Gale Warning 829, NWS Anchorage, AK

996 
FZAK51 PAFC 270831 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1130 PM AKST TUE NOV 26 2013

UPDATED ZONE 131

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-271500-
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 26 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT OVER THE
WESTERN GULF...THEN REDEVELOP ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST WED
MORNING THROUGH THU AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ119-271500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 26 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. ALONG THE COAST...EAST WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-271500-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 26 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-271500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 26 2013

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-271500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 26 2013

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE IN THE EVENING.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ126-271500-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 26 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-271500-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 26 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-271500-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 26 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-271500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 26 2013

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT. 
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-271500-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 26 2013

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-271500-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
1130 PM AKST TUE NOV 26 2013

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-271500-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 26 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT 15 KT S OF DANGEROUS CAPE. 
SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-271500-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 26 2013

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-271500-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 26 2013

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-271500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 26 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 25 KT 
OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-271500-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 26 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS 
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-271500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 26 2013

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-271500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 26 2013

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

508 
FZAK51 PAFC 271549 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST WED NOV 27 2013

CORRECTED ZONE 125

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-280300-
400 AM AKST WED NOV 27 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 998 MB LOW 120 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKA WILL DRIFT
ONSHORE NEAR YAKUTAT LATE TONIGHT. A 997 MB LOW WILL FORM IN THE
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND THU MORNING AND MOVE TO 80 NM WEST OF YAKUTAT
FRI MORNING AT 1002 MB.

$$

PKZ119-280300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 AM AKST WED NOV 27 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-280300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST WED NOV 27 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-280300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST WED NOV 27 2013

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-280300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST WED NOV 27 2013

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS AND
PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-280300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKST WED NOV 27 2013

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW
AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-280300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKST WED NOV 27 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-280300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKST WED NOV 27 2013

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-280300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST WED NOV 27 2013

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-280300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 AM AKST WED NOV 27 2013

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-280300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 AM AKST WED NOV 27 2013

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-280300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST WED NOV 27 2013

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-280300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKST WED NOV 27 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-280300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKST WED NOV 27 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-280300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST WED NOV 27 2013

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-280300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 AM AKST WED NOV 27 2013

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS AND
PASSES.  SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-280300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 AM AKST WED NOV 27 2013

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 25
KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-280300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST WED NOV 27 2013

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
550 AM AKST TUE NOV 26 2013

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE DECENT AGREEMENT EXCEPT FOR SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE
WEAK LOW PLACEMENT THAT WILL TRACK NEAR CAPE HINCHINBROOK THIS
MORNING. THIS LOW WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND BY TUE AFTERNOON BEFORE DISSIPATING EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. THIS WILL BRING LIGHT SNOW FOR ANCHORAGE BOWL EXTENDING UP
INTO THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA VALLEY DUE TO THE SYSTEM LOOSING SUPPORT
ALOFT. ALONG THE COAST THE PRECIPITATION WILL MAINLY BE IN THE FORM
OF LIGHT RAIN WITH SOME AREAS OF MIXED RAIN/SNOW. BY THURSDAY THERE
WILL BE ANOTHER WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FORMING IN THE NORTHERN GULF
NEAR THE PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND ENTRANCE. THE BERING SIDE HAS A WEAK
LOW JUST NORTHEAST OF PRIBILOF ISLANDS THAT WILL DRIFT SOME BEFORE
DISSIPATING BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THERE WILL BE A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
BUILDING INTO THE WESTERN BERING SEA THIS MORNING BEFORE BEING A 1032
MB POSITIONED WEST OF PRIBILOF ISLANDS BY THURSDAY EVENING. THIS WILL
BRING WIDESPREAD STRATUS WITH PATCHY FOG. THE FORECAST CONFIDENCE
REMAINS HIGH HEADING INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A WEAK SURFACE LOW IS LOCATED AT THE ENTRANCE OF PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
THIS MORNING WITH A WEAK 80 KNOT MERIDONAL JET STREAK WITH A NEGATIVE
TILTED TROUGH WEST OF KODIAK. THERE IS A WEAK TROUGH FROM THE BARREN
ISLANDS EXTENDING TOWARDS CAPE CLEARE WITH THE SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWING A SWATH OF MOISTURE IN SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. THE SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS ARE REFLECTING BROKEN TO OVERCAST SKY CONDITIONS WITH
LIGHT WINDS. THERE IS A NEGATIVE TILTED RIDGE OVER THE COPPER RIVER
BASIN EXTENDING NORTHWEST INTO FAIRBANKS. THE BERING SEA HAS A WEAK
LOW NORTHEAST OF THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS WITH A SWATH OF MOISTURE ALONG
THE SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTLINE FORM DILLINGHAM NORTH TO HOOPER BAY.
THERE IS A POSITIVE TILTED RIDGE MOVING INTO THE WESTERN BERING SEA
WITH THE SATELLITE IMAGERY REFLECTING A LARGE AREA OF STRATUS/FOG
ASSOCIATED WITH THE BUILDING RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
THERE WILL BE A SHORTWAVE TROUGH PUSHING UP THROUGH THE KENAI WITH A
SURFACE LOW ENTERING THE PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND THIS MORNING. THIS WILL
PROVIDE MOISTURE WITH A LIFTING MECHANISM TO AIDE IN PRODUCING SNOW.
THERE IS A BAND OF SNOW SHOWERS STRETCHING FROM HOMER TO KENAI MOVING
NORTHWARD. LOOK FOR SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES TODAY
NORTH OF MOOSE PASS THROUGH PORTAGE EXTENDING INTO THE TURNAGAIN PASS
TOWARDS GIRDWOOD. FOR THE ANCHORAGE BOWL EXTENDING INTO THE
MATANUSKA-SUSITNA VALLEY THERE WILL BE SNOW BY LATE MORNING GOING
INTO THE AFTERNOON BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS BY
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT WITH SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 1 INCH. THE
EASTERN KENAI STRETCHING TO CORDOVA WILL SEE RAIN DUE TO SURFACE
TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S WITH CONTINUED WARM
TEMPERATURES DUE TO THE WARM AIR ADVECTION THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...NOW THAT THE WIDESPREAD PRECIP OF THE LAST FEW
DAYS HAS ENDED...MOST OF THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND WILL EXPERIENCE ONE
LAST ROUND OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS AS THE EASTERN BERING LOW
CONTINUES TO DISSIPATE. AREAS OF PATCHY RADIATIONAL FOG HAS DEVELOPED
IN BRISTOL BAY EARLY THIS MORNING...AND ARE EXPECTED TO FORM AGAIN
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT DUE THE RECENT PRECIPITATION AND WARM TEMPERATURES
MOISTENING THE BOUNDARY LAYER. EXPECT CLEARING SKIES AND FALLING
TEMPERATURES STARTING WEDNESDAY TO CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK
AS A RIDGE MOVES IN FROM THE CENTRAL BERING BY FRIDAY.

THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIAN CHAIN...THE CONVECTIVE RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS OVER THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS WILL ALSO BEGIN TO DIMINISH
TODAY AS THE BERING LOW WEAKENS AND TEMPERATURES ALOFT BEGIN TO WARM.
A GALE FORCE LOW WILL THEN CLIP THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS
WEDNESDAY BEFORE THE BUILDING RIDGE ENCOMPASSES MOST OF THE REGION BY
THURSDAY...USHERING IN COOLER AND QUIETER WEATHER.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...THERE CONTINUES TO BE GAINING CONFIDENCE THAT
THE BLOCKING PATTERN THAT DEVELOPS ON FRIDAY WILL BE SIGNIFICANT
ENOUGH TO KEEP ANY SYNOPTIC SCALE LOWS WELL AWAY FROM MAINLAND ALASKA
INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS SETUP WILL ONCE AGAIN KEEP
MAINLAND IN A PROLONGED COLD AND DRY PATTERN...WITH STORMS CONFINED
TO THE BERING SEA REGION.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...130 174 176
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

DEK/PLD NOV 13