Gale Warning 425, NWS Anchorage, AK

759 
FZAK62 PAFC 291118
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKDT SAT JUN 29 2013

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-300300-
400 AM AKDT SAT JUN 29 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 977 MB LOW NEAR 49N 171E MOVES TO NEAR 55N 180 SAT NIGHT...THEN
WEAKENS TO 983 MB AS IT MOVES TO NEAR 59N 170W SUN NIGHT. AN
ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE EASTERN BERING AND REACHES
THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND COAST TONIGHT.  
 
$$

PKZ411-300300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKDT SAT JUN 29 2013

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. W OF 176E...NE WIND 15 TO 25 KT
BECOMING SE 15 TO 25 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE TO NW 15 TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 TO 13 FT EXCEPT 5 TO 8 FT N OF 56N. RAIN.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-300300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT SAT JUN 29 2013

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT SHIFTING TO THE SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
10 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT...BECOMING NW 15 TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON W OF
175W. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-300300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT SAT JUN 29 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-300300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKDT SAT JUN 29 2013

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

120 
FZAK62 PAFC 292230
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKDT SAT JUN 29 2013

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-301500-
400 PM AKDT SAT JUN 29 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 978 MB LOW NEAR 52N 176E WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN TO 987 MB NEAR 61N 170W
MON AFTERNOON. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT OVER THE EASTERN BERING
WILL DISSIPATE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND COAST LATE TONIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-301500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AKDT SAT JUN 29 2013

.TONIGHT...E OF 176E...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF
176E...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-301500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT SAT JUN 29 2013

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10
FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT W OF 176W. SEAS 13 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-301500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT SAT JUN 29 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-301500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AKDT SAT JUN 29 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

794 
FZAK62 PAFC 301153
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKDT SUN JUN 30 2013

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-010300-
400 AM AKDT SUN JUN 30 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 978 MB LOW NEAR 55N 180 WILL MOVE TO 62N 168W AS IT WEAKENS TO 990
MB MON NIGHT.
$$

PKZ411-010300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKDT SUN JUN 30 2013

.TODAY...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED AND THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ412-010300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT SUN JUN 30 2013

.TODAY...S WIND 20 TO 30 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 15 KT W OF 176W. SEAS 10
TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED AND THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ413-010300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 TO
14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-010300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT EXCEPT 25 KT N OF 57N. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT EXCEPT 25 KT N OF 57N. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY
FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT EXCEPT 25 KT N OF 56N. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

872 
FZAK62 PAFC 302300
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKDT SUN JUN 30 2013

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-011500-
400 PM AKDT SUN JUN 30 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 979 MB LOW NEAR 58N 175W WILL WEAKEN TO 984 MB NEAR 62N 171W MON
AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL THEN REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKEN TO
993 MB BY TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-011500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AKDT SUN JUN 30 2013

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ412-011500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT SUN JUN 30 2013

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-011500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ414-011500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AKDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

481 
FZAK62 PAFC 011151
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKDT MON JUL 1 2013

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-020300-
400 AM AKDT MON JUL 1 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 983 MB LOW NEAR 60N 170W WILL MOVE TO NEAR 64N 170W AS IT WEAKENS
TO 998 MB TUE NIGHT.
$$

PKZ411-020300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKDT MON JUL 1 2013

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ412-020300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT MON JUL 1 2013

.TODAY...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 


$$

PKZ413-020300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT MON JUL 1 2013

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ414-020300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKDT MON JUL 1 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT EXCEPT 15 KT N OF 58N. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
130 PM AKDT FRI JUN 28 2013

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN IS IN THE EARLY STAGES OF A MAJOR
TRANSITION. A CLOSED HIGH REMAINS OVER EASTERN SECTIONS OF INTERIOR
ALASKA...BUT IS BEING SLOWLY PUSHED INTO CANADA. WEAK DISTURBANCES
MOVING THROUGH THE EASTERLY FLOW AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE HIGH IS
HELPING TO MAINTAIN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE COPPER
RIVER BASIN. EARLIER THIS MORNING A MORE SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE KICKED
OFF A SIGNIFICANT ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAIN AROUND PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND. AT THE SURFACE...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE
OVER THE NORTHERN GULF...WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW MAINTAINING COPIOUS
AMOUNTS OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL. MEANWHILE...WEAK
DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT IS GENERATING MINOR SYNOPTIC-SCALE LIFT ACROSS
UPPER COOK INLET. AS A RESULT...LOW CLOUDS AND DRIZZLE AROUND
ANCHORAGE AND THE MAT-SU VALLEY SHOW NO SIGNS OF BURNING OFF WITH
DIURNAL HEATING TODAY. OUT WEST...A LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN
BERING IS GENERATING BROAD SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER MOST OF THE
REGION. AS A RESULT...INCREASING AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE ARE STREAMING
INLAND ALL THE WAY TO THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY. MEANWHILE...A RELATIVELY
WEAK FRONT IS IMPACTING THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND AKPEN TODAY WITH
RAIN AND WIND...BUT IS STRUGGLING TO MIX THE ATMOSPHERE ENOUGH TO GET
RID OF ENTRENCHED MARINE FOG. A MORE POTENT STORM IS TAKING SHAPE IN
THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC...PRIMED TO MOVE INTO THE WESTERN BERING EARLY
SATURDAY.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD OVERALL AGREEMENT ON THE EVOLUTION OF MAJOR
SYNOPTIC WEATHER FEATURES THROUGHOUT THE SHORT TERM FORECAST. NONE OF
THE MODELS ARE DOING PARTICULARLY WELL WITH THE AREAS OF CONVECTION
EAST OF THE ALASKA RANGE...WHICH IS LIKELY DUE TO THE FACT THAT THE
TRIGGER FOR THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE VERY WEAK SHORTWAVES
THAT THE MODELS OFTEN STRUGGLE TO RESOLVE. OUT WEST...THERE ARE SOME
MODEL DISCREPANCIES THAT DEVELOP AS THE NEW UPPER LOW AND LONGWAVE
TROUGH BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER THE WEEKEND. THE NAM IS AN OUTLIER
KEEPING THE REMNANTS OF THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE MAINLAND INTACT
LONGER...AND AS A RESULT THE UPPER LOW OVER THE BERING IS DISPLACED
FURTHER NORTH AND WEST. WHILE THE OTHER MODELS HAVE SOME
DIFFERENCES...ALL FLATTEN THE ANTECEDENT RIDGE A BIT FASTER...AND
THUS THE UPPER LOW (AND CORRESPONDING SURFACE LOW POSITION) MOVES
FURTHER EAST. THE HIGHER RESOLUTION OF THE NAM WAS USEFUL OVER THE
EASTERN DOMAIN TODAY...BUT THE NAM WAS REJECTED OVER THE WESTERN
DOMAIN DURING FORECAST PREP TODAY IN FAVOR OF AN ECMWF/GFS
COMBINATION.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...WEAK DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT SHOULD KEEP LOW CLOUDINESS
AROUND MUCH OF THE REGION UNTIL A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED RIDGE MOVES INTO
THE AREA FROM THE WEST ON SATURDAY. OVERALL FLOW WILL BECOME MUCH
MORE NORTHERLY AND OFFSHORE TOMORROW...BUT TRAPPED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
MAY CAUSE FOG/STRATUS TO LINGER INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. ASSUMING
SOME CLEARING SKIES...TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE AREA SHOULD REBOUND
NICELY TOMORROW WITH WARM AIR STILL IN PLACE FROM THE PAST FEW WEEKS.
BY SUNDAY...HIGH CLOUDS START TO OVERTAKE THE AREA FROM THE STORM
MOVING THROUGH THE BERING...WITH WIDESPREAD RAIN LIKELY BY SOMETIME
MONDAY AFTERNOON. WEAK AFTERNOON/EVENING SEA BREEZES ARE LIKELY BOTH
DAYS THIS WEEKEND ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE COASTAL AREAS.

SOUTHWEST...WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS THIS MORNING IS BREAKING UP WITH
DIURNAL HEATING ACROSS PARTS OF BRISTOL BAY AND THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY.
SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL DEVELOP BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON...BUT WITH
THE THERMAL TROUGH RETREATING INTO THE INTERIOR OF THE STATE DO NOT
ANTICIPATE MUCH RISK OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY OR FOR THE FORESEEABLE
FUTURE. BY MIDDAY TOMORROW STEADY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS WILL HAVE
MOVED INTO THE DELTA...SPREADING INLAND OVERNIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY
MORNING. THIS WILL BRING SIGNIFICANT RELIEF TO THE HOT AND DRY
CONDITIONS THAT HAVE LED TO WIDESPREAD WILDFIRE ACTIVITY.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...WEAK FRONT BRINGING RAIN AND WIND TO THE
PRIBILOFS AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS/AKPEN WILL MEANDER TO THE NORTHEAST
AND BE ABSORBED BY TOMORROW MORNING BY A STRONGER FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH THE DEVELOPING BERING STORM. WINDS ALONG THE FRONT ITSELF WILL
TOP OUT NEAR MIN-GALES. MEANWHILE...WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW
CENTER ITSELF MOVING THROUGH THE BERING SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY
WILL BE SLIGHTLY STRONGER AND MUCH MORE WIDESPREAD COMPARED TO THE
FRONT. THE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN BERING BY SUNDAY
NIGHT...SETTING THE REGION UP IN CONTINUED MOIST SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
WITH PRECIPITATION BECOMING MORE SHOWERY BUT REMAINING UNSETTLED.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
AS MENTIONED ABOVE...A MAJOR PATTERN CHANGE IS TAKING SHAPE THAT WILL
AFFECT VIRTUALLY THE ENTIRE STATE. BROAD SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL
ALLOW AMPLE MOISTURE TO PENETRATE FAR INTO INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE
STATE BY THE START OF NEXT WEEK. THIS NEW PATTERN FEATURING A
LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE BERING SEA WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN PLACE
THROUGH AT LEAST THE END OF NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES OVER THE MAINLAND
WILL DRAMATICALLY RETURN TO NEAR OR EVEN BELOW NORMAL AS WIDESPREAD
CLOUDINESS LARGELY LIMITS DIURNAL HEATING.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE 170 172 175 176 180
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

DIXON JUN 13