Gale Warning 200, NWS Anchorage, AK

019 
FZAK51 PAFC 220049 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST THU FEB 21 2013

CORRECTED ZONE 129

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-221500-
400 PM AKST THU FEB 21 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 983 MB LOW NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL DISSIPATE TONIGHT. A 980 MB
LOW 290 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 100 NM WEST OF CAPE
DECISION AT 972 MB EARLY FRI MORNING...THEN MOVE INTO THE AK
PANHANDLE FRI AFTERNOON. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN
GULF SAT MORNING AND MOVE TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SAT AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-221500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST THU FEB 21 2013

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 
FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14
FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-221500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST THU FEB 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-221500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST THU FEB 21 2013

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ126-221500-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKST THU FEB 21 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ127-221500-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKST THU FEB 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.  
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ128-221500-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKST THU FEB 21 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.  
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-221500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST THU FEB 21 2013

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR
WHITTIER TOWARDS MORNING. SEAS 1 FT BUILDING TO 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER...
BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-221500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST THU FEB 21 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45
KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES BY MIDNIGHT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. SEAS 8 FT. FROM THE BARREN ISLANDS E...NW WIND 20 KT
INCREASING TO NW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
14 FT EXCEPT 8 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY IN
THE EVENING. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-221500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST THU FEB 21 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND 25 KT
BECOMING W 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE
COAST.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16
FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST IN THE MORNING.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-221500-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKST THU FEB 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 
FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-221500-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKST THU FEB 21 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 
FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 
FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-221500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST THU FEB 21 2013

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES
DEVELOPING BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-221500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST THU FEB 21 2013

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT BUILDING
TO 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW N OF KALGIN ISLAND.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT SW 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW N OF KALGIN ISLAND.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 1 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-221500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST THU FEB 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO W 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 
FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

JM

673 
FZAK51 PAFC 221248
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-230300-
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 973 MB LOW 210 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT WILL MOVE INLAND THIS AFTERNOON.
A 990 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 30 NM SOUTHEAST OF CORDOVA SAT AFTERNOON
AND DISSIPATE SAT NIGHT. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN
GULF SAT MORNING AND MOVE TO THE NORTH GULF COAST SAT AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-230300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT W WIND 35 KT S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. SEAS
8 FT EXCEPT 14 FT S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT.
SNOW.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-230300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER
WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-230300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-230300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-230300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-230300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-230300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING
TO 1 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-230300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...W WIND 30 KT
DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT EXCEPT 9 FT W OF
THE BARREN ISLANDS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT
EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 30 KT
DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT EXCEPT 7 FT W OF
THE BARREN ISLANDS. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-230300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15
FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT
BUILDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-230300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. SNOW. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-230300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-230300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
SNOW.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-230300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-230300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

903 
FZAK51 PAFC 221518 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
615 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

UPDATED ZONES 136 137 138

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-230300-
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 973 MB LOW 210 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT WILL MOVE INLAND THIS AFTERNOON.
A 990 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 30 NM SOUTHEAST OF CORDOVA SAT AFTERNOON
AND DISSIPATE SAT NIGHT. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN
GULF SAT MORNING AND MOVE TO THE NORTH GULF COAST SAT AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-230300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT W WIND 35 KT S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. SEAS
8 FT EXCEPT 14 FT S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT.
SNOW.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-230300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER
WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-230300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-230300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-230300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-230300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-230300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING
TO 1 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-230300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...W WIND 30 KT
DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT EXCEPT 9 FT W OF
THE BARREN ISLANDS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT
EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 30 KT
DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT EXCEPT 7 FT W OF
THE BARREN ISLANDS. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-230300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15
FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT
BUILDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-230300-
CHINIAK BAY
615 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-230300-
MARMOT BAY
615 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-230300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
615 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-230300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-230300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

860 
FZAK51 PAFC 221911 AAB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1010 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

UPDATED ZONE 130

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-230300-
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 973 MB LOW 210 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT WILL MOVE INLAND THIS AFTERNOON.
A 990 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 30 NM SOUTHEAST OF CORDOVA SAT AFTERNOON
AND DISSIPATE SAT NIGHT. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN
GULF SAT MORNING AND MOVE TO THE NORTH GULF COAST SAT AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-230300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT W WIND 35 KT S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. SEAS
8 FT EXCEPT 14 FT S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT.
SNOW.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-230300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER
WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-230300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-230300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-230300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-230300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-230300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING
TO 1 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-230300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
1010 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SATURDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT....DIMINISHING TO 25 KT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT EXCEPT 9 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT
EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 30 KT
DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT EXCEPT 7 FT W OF
THE BARREN ISLANDS. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-230300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15
FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT
BUILDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-230300-
CHINIAK BAY
615 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-230300-
MARMOT BAY
615 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-230300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
615 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-230300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-230300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

206 
FZAK51 PAFC 230040
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-231500-
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 990 MB LOW OVER PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND WILL DISSIPATE TONIGHT. A
WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF FRI NIGHT AND MOVE TO
THE NORTH GULF COAST SAT AFTERNOON. A 984 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO 150 NM
SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK LATE SAT NIGHT...THEN MOVE TO 260 NM SOUTH OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND WHILE WEAKENING TO 997 MB SUN AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-231500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-231500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-231500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-231500-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-231500-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT DURING THE EVENING. 
SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ128-231500-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3
FT. SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-231500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER 
DIMINISHING TO W 10 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 1
FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-231500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT
EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS IN THE EVENING. 
.SAT...W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. FROM THE BARREN
ISLANDS E...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
FROM THE BARREN ISLANDS E...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-231500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15
FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-231500-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. SNOW. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ137-231500-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-231500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT THIS EVENING. SEAS 6 FT.
SNOW. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. SNOW. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-231500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF KALGIN
ISLAND...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-231500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. SNOW. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

JM

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1225 PM AKST THU FEB 21 2013

CORRECTED MARINE HEADLINES AT BOTTOM

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A LONG-WAVE TROUGH ENCOMPASSES ALL OF
THE ALASKA REGION WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A BLOCKING HIGH CENTERED
OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA. A STRONG SUBTROPICAL JET EXTENDS ACROSS THE
NORTH PACIFIC PASSING JUST SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS AND GULF OF ALASKA.
THIS HAS RESULTED IN RAPID MOVEMENT OF DEEP LOWS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
TIER OF THE FORECAST AREA. ONE SUCH LOW IS PASSING JUST SOUTH OF
THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND KODIAK ISLAND THIS MORNING. AS HAS BEEN
THE CASE WITH SYSTEMS PRECEDING THIS ONE IT IS SMALL AND COMPACT.
THIS PRODUCES RAPID PRESSURE FALLS AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM AND RAPID
PRESSURE RISES BEHIND IT. THE PRESSURE RISES ARE LEADING TO STRONG
GUSTY WINDS IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW.

MEANWHILE...A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN GULF IS LIFTING
NORTHWARD HELPING TO ADVECT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INLAND RESULTING
IN AREAS OF LIGHT SNOW OVER SOUTHCENTRAL. A SEPARATE OUT OF PHASE
SHORT-WAVE TROUGH OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA IS ALSO LIFTING NORTHWARD...
BUT BEGINNING TO STALL THANKS TO ANOTHER SHORT-WAVE DROPPING DOWN
FROM NORTHWEST ALASKA. THE AREA IN BETWEEN THE TWO IS OBSERVING
SNOW...FROM THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA TO THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY. A COUPLE
OTHER SHORT-WAVES CROSSING THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS ARE
PRODUCING SHOWERS AND LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS.

THE NEXT MAJOR STORM SYSTEM IS JUST BEGINNING TO DEEPEN SOUTH OF
THE ALEUTIANS.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS HAVE COME INTO MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT
WITH THE MANY WEAK SHORT-WAVES TRANSITING THE REGION OVER THE
NEXT DAY OR SO. THERE ARE HOWEVER MUCH MORE SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES
WITH THE EVOLUTION OF THE DEVELOPING NORTH PACIFIC LOW. OVER THE
PAST 24 HOURS THE ECMWF HAS SHIFTED EAST CLOSER TO WHERE ALL OTHER
AVAILABLE MODELS HAD THE LOW WHILE THE GFS AND NAM HAVE SHIFTED
WESTWARD TO THE OLD POSITION OF THE ECMWF. FOR THE 12Z MODEL CYCLE
THE FASTER (FARTHER EAST) ECMWF TRACK IS SUPPORTED BY THE
GEMGLB/UKMET AS WELL AS ECMWF ENSEMBLE AND OTHER GLOBAL ENSEMBLES.
INHERITED FORECAST IS IN BETWEEN THE ECMWF AND GFS SOLUTIONS...SO
PLAN TO BLEND TOWARD THE ECMWF RECOGNIZING THERE IS STILL QUITE
A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY. IN ADDITION...MODELS ARE TRENDING TOWARD
DEVELOPMENT OF A TRIPLE POINT LOW IN BRISTOL BAY WHICH CHANGES
THE IMPACT OF THIS SYSTEM ON SOUTHCENTRAL. FOR NOW WILL TRY AND
FOCUS ON THE HIGHER PROBABILITY ASPECTS OF THE FORECAST AND
BROAD-BRUSH THE REST.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EXPECT AREAS OF SNOW TO PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY
AS WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVES MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. GENERALLY
EXPECT LIGHT SNOW WITH MINOR ACCUMULATION. THE STRONGEST AND MOST
FOCUSED VERTICAL MOTION WILL BE DURING THE DAY FRIDAY AS A SHORT-WAVE
AMPLIFIES AS IT TRACKS FROM SOUTHWEST ALASKA TO SOUTHCENTRAL THANKS
TO A BUILDING UPSTREAM RIDGE (AHEAD OF THE PACIFIC STORM). SOME WEAK
COLD ADVECTION WILL ACCOMPANY THIS SHORT-WAVE AND PRODUCE SNOW MAINLY
ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE CHUGACH AND TALKEETNA MOUNTAINS FROM
ANCHORAGE TO THE MAT VALLEY AND EASTERN SUSITNA VALLEY. MEANWHILE...
STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE GULF AND KODIAK ISLAND WATERS IN
THE WAKE OF THE LOW CURRENTLY PASSING SOUTH OF KODIAK. INITIALLY LOW
LEVEL FORCING WILL DOMINATE WITH A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT/PRESSURE
RISES/AND WEAK COLD AIR ADVECTION. AN UPPER TROUGH WILL THEN MOVE
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING AND PRODUCE STRONG DOWNWARD MOTION WHICH WILL
HELP MIX DOWN STRONGER WINDS FROM ALOFT...IN EFFECT MAINTAINING THE
STRONG WINDS AT THE SURFACE THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

THERE WON'T BE MUCH OF A BREAK BEFORE FRONTAL SYSTEM ASSOCIATED
WITH DEEP LOW MOVING INTO THE BERING SEA ARRIVES IN THE GULF AND
SOUTHCENTRAL FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. AT THIS POINT THERE IS QUITE
A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY IN THE DETAILS OF THIS SYSTEM...BUT GENERALLY
EXPECT A STRONG FAST MOVING FRONT TO QUICKLY WEAKEN AS IT CROSSES
THE GULF AND REACHES SOUTHCENTRAL. THE TRIPLE POINT LOOKS LIKE IT
WILL SPEED QUICKLY TOWARD SOUTHEAST ALASKA...WHICH MEANS AIR MASS
WILL REMAIN COLD ENOUGH OVER SOUTHCENTRAL TO PRODUCE PRIMARILY SNOW.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...THE SHORT-WAVE WHICH HAS BEEN LIFTING NORTHWARD
THIS MORNING WILL STALL THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN SLIDE EASTWARD
TOWARD SOUTHCENTRAL TONIGHT. THIS WILL BRING AN END TO MOST OF THE
SNOW ACROSS THE REGION. THERE MAY BE SOME LINGERING SHOWERS AS ONE
FINAL UPPER LEVEL WAVE MOVES THROUGH ON FRIDAY...ESPECIALLY ON THE
WES SIDE OF THE ALASKA AND ALEUTIAN RANGES AND ALONG THE ALASKA
PENINSULA. THE FRONTAL SYSTEM FROM THE STRONG LOW OUT WEST WILL
ARRIVE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF
UNCERTAINTY AS TO LOCATION AND EXTENT OF TRIPLE POINT LOW
DEVELOPMENT. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LOW
VISIBILITIES IN SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW AS THIS FIRST ARRIVES...BUT
WILL NEED TO WAIT UNTIL HAVE A BETTER IDEA OF HOW STRONG WINDS WILL
BE BEFORE CONSIDERING WHETHER ANY ADVISORIES OR WARNINGS WILL BE
NEEDED. IT DOES LOOK LIKE EVERYTHING WILL ME MOVING FAIRLY QUICKLY
AND WEAKENING AS IT ARRIVES...SO THE DURATION OF THIS STORM SHOULD
BE FAIRLY SHORT.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...THERE IS FAIRLY HIGH PROBABILITY THAT WINDS
ALONG THE ALEUTIANS WILL REACH HIGH WIND WARNING THRESHOLDS ON THE
SOUTH SIDE OF THE STORM AS IT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN BERING AND
RAPIDLY OCCLUDES. HOWEVER...UNCERTAINTY IN THE TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM
MAKES IT DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT WHERE THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE.
THEREFORE...PLAN TO STICK WITH THE CURRENT HIGH WIND WATCH FOR THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS AND MAKE THE WARNING DECISION AFTER SEEING THE
00Z MODEL CYCLE. THE OTHER POTENTIAL HAZARDS ARE A BLIZZARD ON THE
PRIBILOF ISLANDS AS THE OCCLUDED FRONT ARRIVES TOMORROW AFTERNOON
OR EVENING AND A BLIZZARD OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS ON THE BACK
SIDE OF THE LOW. SINCE SYSTEM POSITION WILL BE KEY TO WHETHER THESE
HAPPEN OR NOT...WILL HOLD OFF ON ISSUING ANY ADDITIONAL WATCHES FOR
NOW. THIS SYSTEM WILL ULTIMATELY TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
BERING AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH ARCTIC AIR DIVING
SOUTHWARD BEHIND THE LOW AND PRODUCING SNOW SHOWERS AND
GUSTY WINDS.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW LOOKS LIKE IT WILL REMAIN
PROGRESSIVE THROUGH THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD. A PERSISTENT
STRONG SUBTROPICAL JET OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL CONTINUE TO
GENERATE DEEP LOWS TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHERN TIER OF THE FORECAST
AREA FROM THE ALEUTIANS TO THE GULF OF ALASKA. THIS WILL GENERALLY
KEEP TEMPERATURES ON THE COLD SIDE ACROSS THE BERING
SEA/ALEUTIANS/SOUTHWEST ALASKA WHILE SOUTHCENTRAL WILL LIKELY
REMAIN NEAR NORMAL.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WATCH 187.
MARINE...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...172
         STORM WARNING...170 175
         GALE WARNING...120 130 132 137 150 155 160 165 171 179 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEB FEB 13