Gale Warning 689, NWS Anchorage, AK

647 
FZAK52 PAFC 151145
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-160300-
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 982 MB LOW 200 NM WEST OF SAINT PAUL WEAKENS TO 991 MB THIS EVENING
NEAR SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND AND DRIFTS NORTH. A 998 MB KAMCHATKA LOW
MOVES TO 60 NM NORTH OF ATTU LATE TONIGHT AND TO ADAK WED MORNING AT
THE SAME STRENGTH BEFORE MOVING INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC. A 1004 MB LOW
375 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT WED MORNING STRENGTHENS TO 997 MB WED
NIGHT 50 NM NORTHEAST OF NELSON LAGOON.

$$

PKZ150-160300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-160300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-160300-
BRISTOL BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ165-160300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-160300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-160300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-160300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-160300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ174-160300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-160300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
18 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-160300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 31 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-160300-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 34 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-160300-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
21 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 36 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-160300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-160300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ181-160300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-160300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT...EXCEPT SE 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
SEAS 16 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT SE 20 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
SEAS 16 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT E OF SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

226 
FZAK52 PAFC 152320
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-161500-
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 998 MB KAMCHATKA LOW MOVES TO 225 NM SOUTH OF ATKA WED AFTERNOON. 
A 1004 MB LOW 375 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT WED MORNING STRENGTHENS
TO 994 MB THU MORNING 50 NM NORTHEAST OF NELSON LAGOON. A 967 MB LOW
NEAR KAMCHATKA WED NIGHT WILL MOVE TO ATTU AT SIMILAR STRENGTH THU
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-161500-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-161500-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-161500-
BRISTOL BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-161500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-161500-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-161500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-161500-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-161500-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
13 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ174-161500-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-161500-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT.
RAIN. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING NORTH 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-161500-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT.
RAIN. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 34 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-161500-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 37 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 29 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-161500-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT
BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT
SUBSIDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 31 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 35 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-161500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-161500-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ181-161500-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-161500-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

352 
FZAK52 PAFC 160054 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

CORRECTED ZONE 178

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-161500-
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 998 MB KAMCHATKA LOW MOVES TO 225 NM SOUTH OF ATKA WED AFTERNOON. 
A 1004 MB LOW 375 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT WED MORNING STRENGTHENS
TO 994 MB THU MORNING 50 NM NORTHEAST OF NELSON LAGOON. A 967 MB LOW
NEAR KAMCHATKA WED NIGHT WILL MOVE TO ATTU AT SIMILAR STRENGTH THU
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-161500-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-161500-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-161500-
BRISTOL BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-161500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-161500-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-161500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-161500-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-161500-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
13 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ174-161500-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-161500-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT.
RAIN. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING NORTH 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-161500-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT.
RAIN. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 34 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-161500-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 37 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 29 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-161500-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT
BUILDING TO 17 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT
SUBSIDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 31 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 35 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-161500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-161500-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ181-161500-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-161500-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

102 
FZAK52 PAFC 161154
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-170300-
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 1000 MB LOW 170 NM E OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE TO 590 NM S OF DUTCH
HARBOR AT A SIMILAR STRENGTH BY LATE THIS EVENING. A 993 MB LOW 220
NM S OF GAMBELL WILL SLOWLY STRENGTHEN TO 989 MB AND MOVE TO 75 NM W
OF GAMBELL BY FRIDAY MORNING. A 962 MB LOW IN THE SEA OF OKHOTSK
WEAKENS TO 964 MB FRI MORNING 190 NM NW OF ATKA.

$$

PKZ150-170300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-170300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-170300-
BRISTOL BAY
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-170300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-170300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-170300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-170300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-170300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ174-170300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-170300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-170300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 34 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-170300-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT
BUILDING TO 15 KT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 42 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 32 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-170300-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10
FT BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 60 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT
BUILDING TO 35 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 42 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-170300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-170300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ181-170300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-170300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS
15 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT 20 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
SEAS 13 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

867 
FZAK52 PAFC 161713 RRA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...RETRANSMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-170300-
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 1000 MB LOW 170 NM E OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE TO 590 NM S OF DUTCH
HARBOR AT A SIMILAR STRENGTH BY LATE THIS EVENING. A 993 MB LOW 220
NM S OF GAMBELL WILL SLOWLY STRENGTHEN TO 989 MB AND MOVE TO 75 NM W
OF GAMBELL BY FRIDAY MORNING. A 962 MB LOW IN THE SEA OF OKHOTSK
WEAKENS TO 964 MB FRI MORNING 190 NM NW OF ATKA.

$$

PKZ150-170300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-170300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-170300-
BRISTOL BAY
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-170300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-170300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-170300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-170300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-170300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ174-170300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-170300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-170300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 34 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-170300-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT
BUILDING TO 15 KT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 42 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 32 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-170300-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10
FT BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 60 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT
BUILDING TO 35 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 42 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-170300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-170300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ181-170300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-170300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS
15 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT 20 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
SEAS 13 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

021 
FZAK52 PAFC 162305
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-171500-
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 998 MB LOW 230 NM SOUTHEAST OF ADAK WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTH
PACIFIC AND WEAKEN TONIGHT. A 960 MB LOW OVER THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC
WILL MOVE TO NEAR ATTU AT 963 MB THU AFTERNOON AND THEN MOVE TO 70 NM
NORTH OF DUTCH HARBOR AT 967 MB FRI AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-171500-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-171500-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-171500-
BRISTOL BAY
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-171500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-171500-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-171500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-171500-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-171500-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.FRI...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ174-171500-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.FRI...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 33 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-171500-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-171500-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 31 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.FRI...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 38 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-171500-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT
BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT
BUILDING TO 25 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 65 KT. SEAS 32 FT BUILDING TO 41 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.FRI...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 33 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-171500-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 65 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT
BUILDING TO 41 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 65 KT DIMINISHING TO 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
44 FT SUBSIDING TO 34 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-171500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S WIND 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-171500-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ181-171500-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-171500-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1245 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A HIGH AMPLITUDE PROGRESSIVE UPPER
LEVEL PATTERN CONTINUES TO SUPPORT FAST MOVING STORM SYSTEMS WITH
RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER. A LOOK AT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY THIS MORNING
SHOWS A DEEP VERTICALLY STACKED LOW PASSING JUST NORTH OF SHEMYA
WITH A DIGGING TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWARD ALL THE WAY TO AROUND
35N LATITUDE. THE TROUGH IS TAPPING INTO TROPICAL MOISTURE WHICH
IS QUICKLY STREAMING NORTHWARD TOWARD THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. COOLING
TEMPERATURES IN INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ARE AN INDICATION OF
STRONG SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT FROM THE DIGGING TROUGH AIDED BY A
STRONG SUBTROPICAL JET. THIS WILL HELP TRANSLATE THAT TROPICAL
MOISTURE ALOFT INTO HEAVY RAIN AT THE SURFACE. LOW LEVEL COLD
ADVECTION IS WRAPPING AROUND THE ALEUTIAN LOW...WITH A COLD FRONT
EXTENDING FROM THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS SOUTHWARD INTO THE PACIFIC.
MODELS DON'T CURRENTLY INDICATE DEVELOPMENT OF A SURFACE LOW ALONG
THIS FRONT...BUT WITH SUCH STRONG DYNAMICS IN PLACE THIS IS
SOMETHING THAT IS POSSIBLE AND SHOULD BE MONITORED.

MEANWHILE...AN OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE LOW CENTER NEAR
SHEMYA NORTH AND EAST ACROSS THE BERING SEA AND THEN BACK
SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWEST ALASKA COAST. THE FRONT IS
WEAKENING AS IT STRETCHES OUT FAR FROM THE PARENT LOW CENTER. AN
UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVE OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA IS HELPING
SUPPORT RAIN ALONG THE FRONT. ANOTHER SHORT-WAVE IS CROSSING
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA WITH RAIN GRADUALLY DIMINISHING FROM SOUTHWEST
TO NORTHEAST THIS MORNING.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH EVOLUTION
OF THE SYNOPTIC SCALE PATTERN WHICH PROVIDES FAIRLY HIGH CONFIDENCE
IN IDENTIFYING THE ZONE WHERE THE TROPICAL FIRE HOSE WILL BE POINTED
AND WHERE THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE OBSERVED. THERE ARE SOME MINOR
DIFFERENCES IN SURFACE LOW TRACKS AND TIMING...PARTICULARLY WITH A
LOW TRACKING UP THE WEST SIDE OF THE UPPER RIDGE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND THURSDAY. THIS AFFECTS THE EXACT TIMING OF HEAVIEST RAIN AS WELL
AS STRENGTH OF WINDS ACCOMPANYING THIS SYSTEM. THUS...FORECAST
CONFIDENCE DROPS A BIT FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA DURING
THIS TIME PERIOD.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...THE PRIMARY WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
HIGH AMPLITUDE PATTERN IS WARM WET AND WINDY. IN MANY OF THESE VERY
HIGH AMPLITUDE CASES THE TROUGH AND RIDGE REMAIN LARGELY IN THE SAME
PLACE FOR A WEEK OR MORE SO THAT THE SAME GENERAL AREA GETS SLAMMED
ONE STORM AFTER ANOTHER. IN THIS CASE THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW IS MORE
DYNAMIC...SO THERE WILL BE CHANGES IN TROUGH/RIDGE PLACEMENT AND
ORIENTATION AND THE AREA OF HEAVIEST RAIN AND STRONGEST WIND WILL
CHANGE WITH EACH SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH. FOLLOWING ARE SOME SPECIFICS
WHICH HIGHLIGHT THE HIGHEST IMPACT WEATHER WHICH WILL BE EXPERIENCED
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

THE OCCLUDED FRONT WILL DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES INLAND OVER SOUTHWEST
ALASKA TONIGHT WITH LITTLE TO NONE OF THE FRONTAL RAIN SURVIVING
INTO SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. THERE WILL BE SOME TIGHTENING OF SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENTS OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA AS THE REMNANTS OF THE
FRONT AND THE FOLLOWING UPPER SHORT-WAVE MOVE THROUGH TONIGHT. NOT
ONLY WILL THIS AFFECT THE TYPICAL EAST-WEST GAPS SUCH AS TURNAGAIN
ARM AND THE KNIK RIVER VALLEY...BUT GRADIENTS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
GUSTY WINDS TO BE MORE WIDESPREAD ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL.

THE ALEUTIAN LOW AND ASSOCIATED TROUGH WILL PROGRESS EASTWARD
TONIGHT WITH TROPICAL MOISTURE RAPIDLY ADVECTING NORTHEASTWARD TO
SOUTHWEST ALASKA OVERNIGHT AND INTO SOUTHCENTRAL BY TUESDAY MORNING.
MOST MODELS INDICATE A SURFACE WAVE TRACKING UP INTO BRISTOL BAY
LATE TONIGHT AND THEN ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA TUESDAY...BUT WILL
KEEP AN EYE OUT FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF FORMATION OF A SURFACE LOW.
IN EITHER CASE PRESSURE GRADIENTS EAST OF THIS FEATURE WILL TIGHTEN
UP QUITE A BIT...BRINGING STRONG WINDS TO PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. ASSUMING THE MODELS ARE CORRECT AND THIS REMAINS
A FRONTAL WAVE IT LOOKS LIKE TURNAGAIN ARM AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS
WILL REMAIN BELOW HIGH WIND WARNING LEVELS. THE LACK OF A STRONG
FRONTAL PASSAGE OR SIGNIFICANT INVERSION ABOVE MOUNTAIN TOP SUPPORT
THIS IDEA. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS DO ONCE AGAIN LOOK FAVORABLE FOR
STRONGER WINDS TO MOVE INTO SOME OF THE LOWER ELEVATIONS...WITH WARM
SURFACE TEMPERATURES PROVIDING ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR SOME VERTICAL
MIXING OF WINDS AND THE PRESENCE OF FAVORABLE PRESSURE GRADIENTS
ALLOWING WINDS TO SPREAD NORTHWARD (OR INLAND). IT IS WORTH
HIGHLIGHTING THAT ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL BE FAIRLY WIDESPREAD THE
MAGNITUDE OF THIS SYSTEM IS LESS THAN THE PAST TWO OR THREE AND
DAMAGING WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

WITH SUCH FAST STEERING FLOW THE HEAVY RAIN WILL NOT BE PROLONGED
FOR ANY ONE LOCATION. EXPECT RAIN TO DIMINISH OVER MUCH OF THE
SOUTHERN MAINLAND TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING. MEANWHILE...AS
THE UPPER TROUGH IS PROGRESSING EASTWARD THE DOWNSTREAM RIDGE WILL
BUILD FROM THE EASTERN GULF INTO SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. THIS WILL SHIFT
THE FIRE HOSE OF TROPICAL MOISTURE A BIT SO THAT IT IS POINTED TOWARD
THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND ON UP TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA. THIS LEADS INTO
THE TIME PERIOD OF MORE UNCERTAINTY AS A SURFACE LOW TRACKS UP THE
WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY TIME FRAME. THERE
IS POTENTIAL FOR A STRONGER WIND EVENT AS THIS LOW PASSES BY. THE
TRACK WILL ALSO DETERMINE WHETHER THE FIRE HOSE SHIFTS ONCE AGAIN.
WILL HAVE TO WAIT UNTIL MODELS HAVE A BETTER HANDLE ON THIS TO NAIL
DOWN THE DETAILS.

OUT WEST...THE STORM TRACK WILL BE QUITE DIFFERENT AS SYSTEMS ENTER
FROM THE WEST INTO THE BACK SIDE OF THE TROUGH. LOOKS LIKE ONE
MODERATE STRENGTH SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OF ASIA TONIGHT AND QUICKLY
TRACK ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE SYSTEM
AFTER THAT...A FORMER TYPHOON...WILL LIKELY BE QUITE A BIT STRONGER.
THIS WILL BECOME THE FOCUS FOR THE END OF THE WEEK AS THE VERY ACTIVE
WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...THE FORMER TYPHOON MOVING INTO THE
BERING/ALEUTIANS AT THE END OF THIS WEEK WILL BE THE PRIMARY STORM
FOR THE DAY 4 THROUGH 7 TIME PERIOD...LIKELY BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND
OF RAIN AND WIND TO THE ALASKA REGION. THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS
THAT THE PERSISTENT SHORT-WAVES ROUNDING THE TROUGH AND PUSHING UP
AGAINST THE RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN THE RIDGE AND ALLOW COOLER
AIR TO MOVE BACK INTO MAINLAND ALASKA. HOWEVER...WITH THERE TENDS
TO BE A MODEL BIAS TOWARD BREAKING DOWN THESE HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGES
TOO QUICKLY...SO WILL WAIT TO SEE IF THERE IS ANY RUN-TO-RUN
CONSISTENCY WITH THIS SOLUTION.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM WARNING...178.
         GALE WARNING...130 131 132 138
                        150 155 173 174 175 176 177 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEB OCT 13