Gale Warning 656, NWS Anchorage, AK

103 
FZAK51 PAFC 030148 RRA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...RETRANSMITTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 2 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-031500-
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 2 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A WEATHER FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF TODAY AND
WILL REACH THE NORTHERN GULF BY LATE THU MORNING. A 991 MB LOW WILL
FORM 250 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK AND MOVE TO 80 NM SOUTH OF SEWARD
AT 982 MB BY THU AFTERNOON...THEN BECOME A COMPLEX LOW OVER THE
CENTRAL GULF EARLY FRI MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-031500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 2 2013

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR THE
COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 45 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21
FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.   

$$

PKZ120-031500-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 2 2013

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18
FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.   

$$

PKZ121-031500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 2 2013

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING N 10
KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT THROUGH MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   

$$

PKZ125-031500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 2 2013

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING E 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-031500-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 2 2013

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   

$$

PKZ127-031500-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 2 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-031500-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 2 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   

$$

PKZ129-031500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 2 2013

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-031500-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 2 2013

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-031500-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 2 2013

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15
FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-031500-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 2 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.   

$$

PKZ136-031500-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 2 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-031500-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 2 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-031500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 2 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10
FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-031500-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 2 2013

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-031500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 2 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN AND MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.   

$$

PKZ141-031500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 2 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

933 
FZAK51 PAFC 031138
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-040300-
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A WEATHER FRONT IN THE WESTERN GULF WILL REACH THE NORTHERN GULF BY
LATE MORNING. A 982 MB LOW 130 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE
TO 60 NM NORTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY AT 980 MB THIS AFTERNOON...THEN
WEAKEN TO 990 MB 115 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY LATE TONIGHT...THEN
BECOME A COMPLEX LOW OVER THE CENTRAL GULF FRI MORNING. 

$$

PKZ119-040300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 55 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE 
AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-040300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-040300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 4 
FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-040300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY LATE MORNING. GUSTS TO
55 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS 
TO 40 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE IN THE EVENING. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING. RAIN. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-040300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-040300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-040300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-040300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-040300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 7 
FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-040300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE 
AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-040300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-040300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT AND FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-040300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-040300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-040300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 6 
FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-040300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-040300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 4
FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

301 
FZAK51 PAFC 031821 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1020 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

UPDATED 141

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-040300-
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A WEATHER FRONT IN THE WESTERN GULF WILL REACH THE NORTHERN GULF BY
LATE MORNING. A 982 MB LOW 130 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE
TO 60 NM NORTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY AT 980 MB THIS AFTERNOON...THEN
WEAKEN TO 990 MB 115 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY LATE TONIGHT...THEN
BECOME A COMPLEX LOW OVER THE CENTRAL GULF FRI MORNING. 

$$

PKZ119-040300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 55 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE 
AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-040300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-040300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 4 
FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-040300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY LATE MORNING. GUSTS TO
55 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS 
TO 40 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE IN THE EVENING. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING. RAIN. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-040300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-040300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-040300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-040300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-040300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 7 
FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-040300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE 
AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-040300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-040300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT AND FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-040300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-040300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-040300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 6 
FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-040300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-040300-
KACHEMAK BAY
1020 AM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

150 
FZAK51 PAFC 040152 CCB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

CORRECTED ZONE 125

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-041500-
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WILL MOVE INLAND BY LATE
TONIGHT. A 982 MB LOW 50 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE TO 160 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 998 MB FRI AFTERNOON...THEN BECOME A
COMPLEX LOW OVER THE CENTRAL GULF LATE FRI EVENING.

$$

PKZ119-041500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. HIGHER GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR THE HINCHINBROOK
ENTRANCE. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-041500-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-041500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. HIGHER GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER
GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-041500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER
GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR THE HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE THROUGH MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10
KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-041500-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-041500-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-041500-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-041500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-041500-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER
GUSTS TO 45 KT THROUGH MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-041500-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. HIGHER GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-041500-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...NE WIND 40 KT
BECOMING NW 25 KT EARLY THIS EVENING. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-041500-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-041500-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-041500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-041500-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.

.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-041500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT.
SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-041500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
145 PM AKDT WED OCT 2 2013

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE MAIN FEATURE ACROSS THE DOMAIN REMAINS THE MATURE VERTICALLY
STACKED LOW THAT HAS MOVED THROUGH THE BERING AND IS NOW SOUTH OF THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS. A DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE PLUME FEEDING INTO THE
SYSTEM REACHES SOUTHWARD PAST 30N LATITUDE WITH A 140+ KT JET
TRANSPORTING MOISTURE NORTHWARD. THE UPPER/SURFACE CIRCULATION HAS
LOST JET SUPPORT...AND HAS BEGUN TO WEAKEN. THE FIRST SIGNS OF
EXPECTED TRIPLE POINT DEVELOPMENT ARE EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
AS DEEP MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE JET IS BEGINNING TO BE PULLED
BACK WESTWARD AS A SUPPORTING SHORTWAVE AMPLIFIES. GUSTY WINDS BEHIND
THE LOW ARE AFFECTING THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...THOUGH A LACK OF
APPRECIABLE COLD AIR ADVECTION BEHIND THE SYSTEM IS LIMITING HOW MUCH
WIND IS MIXING DOWN TO THE SURFACE FROM ALOFT. AHEAD OF THE MAIN
SYSTEM...AN UPPER TROUGH/WEAK UPPER LOW THAT FORMED OVER THE
SOUTHWEST MAINLAND HAS PROVIDED ENOUGH LIFT TO KICK OFF WIDESPREAD
SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF AND MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA. THESE SHOWERS WILL DISSIPATE AND MOVE INLAND THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON HOURS AS THE UPPER TROUGH WEAKENS AND DRIFTS NORTHWARD.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MAIN ISSUE THE MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH IS THE STRENGTH
AND PLACEMENT OF THE SECONDARY LOW EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND INTENSIFY
IN THE SOUTHERN GULF OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. THE ECMWF HAS BEEN
CONSISTENTLY DEVELOPING A LOW IN THE 980-985 RANGE THAT ROTATES
WESTWARD TOWARD KODIAK ISLAND DURING THE DAY THURSDAY BEFORE TURNING
EASTWARD AGAIN LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND RAPIDLY WEAKENING. THE GFS AND
GEM HAVE GENERALLY TRENDED TOWARD A SOLUTION LIKE THE ECMWF...AND THE
18Z NAM HAS EVEN FINALLY GOTTEN ITS ACT TOGETHER WITH A LOW TRACK
THAT RESEMBLES THE EMERGING CONSENSUS. INCREASING CONFIDENCE IN THE
LOW TRACK ALSO INCREASES CONFIDENCE IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF WHAT IS
SHAPING UP TO BE AN IMPRESSIVE COASTAL JET ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST
AND EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA DURING THE DAY THURSDAY...WITH SIMILARLY
STRONG WINDS FROM LOWER COOK INLET THROUGH SHELIKOF STRAIT.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...SHOWER ACTIVITY AND WIDESPREAD LOW CLOUDINESS WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS AS SOUTHEASTERLY
FLOW INCREASES AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING STORM AND THE UPPER TROUGH
CURRENTLY OVER THE AREA WEAKENS AND SLOWLY LIFTS NORTHWARD. THE VAST
MAJORITY OF RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEVELOPING LOW WILL FALL OVER
COASTAL AREAS OF THE MAINLAND AS WELL AS KODIAK ISLAND. DOWNSLOPING
WILL LARGELY PREVAIL OVER THE INTERIOR AREAS...THOUGH WITH A TROPICAL
MOISTURE-LADEN ENVIRONMENT SOME LIGHT RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FALL EVEN
OVER THESE TRADITIONALLY DRIER AREAS. HOWEVER...THE MOST WIDESPREAD
IMPACT WILL BE STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS IN MOST COASTAL AREAS. BY
FRIDAY...THE LOW WILL BE WEAKENING SIGNIFICANTLY AND MOVING INTO THE
EASTERN GULF. THIS WILL BRING A DRYING AND CLEARING TREND TO THE AREA
THROUGH THE START OF THE WEEKEND.

SOUTHWEST...THE FRONT PUSHED AS FAR NORTH AS THE SOUTHERN ALASKA
PENINSULA BEFORE STALLING. THE FRONT WILL PIVOT IN PLACE TONIGHT AS
THE STORMS ENERGY SHIFTS RAPIDLY INTO THE GULF. THIS WILL SET MOST OF
THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND UP WITH CONTINUED DRY NORTHERLY/OFFSHORE FLOW
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. BY SATURDAY MORNING...A MASSIVE BUT
FAIRLY WEAK FRONT WILL CROSS THE BERING AND REACH THE SOUTHWEST
COAST. THIS IS LIKELY TO BRING WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TO COASTAL AND
INLAND SECTIONS ALIKE...AND USHER IN A NEW WEATHER PATTERN
CHARACTERIZED BY MOIST ONSHORE FLOW WITH MULTIPLE PERIODS OF
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...THE EASTERN HALF OF THE ALEUTIANS WILL
CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS EVEN AS THE STORM
TRANSITIONS FULLY INTO THE GULF ON FRIDAY. THESE WINDS WILL THEN
DECREASE RAPIDLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENTS
ACROSS THE REGION DECREASE DRAMATICALLY. THE LARGE (BUT FAIRLY WEAK)
AFOREMENTIONED FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS DURING THE
DAY FRIDAY WITH RAIN AND SOUTHERLY WINDS...RACING ACROSS THE BERING
TO THE MAINLAND COAST BY MIDDAY SATURDAY. THIS LOW WILL STALL OVER
THE NORTHERN BERING...AND EFFECTIVELY BECOME AN ANCHOR LOW FOR A NEW
LONGWAVE TROUGH AS WE HEAD INTO THE START OF NEXT WEEK.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...THERE IS A FAIRLY LARGE SPREAD IN MODEL
SOLUTIONS DURING THE DAY 4 THROUGH 7 PERIOD...LEADING TO BELOW
AVERAGE CONFIDENCE OVERALL. HOWEVER...THERE IS SOME COMMON GROUND
IN THE LARGER SCALE EVOLUTION WHICH ALLOWS FOR IDENTIFICATION OF
THE TYPE OF SYSTEMS OR GENERAL WEATHER WHICH CAN BE EXPECTED. FIRST
OF ALL...THE FRONT WHICH REACHES THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND SATURDAY WILL
CONTINUE TO MARCH EASTWARD THIS WEEKEND LIKELY BRINGING WIDESPREAD
RAIN TO SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THE PARENT
LOW WILL WEAKEN SOMEWHERE BACK OVER THE NORTHERN BERING SEA.

BEYOND THIS TIME FRAME EXPECT AMPLIFICATION OF THE BERING SEA TROUGH
AS ENERGY DIGS SOUTHEASTWARD OUT OF ASIA INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC.
MODEL DIFFERENCES AND RUN-TO-RUN INCONSISTENCIES ARISE WITH REGARD
TO THE AMPLITUDE AND SPEED OF THIS TROUGH AS WELL AS THE LOCATION
AND EXTENT OF CYCLOGENESIS AT THE SURFACE. BASED ON THE STRENGTH OF
THE SUBTROPICAL JET AND CONSIDERING THE LIKELY ZONE FOR CYCLOGENESIS
WOULD EXPECT A STORM SYSTEM TO DEVELOP AND MOVE TO SOMEWHERE ALONG
THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND OF ALASKA TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY TIME FRAME. THERE
WILL BE SOME CONNECTION TO TROPICAL MOISTURE...SO WIDESPREAD HEAVY
RAIN WOULD BE A LIKELIHOOD. IN SUMMARY...ALTHOUGH THE DETAILS MAY
BE FUZZY AT THIS POINT...EVERYTHING IS POINTING TOWARD A WET PATTERN
FOR THE SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY TIME FRAME.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...STORM 119 120
         GALE 130 131 132 138 139 150 165 170 172 173 174
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

AMD/SEB OCT 13