Gale Warning 874, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 011613 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
705 AM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

UPDATE TO ZONES 119 120 125 127 AND 128

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-020300-
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE NORTHERN GULF 
THROUGH SUN. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD OVERHEAD ON MON AND
CONTINUE THROUGH TUE.

$$

PKZ119-020300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA.
SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-020300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT DURING THE MORNING OUT OF BAYS
AND PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-020300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
40 KT DURING THE MORNING. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE
MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-020300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
705 AM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES DURING
THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-020300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 4
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-020300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
705 AM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-020300-
VALDEZ ARM
705 AM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-020300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT NEAR WHITTIER DURING THE
MORNING DIMINISHING TO 45 KT DURING THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY NEAR WHITTIER. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER DURING THE
EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR WHITTIER. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-020300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-020300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS
6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-020300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-020300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT DURING THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-020300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT DURING THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 1 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-020300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-020300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-020300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-020300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 020005
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-021500-
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WILL WEAKEN THROUGH
TUE AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE CENTRAL GULF. A WEAK WEATHER
FRONT APPROACHES KODIAK ISLAND LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-021500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA
IN THE EVENING DIMINISHING TO 30 KT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT
OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA IN THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-021500-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. N GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-021500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING.

.MON...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2
FT.  
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-021500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE
EVENING. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-021500-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-021500-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
3 FT.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.   

$$

PKZ128-021500-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.   

$$

PKZ129-021500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
35 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY
IN THE EVENING NEAR WHITTIER. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   

$$

PKZ130-021500-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-021500-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING NEAR THE
BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-021500-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT EXCEPT 25 KT SOUTH OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
9 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-021500-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-021500-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.WED THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-021500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED THROUGH FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.   

$$

PKZ139-021500-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10
KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-021500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-021500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 1 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1227 PM AKST SAT NOV 30 2013

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A VERY HIGH AMPLITUDE PATTERN REMAINS
IN PLACE WITH A STRONG RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE BERING EXTENDING
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTHWEST ALASKA AND A LARGE MULTI-CENTERED
LOW OVER THE EASTERN ALASKA MAINLAND AND INTO NORTHWEST CANADA.
ARCTIC AIR IS FIRMLY ENTRENCHED OVER THE MAINLAND AND GAP WINDS ARE
IN FULL FORCE ALONG THE GULF COAST. A VORT-MAX ON THE WEST SIDE OF
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS TRACKING SOUTHWARD ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL THIS
MORNING ON ITS WAY TO THE GULF. STRONG SYNOPTIC SCALE SUBSIDENCE
WITH THIS FEATURE WILL ENHANCE WINDS ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL AS IT MOVES
THROUGH. ALSO OF NOTE IS A 100 KT+ NORTHERLY JET BETWEEN THE RIDGE
AND LOW WHICH WILL ALSO AID IN ENHANCING WINDS IN THE WAKE OF THE
VORT-MAX. MEANWHILE...ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE BERING SEA RIDGE A
SHORT-WAVE TROUGH WHICH MOVED OUT OF ASIA HAS LED TO DEVELOPMENT
OF A SURFACE LOW SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. THIS LOW IS BEING
FORCED NORTHWARD UP THE WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE ACCOMPANIED BY WARMER
AND MOISTER AIR.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH LARGE SCALE
FEATURES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MINOR DIFFERENCES DEVELOP WITH
SYSTEM OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC MONDAY AND TIMING OF WARM
FRONT MOVING INTO THE BERING SEA. OF MORE SIGNIFICANCE IS A CHANGE
FROM YESTERDAY IN DEPICTION OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AS IT MOVES
EASTWARD OVER MAINLAND ALASKA. WHEREAS MODEL SOLUTIONS FROM THE
PAST FEW DAYS INDICATED THE RIDGE WOULD SLIDE QUICKLY EASTWARD
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AND ALLOW WARM AIR TO RAPIDLY RIDE NORTHWARD
INTO WESTERN ALASKA...THE LATEST SOLUTIONS ALL REFLECT MORE
SIGNIFICANT RIDGING OUT AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM OVER THE NORTH-CENTRAL
PACIFIC WHICH CAUSES A DELAY IN ARRIVAL OF THE WARMEST AIR AND
PRECIPITATION UNTIL MID WEEK. THERE WILL STILL BE SOME WARMING AS
THE RIDGE MOVES OVER THE MAINLAND...JUST NOT QUITE AS MUCH AS
EARLIER THOUGHT.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...THE PASSAGE OF THE UPPER LEVEL VORT-MAX WILL
KICK WINDS UP ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA THIS AFTERNOON. WITH A
STEEP SURFACE-BASED INVERSION IN PLACE THIS WILL LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT
JUMPS IN TEMPERATURE. AND AS WINDS DIE BACK DOWN OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUICK TO FALL. IN THE WAKE OF THE VORT-MAX
THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST WITH THE STRONG
NORTHERLY JET TRANSLATING EASTWARD WITH THE RIDGE. VERTICAL
CIRCULATIONS ASSOCIATED WITH THE JET WILL ENHANCE DOWNWARD MOTION
OVER SOUTHCENTRAL AND STRONGER WINDS FROM ALOFT WILL MIX DOWNWARD
TOWARD THE SURFACE. ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL WILL INTENSIFY ACROSS THE
REGION THE MOST FAVORABLE SET-UP WHEN LOOKING AT ALL THE CONTRIBUTING
FACTORS WILL BE IN THE VALDEZ AREA AS WELL AS THROUGH THE COPPER
RIVER DELTA - WHERE HIGH WIND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. THE UPPER JET WILL EXIT TO THE EAST DURING THE DAY
SUNDAY...BUT WITH A VERY STRONG SURFACE HIGH OVER INTERIOR ALASKA
PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL BE SLOW TO SLACKEN AND GAP WINDS ALONG THE
NORTH GULF COAST WILL CONTINUE TO BLOW. WINDS WILL FINALLY WIND DOWN
SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVERHEAD AND A SURFACE HIGH
DEVELOPS OVER THE GULF. THERE WILL BE SOME MODERATION OF TEMPERATURES

AS WARMER AIR MOVES IN WITH THE RIDGE. HOWEVER...AS DISCUSSED ABOVE
IN THE MODEL DISCUSSION SECTION THIS WARMING IS LOOKING LESS
IMPRESSIVE IN THE MOST RECENT MODEL RUNS. IN ADDITION THE BULK OF
WARMING WILL OCCUR ALOFT AND SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLOWER TO
MODERATE. AS THE TEMPERATURE INVERSIONS STEEPEN DUE TO SUBSIDENCE
FROM THE RIDGE AND ADVECTION OF WARMER AIR FOG WILL BECOME MORE
WIDESPREAD...ESPECIALLY IN THE COOK INLET REGION.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE A BIT OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS AS THE UPPER RIDGE MOVES BY AND FLOW SHIFTS AROUND TO THE
SOUTH. A MORE SIGNIFICANT WARM-UP NOW LOOKS LIKE IT WILL HOLD OFF
UNTIL TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS A WARM FRONT MOVES UP FROM THE NORTH
PACIFIC. THIS WILL LEAD TO SOME PRECIP-TYPE ISSUES WHEN PRECIP FIRST
ARRIVES BEFORE TEMPS WARM ENOUGH FOR RAIN. THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF
UNCERTAINTY IN THE PROGRESSION OF THE FRONT...SO ITS A BIT TOO EARLY
TO FIGURE OUT THE DETAILS.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...THE LOW NEAR THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL
TRACK NORTH TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY WHILE THE UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO
EXIT TO MAINLAND ALASKA. A WEAKER RIDGE WILL TRANSIT THE REGION
MONDAY...BUT THEN TROUGHS MOVING OUT OF THE NORTH PACIFIC AND ASIA
WILL BRING MORE ACTIVE WEATHER BACK TO THE REGION BY MID WEAK.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...MODELS ARE STRUGGLING WITH CONSISTENCY IN
POSITION/ORIENTATION OF THE MEAN UPPER RIDGE DURING THE DAY 4
THROUGH 7 TIME PERIOD. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT ACTIVE WEATHER
WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS UNDER THE UPPER TROUGH.
THE BIG QUESTION IS HOW FAR INTO MAINLAND ALASKA WILL THE INFLUENCE
OF SYSTEMS OUT WEST EXTEND. THERE HAS BEEN A TREND TOWARD STRONGER
RIDGING WHICH MAY KEEP SOUTHCENTRAL MOSTLY DRY UNTIL THE END OF NEXT
WEEK OR INTO NEXT WEEKEND. THERE IS HIGHER CONFIDENCE THAT SOUTHWEST
ALASKA WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE SYSTEMS ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF
THE UPPER RIDGE.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING 131 135.
         WIND CHILL ADVISORY 131.
MARINE...STORM WARNING...127 128.
         GALE WARNING...121 126 129 131 132 173 174 175 176 177 178.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...121 125 126 127 128 129 130
                                        139 140 150 160.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEB NOV 13