Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2013
Gale Warning 698, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Oct 17, 2013, 4:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 17, 2013, 4:00 PM AKDT (00:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 18, 2013, 4:00 PM AKDT
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
712 FZAK52 PAFC 172312 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKDT THU OCT 17 2013 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-181500- 400 PM AKDT THU OCT 17 2013 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 963 MB LOW 50 NM NORTH OF ATTU WILL MOVE TO 140 NM NORTH OF NIKOLSKI AT 966 MB FRI AFTERNOON AND THEN MOVE TO NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND AT 973 MB SAT AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ150-181500- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 PM AKDT THU OCT 17 2013 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. .FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ155-181500- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKDT THU OCT 17 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ160-181500- BRISTOL BAY 400 PM AKDT THU OCT 17 2013 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. .FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ165-181500- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKDT THU OCT 17 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ170-181500- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE 400 PM AKDT THU OCT 17 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ171-181500- UNALASKA BAY 400 PM AKDT THU OCT 17 2013 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ172-181500- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE 400 PM AKDT THU OCT 17 2013 ...STORM WARNING FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 26 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ173-181500- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE 400 PM AKDT THU OCT 17 2013 ...STORM WARNING FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ174-181500- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE 400 PM AKDT THU OCT 17 2013 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 35 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 31 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ175-181500- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE 400 PM AKDT THU OCT 17 2013 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...W WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ176-181500- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE 400 PM AKDT THU OCT 17 2013 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT INCREASING TO 60 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 32 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...W WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 39 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 28 FT SUBSIDING TO 22 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ177-181500- ADAK TO KISKA 400 PM AKDT THU OCT 17 2013 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 60 KT. SEAS 33 FT BUILDING TO 43 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...W WIND 50 KT BECOMING NW 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 40 FT SUBSIDING TO 27 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ178-181500- KISKA TO ATTU 400 PM AKDT THU OCT 17 2013 ...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 65 KT BECOMING NW 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 45 FT SUBSIDING TO 35 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 30 FT SUBSIDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ179-181500- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS 400 PM AKDT THU OCT 17 2013 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ180-181500- KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT 400 PM AKDT THU OCT 17 2013 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. .FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ181-181500- NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND 400 PM AKDT THU OCT 17 2013 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. .FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ185-181500- SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 PM AKDT THU OCT 17 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .FRI...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$
2 follow-up statements
381 FZAK52 PAFC 181151 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-190300- 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 964 MB LOW 160 NM N OF ADAK WILL MOVE TO 135 NM SW OF NUNIVAK ISLAND AT 971 MB SAT MORNING AND THEN MOVE TO 130 NM SE OF GAMBELL AT 981 MB SUN MORNING. $$ PKZ150-190300- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ155-190300- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ160-190300- BRISTOL BAY 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ165-190300- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ170-190300- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON AND TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ171-190300- UNALASKA BAY 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ172-190300- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 24 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ173-190300- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 50 KT BECOMING W 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ174-190300- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT BUILDING TO 33 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 32 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT AND SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ175-190300- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W WIND 50 KT BECOMING NW 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON AND TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ176-190300- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 36 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 29 FT SUBSIDING TO 23 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ177-190300- ADAK TO KISKA 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 33 FT SUBSIDING TO 27 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ178-190300- KISKA TO ATTU 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SAT NIGHT THROUGH MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ179-190300- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ180-190300- KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ181-190300- NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ185-190300- SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...N WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$
669 FZAK52 PAFC 182324 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-191500- 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 967 MB LOW 85 NM SOUTH OF SAINT PAUL WILL WEAKEN TO 976 MB AS IT MOVES TO 40 NM SOUTHWEST OF HOOPER BAY SAT AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL THEN CONTINUE TO WEAKEN TO 990 MB AS IT MOVES TO 60 NM SOUTH OF GAMBELL SUN AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ150-191500- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. PATCHY FOG IN THE EVENING. .SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ155-191500- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE AND WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ160-191500- BRISTOL BAY 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE AND WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ165-191500- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE AND WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ170-191500- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON AND TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ171-191500- UNALASKA BAY 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. HIGHER GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. HIGHER GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON AND TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ172-191500- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON AND TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ173-191500- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ174-191500- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 32 FT SUBSIDING TO 26 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ175-191500- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ176-191500- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 29 FT SUBSIDING TO 22 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON AND TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ177-191500- ADAK TO KISKA 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ178-191500- KISKA TO ATTU 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN NIGHT AND MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ179-191500- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ180-191500- KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT NEAR MORNING. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN NIGHT AND MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ181-191500- NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SAT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT AND MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE AND WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ185-191500- SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .SAT...N WIND 35 KT EXCEPT 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 17 FT EXCEPT 12 FT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT EXCEPT 20 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 16 FT EXCEPT 10 FT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. RAIN. .SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Oct 17, 1:37 PM AKDT, 2 hours 23 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 17, 1:37 PM AKDT, 2 hours 23 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
137 PM AKDT THU OCT 17 2013
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A VERY HIGH AMPLITUDE PATTERN REMAINS
IN PLACE ACROSS ALASKA AND THE NORTH PACIFIC. A RIDGE CENTERED
OVER THE FAR EAST PACIFIC EXTENDS NORTHWARD ACROSS SOUTHEAST
ALASKA AND ALL THE WAY UP TO THE BEAUFORT SEA. A PARALLEL TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM THE EASTERN BERING SEA SOUTHWARD ALONG 160W DOWN INTO
THE TROPICS. TROPICAL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO FLOW NORTHWARD IN THE
ZONE BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND TROUGH. A DEFORMATION ZONE HAS BEEN
NEARLY STATIONARY OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA THE PAST COUPLE DAYS
RESULTING IN PERSISTENT STEADY RAIN (HEAVY AT TIMES). THIS MORNING
THE REMNANTS OF A VERTICALLY STACKED LOW FROM THE TROPICS ARE
TRACKING NORTHWARD TOWARD KODIAK ISLAND...WHICH WILL BRING IN
ANOTHER BATCH OF RAIN TO THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND...BUT ULTIMATELY
BREAK THE LONG FETCH OF TROPICAL MOISTURE.
MEANWHILE THE FORMER TYPHOON WIPHA IS APPROACHING THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS AS A DEEP EXTRA-TROPICAL LOW...WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
ESTIMATED SOMEWHERE AROUND 960 MB. AN OCCLUDED FRONT HAS STARTED
TO MARCH EASTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN BERING AND ALEUTIANS BRINGING
WIDESPREAD RAIN AND STRONG WINDS. SCATTEROMETER WINDS FROM OVERNIGHT
SHOWED A LARGE AREA OF STORM FORCE WINDS SURROUNDING THE LOW
CENTER...BUT BASED ON THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW LEVEL JET (MODELS
SHOWING 75KTS AT 925MB) SUSPECT THERE IS AN AREA OF HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE LOW.
.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS HAVE FINALLY COME INTO AGREEMENT WITH
TRACK AND TIMING OF BOTH THE UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVE HEADED TOWARD
THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND AND THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW/COLD FRONT
SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA. THUS...FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
HIGHER... ALTHOUGH THERE ARE STILL SOME CHALLENGES TO FORECASTING
THE WINDS FOR ANCHORAGE OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY. MODELS ARE RELATIVELY
SIMILAR WITH TRACK OF THE DEEP LOW OUT WEST...BUT THERE ARE
DIFFERENCES IN STRUCTURE AND STRENGTH OF THE OCCLUDED FRONT AND
TRIPLE POINT AS IT MOVES TO MAINLAND ALASKA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
THE STRENGTH OF THE TRIPLE POINT WILL DETERMINE HOW MUCH DOWN INLET
FLOW DEVELOPS ACROSS COOK INLET. THIS IS KEY TO WHETHER WINDS IN
ANCHORAGE REMAIN GUSTY OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST BETWEEN SYSTEMS OR SHIFT
TO THE NORTHEAST AND LIGHTEN UP UNTIL THE NEXT FRONT GOES THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT OR SATURDAY.
.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
MAINLAND ALASKA...THE CHALLENGE OF THE DAY IS THE WIND FORECAST
FOR THE ANCHORAGE AREA TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. WINDS HAVE
DIMINISHED ACROSS MUCH OF THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF ANCHORAGE THIS
MORNING AS WEAK DOWN INLET FLOW DEVELOPED (OUT AHEAD OF THE SURFACE
LOW SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA). THIS DOWN INLET GRADIENT WILL
STRENGTHEN AS THE LOW TRACKS ACROSS BRISTOL BAY THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. HOWEVER...AS HAS BEEN THE CASE WITH RECENT STORMS
INSTABILITY IN THE NEAR SURFACE LAYER IS RESULTING IN A LOT OF
TURBULENT MIXING. THE BIG QUESTION IS HOW MUCH WIND MIXES DOWN TO
LOWER ELEVATIONS AS THE EAST-WEST PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS TURNAGAIN
ARM INCREASES TONIGHT. IT SEEMS THE MOST LIKELY AREAS TO SEE SOME
OF THE EASTERLIES WOULD BE RIGHT ALONG THE MOUNTAINS (EAST
ANCHORAGE/LOWER HILLSIDE/EAGLE RIVER). THE REST OF THE ANCHORAGE
BOWL SHOULD REMAIN ON THE LIGHT SIDE UNTIL THE COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. THE OTHER ASPECT THAT WORKS AGAINST WIDESPREAD
STRONG WINDS ACROSS ALL OF ANCHORAGE IS THAT THE EAST-WEST PRESSURE
GRADIENTS PEAK PRIOR TO FRONTAL PASSAGE. THUS...AS THE FRONT MOVES
THROUGH AND NORTH-SOUTH PRESSURE GRADIENTS BECOME FAVORABLE FOR
WIND TO PUSH INTO ALL OF ANCHORAGE THE TURNAGAIN ARM JET WILL
ALREADY BE TRENDING DOWNWARD. BASED ON THIS...WILL LOWER THE
FORECAST WINDS FOR THE ANCHORAGE BOWL AND MAINTAIN THE STRONG WIND
HEADLINE FOR THE LOWER HILLSIDE AND EAST ANCHORAGE.
AS HAS ALSO BEEN THE CASE IN THE PAST COUPLE STORMS...STRONG LOW
LEVEL SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL LIMIT RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN
DOWNSLOPE AREAS...BUT MUCH OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND UPSLOPE AREAS OF
SOUTHCENTRAL WILL SEE ANOTHER DOUSING. THERE WILL ACTUALLY BE A
BRIEF BREAK IN RAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND AS THE
UPPER SHORT-WAVE EXITS TO THE NORTH ON FRIDAY. HOWEVER...THE OCCLUDED
FRONT FROM THE LOW OUT WEST WILL BE RIGHT ON ITS HEELS WITH RAIN
MOVING BACK IN FRIDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND FRIDAY
NIGHT FOR SOUTHCENTRAL. IT LOOKS LIKE YET ANOTHER WET AND WINDY
WEEKEND AS THIS SYSTEM TRACKS TO THE EASTERN BERING SEA. AS MENTIONED
THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE STRENGTH OF THE FRONT...BUT
AT THE MOMENT IT LOOKS SIMILAR IN STRENGTH TO WHAT HAS BEEN OBSERVED
WITH THE LAST COUPLE STORMS (SUB-WARNING LEVEL WINDS). A COUPLE
NOTABLE DIFFERENCES WITH THIS NEXT SYSTEM ARE THE LACK OF A DIRECT
TAP TO TROPICAL MOISTURE AND THE FACT THAT THE WARM SECTOR WILL
REMAIN SOUTH OF THE MAINLAND. AS A RESULT...DON'T EXPECT QUITE AS
MUCH RAINFALL AND TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO COOL DOWN.
BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...THE GREATEST IMPACT OF THE DEEP LOW HEADED
FOR THE ALEUTIANS WILL BE STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SEAS ALONG THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS...WITH SEAS 40 TO 50 FEET AND HURRICANE FORCE
WIND GUSTS SOUTH OF THE CHAIN. ALL AREAS WILL EXPERIENCE MORE
MODERATE WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN...WHICH IS NOTHING OUT OF THE
ORDINARY FOR THIS AREA OF THE WORLD. ARCTIC AIR WILL MOVE IN BEHIND
THE SYSTEM GRADUALLY ADVECTING ACROSS THE BERING SEA TO MAINLAND
ALASKA. THIS WILL PRODUCE INCREASED INSTABILITY WHICH IS SUPPORTIVE
OF GUSTY WINDS AND SHOWERS.
.LONG TERM FORECAST...THE CURRENT ALEUTIAN LOW WILL WILL AID IN
SHIFTING THE LONG-WAVE PATTERN EASTWARD...WITH THE UPPER RIDGE
MOVING EASTWARD INTO WESTERN CANADA AND A BROAD BUT STILL HIGH
AMPLITUDE TROUGH SETTING UP FROM THE BERING SEA TO MAINLAND ALASKA.
THE LACK OF A DIRECT TROPICAL CONNECTION MEANS TEMPERATURES WILL
MODERATE ACROSS THE REGION. STILL GENERALLY EXPECT WARMER THAN
NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...BUT MUCH CLOSER TO
NORMAL THAN WE HAVE BEEN. THE OTHER MAJOR CHANGE OS A SLOWDOWN
IN THE STORM TRACK WHICH SHOULD ALLOW FOR MORE SIGNIFICANT BREAKS
WITH DRY WEATHER BETWEEN STORM SYSTEMS NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY FOR
MAINLAND ALASKA. AS FAR AS THE FORECAST OF SPECIFIC LOWS IN THE
EXTENDED PERIOD...MODEL SPREAD IS VERY LARGE SO DON'T HAVE
CONFIDENCE IN ANY PARTICULAR SOLUTION.
.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...177 178.
STORM WARNING...173 174 175 176.
GALE WARNING...119 125 130 132 138
150 155 160 165 170 171 172 179 180 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
SEB OCT 13The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 4:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 3 days | |
| Oct 17, 4:00 PM AKDT | Storm Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Oct 18, 4:00 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Oct 18, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Oct 18, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 4 days |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.