Gale Warning 548, NWS Anchorage, AK

078 
FZAK62 PAFC 301139
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 30 2013

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-010300-
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 30 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL WEAKEN AND RETREAT
SOUTH TODAY. THE LOW COMING OFF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL MOVE TO
58N 168E AT 999 MB THIS AFTERNOON...THEN TRACK TO NEAR 52N 169W AT
989 MB EARLY WED.

$$

PKZ411-010300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 30 2013

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E OF 177E...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. W OF 177E...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-010300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 30 2013

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT
SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-010300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 30 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 15 KT S OF 55N. SEAS 6 TO 13 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-010300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 30 2013

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...W OF 167W...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. E OF 167W...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO
30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 TO 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

147 
FZAK62 PAFC 302347
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 30 2013

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-011500-
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 30 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 999 MB LOW NEAR 57N 168E WILL STRENGTHEN TO 988 MB NEAR 53N 174W
TUE AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL MOVE TO 52N 163W AT THE SAME STRENGTH
WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-011500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 30 2013

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. S OF 55N...SW
WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT N OF 56N. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-011500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 30 2013

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 15 TO 25 KT NEAR MORNING. SEAS 7
FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-011500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 30 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...N TO E WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-011500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 30 2013

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

268 
FZAK62 PAFC 011118
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 1 2013

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-020300-
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 1 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 996 MB LOW NEAR 54N 177W WILL STRENGTHEN TO 986 MB NEAR 52N 166W
WED MORNING. THIS LOW WILL MOVE TO 53N 158W AT 989 MB EARLY THU
MORNING.


$$

PKZ411-020300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 1 2013

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 

$$

PKZ412-020300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 1 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-020300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 1 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E OF 176W...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF
176W...VARIABLE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
TO 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-020300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 1 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

659 
FZAK62 PAFC 012346
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 1 2013

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-021500-
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 1 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 985 MB LOW NEAR 53N 174W WILL WEAKEN TO 991 MB NEAR 54N 153W THU
AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE WESTERN BERING LATE
TONIGHT AND SPREAD TO THE CENTRAL BERING BY THURSDAY MORNING.

$$

PKZ411-021500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 1 2013

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-021500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 1 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-021500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 1 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 

$$

PKZ414-021500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 1 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

646 
FZAK62 PAFC 021129
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 2 2013

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-030300-
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 2 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 986 MB LOW NEAR 51N 168W WILL WEAKEN TO 991 MB NEAR 54N 153W THU
AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE WESTERN BERING LATE
TONIGHT AND SPREAD TO THE CENTRAL BERING BY THURSDAY MORNING. A
WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN BERING THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-030300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 2 2013

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
TO 11 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 TO 8
FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-030300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 2 2013

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ413-030300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 2 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-030300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 2 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

758 
FZAK62 PAFC 022346
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 2 2013

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-031500-
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 2 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 985 MB LOW NEAR 51N 164W WILL WEAKEN TO 989 MB NEAR 53N 155W LATE
THU MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE WESTERN BERING LATE
TONIGHT AND SPREAD TO THE CENTRAL BERING BY THU AFTERNOON. A
WEATHER FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE WESTERN BERING THU AFTERNOON AND
TRACK EASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS BY FRI AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-031500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 2 2013

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY
FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ412-031500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 2 2013

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-031500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 2 2013

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-031500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 2 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKDT SUN SEP 29 2013

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A NEARLY STATIONARY UPPER-LVL LOW NEAR THE AK PANHANDLE IS FILLING.
THIS LARGE UPPER-LVL CIRCULATION HAS SOME MINOR SENSIBLE IMPACTS
ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL AK. THIS GENERALLY FEATURES WEAK DISTURBANCES
PINWHEELING AROUND THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THAT LOW THAT SPREADS
SOME CLOUDS AND SOME LIGHT PRECIP TO INTERIOR AREAS. THE SOUTHERN
REACHES OF A WEAK DEFORMATION AREA IN CENTRAL AK DOES POKE A BIT INTO
THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY...WITH THICKER CLOUDS AND LIGHT SNOWS
FALLING THERE AS WELL. FURTHER WEST...UPPER-LVL RIDGING MOVES THROUGH
THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS SUPPORTING A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
CENTER NEAR ADAK. IN BETWEEN THIS BROAD RIDGING AND THE LINGERING FAR
SE GULF LOW...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS SUBSTANTIALLY SQUEEZED TO
SUPPORT WIDESPREAD NORTH TO WEST GALES WITH STORM FORCE WINDS THROUGH
FAVORED GAPS/PASSES FROM THE NW GULF BACK THROUGH THE AKPEN. THIS HAS
BEEN CORROBORATED BY NUMEROUS SHIP OBSERVATIONS TODAY. ALSO OF NOTE
IS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH BEGINNING TO EJECT OFF EASTERN SIBERIA TOWARDS
SW AK. THERE IS ALSO A SURFACE LOW FORMING OVER THE KAMCHATKA
PENINSULA WHICH IS TRACKING EAST TOWARDS THE WESTERN ALEUTIAN CHAIN.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
IN THE EAST...THE UPPER-LOW IN THE PANHANDLE SHOULD CONTINUE FILLING
WITH TIME AS THE SUPPORTING UPPER JET OUTRUNS IT BY FURTHER INTO
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND THE THE NW CONUS. THE SHORTWAVE EJECTING FROM
EASTERN SIBERIA QUICKLY SWINGS THROUGH SW AK ON MON AND DOWN PAST THE
SOUTHERN GULF ON TUE. THIS LOBE OF ENERGY SHOULD CONSOLIDATE WITH THE
LAST VESTIGES OF THE OLD UPPER-LOW AND FINALLY PUSH IT AWAY FROM THE
AOR MID WEEK. MODELS SHOW THE RIDGING IN THE BERING SEA NOSING EAST
TOWARDS SW AK BUT FALLING SHORT OF MOVING INTO SOUTHCENTRAL AK OR THE
GULF. THIS SEEMS TO OCCUR BECAUSE A SHEAR LOBE ON THE DOWNSTREAM SIDE
SHARPENS INTO A RESPECTABLE SHORTWAVE TROUGH ON TUE AS ENERGY FROM NW
AK DIGS SOUTHWARD TOWARDS THE AOR. THE GFS/ECMWF/GEM ACTUALLY CARVE
OUT AN UPPER LOW CENTER NEAR THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY BY EARLY WED. WHILE
THE NAM DOES NOT SHOW THIS CUT OFF LOW ALOFT..IT DOES REFLECT A
STRONG TROUGH AND IS SIMILAR IN THE QPF FIELDS OF THE OTHER MODELS
SPREADING PRECIPITATION BACK THROUGH PORTIONS OF UPPER COOK INLET AND
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND.

FURTHER WEST...THE LOW FORMING OVER THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA IS
DEPICTED MOVING TO AROUND 400 MILES NW OF ATTU AT 997 MB MON
MORNING...THEN MOVING TO NEAR ATKA AT 985 MB PEAK INTENSITY TUE
AFTERNOON. THE LOW THEN SLOWLY FILLS AS IT TRACKS TO AROUND 200 MILES
SOUTH OF UNALASKA ON WED. THERE IS REASONABLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH
THIS TREND...THOUGH THE NAM DEPICTS THE WEAKEST SYSTEM IN THE
SOLUTION ENVELOPE. THE GFS SEEMS TO HAVE GOOD CONSISTENCY WITH THIS
LOW...SUPPORTED STRONGLY BY THE ECMWF AND HAVE LEANED THE FORECAST
PACKAGE IN THAT DIRECTION.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL/GULF...
LITTLE SUBSTANTIVE CHANGE TO THE FORECAST EXPECTED THE NEXT 24 HOURS
AS THE DOMINANT WEATHER FEATURES ARE SLOW MOVING. THE APPROACH OF THE
SHORTWAVE THAT MOVES THROUGH SW AK MON TO THE WESTERN GULF WILL BRING
SOME ADDED ENERGY TO ALLOW WINDS TO LINGER THE LONGEST IN MARINE
AREAS AROUND THE BARREN ISLANDS AND KODIAK ISLAND. ANY LINGERING
GALES SHOULD DIMINISH RAPIDLY BY EARLY TUE AS THE CONSOLIDATED
UPPER-LOW FINALLY CLEARS THE GULF. IN THE INTERIM...THE LION'S SHARE
OF AREAS SHOULD REMAIN PRECIPITATION FREE WITH SUNNY BREAKS AS
AVAILABLE LIFT FOR PRECIPITATION IS WEAK AND THE LOW-LVLS STAY RATHER
DRY IN OFF-SHORE FLOW (INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND). CAVEATS WOULD BE FOR
HIGHER ELEVATION SPOTS OF THE COPPER RIVER BASIN (SUCH AS NEAR
EUREKA) AND NEAR THE TALKEETNA AND ALASKA RANGES WHERE SOME LOCALIZED
UPSLOPE WILL SUPPORT SOME LIGHT SNOW AS WEAK EMBEDDED UPPER
DISTURBANCES PINWHEEL THROUGH.

SOUTHWEST/AKPEN...
EXPECT SOME PERIPHERAL LIGHT SNOW TONIGHT WITH THE WEAKENING
DEFORMATION AREA IN THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY...OTHERWISE COOL AND
BRISK CONDITIONS TO PERSIST ACROSS THE SW MAINLAND. THE ENERGY WITH
THE SHORTWAVE SLIPPING OUT OF E SIBERIA WILL BRUSH COASTAL AREAS ON
MON...BUT AS IT IS RATHER FAST MOVING AND STARVED OF DEEP MOISTURE
ANY PRECIP SHOULD BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE. A SLOW WEAKENING OF THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE GULF LOW AND BERING HIGH WILL TREND
GALE FORCE WINDS TO SMALL CRAFTS OR LESS FROM WEST TO EAST BY MON
NIGHT.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
HIGH PRESSURE NEAR ADAK RETREATS SOUTHEAST THROUGH EARLY MON. THE
LOW TRACKING FROM THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL OVERSPREAD RAIN
THROUGH THE WESTERN TO CENTRAL CHAIN THE LATTER PART OF MON. GALES
WILL ONCE AGAIN BECOME COMMON THROUGH THE BERING/CHAIN WITH THE LOW
STILL IN DEEPEING STAGES THROUGH EARLY TUE.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE BERING SEA LOW LOOKS TO PUSH A FRONT INTO THE GULF ON WED...WITH
THE RESIDUAL LOW FOLLOWING SUIT ON THU. THERE IS CONSIDERABLE MODEL
SPREAD ON WHERE A TRIPLE POINT LOW WILL FORM ALONG THE FRONT (EASTERN
GULF VS WESTERN GULF) ALONG WITH MAGNITUDE OF WINDS (GALES VS
STORMS). IN GENERAL THOUGH...MODELS AGREE THAT THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND
WILL REMAIN IN A TROUGH THROUGH LATE WEEK THUS KEEPING THINGS RATHER
UNSETTLED WITH ELEVATED CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION. OUT WEST...
INITIALLY THERE IS RIDGING BUILDING ACROSS THE BERING/CHAIN IN THE
WAKE OF THE LOW MOVING TOWARDS THE GULF MID WEEK. ANOTHER POWERFUL
960S MB LOW IS DEPICTED IMPACTING THE AREA BY FRI INTO THE WEEKEND.
SIZABLE TRACK AND SPEED DIFFERENCES EXIST WITH THIS FEATURE...WITH
THE GFS AND GEM TENDING TO BRING IT UP TOWARDS THE BERING
STRAIT...WHILE THE ECMWF MEANDERS THE LOW OUT OVER THE NW BERING SEA.
A GFS/GEM VERIFIED SOLUTION WOULD LIKELY BRING MUCH STRONGER WINDS
AND HIGHER SWELLS THROUGH THE BERING SEA AND TOWARDS THE SW MAINLAND.
AVERAGE TO LOW CONFIDENCE EXISTS IN THE LONG TERM FORECAST PERIOD.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE...130 132 138 150 155 160 172 176 351 352 413
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

MALOY