREA AND THE SURFACE GRADIENT INCREASES. THIS
WILL ALLOW BETTER MIXING OF THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE AS WELL AS AN INFLUX
OF DRIER AIR INTO THE AREA. THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING INTO
THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING IS PRODUCING SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL
IN THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AND A FEW PLACES IN THE SUSITNA VALLEY.
THE INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THE WINDS
THROUGH CHANNELED TERRAIN TONIGHT AND PERSIST INTO THURSDAY. THE
MATANUSKA VALLEY IS LIKELY TO SEE THE STRONGEST OF THESE WINDS OVER
THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

SOUTHWEST...THE INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO
INCREASE WINDS OVER THE AREA AS WELL AS BRING IN DRIER AIR AND SOME
CLEARING SKIES.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...THE LONGER TERM FORECAST IS TRICKY DUE TO THE
AMOUNT THE DETAILS WILL DICTATE WHAT WILL HAPPEN. WHAT DOES LOOK
CERTAIN IS THAT A LARGE HIGH WILL BUILD OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA
WITH THE LOW MOVING INTO THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA. THIS WILL KEEP
THE BERING SEA REGION INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA MOSTLY DRY UNDER THE
RIDGE. SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA IS ANOTHER STORY. THERE LOOKS TO BE SNOW
ALONG THE GULF COAST BY THURSDAY WITH IT POSSIBLY MIXING WITH OR
TURNING TO RAIN AS THE WARM FRONT MOVES OVER THE AREA. INLAND AREAS
OF SOUTHCENTRAL WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE EXACT TRACK THE LOW
TAKES AS WELL AS THE ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT. THERE LOOKS LIKE THERE
WILL BE A SHOT OF SNOW DUE TO OVERRUNNING AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES INTO
SOUTHCENTRAL AND THEN THE DOWN-SLOPING WILL SHUT IT OFF OVER LOWER
ELEVATIONS...INCLUDING THE ANCHORAGE AREA. BY SATURDAY THE STORM
SHOULD START TO BRING COLDER AIR BACK OVER THE SOUTHCENTERAL AREA AS
WELL AS CUT OFF THE DOWN-SLOPING WINDS. THIS INCREASES THE CHANCES OF
SNOWFALL AT THAT TIME. IT IS WORTH WATCHING THIS STORM
DEVELOP AS THERE ARE MANY DIFFERENT WAYS THIS EVENT MAY PLAY OUT.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 126 127 128 130 132 138 139 150.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 126 127 180 181.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

DEC 13