Wind Advisory 28, NWS Albuquerque, NM

403 
WWUS75 KABQ 301722
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1122 AM MDT THU MAY 30 2013

...GUSTY WINDS OVER NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO TODAY
AND EARLY THIS EVENING...

.STRONG WINDS ALOFT WILL REMAIN OVER FAR NORTHERN NEW MEXICO
TODAY. COMBINED WITH WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHEAST
COLORADO...GUSTY WEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ADVISORY AREA.
LOCALIZED AREAS OF REDUCED VISIBILTIES IN BLOWING DUST ARE
POSSIBLE.

NMZ510>516-523-527>529-310300-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-130531T0300Z/
SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
1122 AM MDT THU MAY 30 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

* LOCATION...MUCH OF NORTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO AS WELL AS THE 
  CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS...FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND 
  RATON RIDGE AND JOHNSON MESA. 

* WINDS...WEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS RANGING FROM 40 TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN WITH THE PEAK GUSTS
  OCCURRING EARLY AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING. WINDS SHOULD BE
  DIMINISHING AROUND SUNSET.

* VISIBILITY...LOCALLY REDUCED TO 3 TO 5 MILES IN BLOWING DUST.

* LOCAL IMPACTS...STRONG CROSS WINDS MAY IMPACT NORTH TO SOUTH 
  ORIENTED HIGHWAYS SUCH AS INTERSTATE 25 FROM NEAR GLORIETA TO 
  THE COLORADO BORDER. BLOWING DUST MAY ALSO SUDDENLY RESTRICT 
  VISIBILITIES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELLING. SUDDEN GUSTS
OF WIND MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. EXTRA
ATTENTION SHOULD BE GIVEN TO CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$
50

592 
WWUS75 KABQ 310246
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
846 PM MDT THU MAY 30 2013

NMZ510>516-523-527>529-310400-
/O.EXP.KABQ.WI.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-130531T0300Z/
SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
846 PM MDT THU MAY 30 2013

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

WINDS ARE WEAKENING BELOW HAZARDOUS THRESHOLDS...SO THE WIND
ADVISORY WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH MID EVENING IN THE MOUNTAINS...THEN WINDY
CONDITIONS WILL REDEVELOP BY MID DAY ON FRIDAY.

$$

44

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
325 AM MDT THU MAY 30 2013

.DISCUSSION...
DRYLINE HAS SO FAR STAYED TO THE EAST OF NEW MEXICO THIS MORNING AND
ALTHOUGH IT/S FAIRLY CLOSE TO HOBBS DON/T EXPECT IT TO GET MUCH
FARTHER WEST IF AT ALL. IN THE NORTHEAST DEWPOINTS HAVE COME UP AS
THE SFC LOW SHIFTED INTO THE TX/OK PANHANDLES BUT THIS INCREASE
LIKELY WON/T LAST LONG WITH THE RUC FORECASTING A WEAK SFC LOW TO
REDEVELOP OVER SE CO BY MIDDAY. MODELS ALSO SHOW CURRENT BATCH OF
MID LEVEL MOISTURE EXITING BY MIDDAY. UPPER JET TO RETREAT NWD TODAY
BUT WILL BE STRETCHED OVER FAR NRN NM AND COLORADO...COMBINED WITH
THE SFC LOW PLACEMENT WILL HAVE LOW END WIND ADVY OVER SOME OF THE
NORTH CENTRAL/NORTHEAST SOUTH TO CLINES CORNERS.

DRY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER WINDY DAY ON FRIDAY WITH CRITICAL
FIRE WX CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. ANOTHER BATCH OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE
PASSES OVERHEAD TONIGHT AND FRIDAY BUT ANYTHING MORE THAN A FEW
SPRINKLES OUT OF IT...IF THAT...WOULD BE A SURPRISE.

SURFACE FRONT PUSHES THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT WITH THE BACK DOOR FRONT
INTO THE EAST SATURDAY. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE APPEARS TO MOVE IN FROM
THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST WITH INCREASING INSTAB SO WENT AHEAD AND
SPREAD SOME SMALL POPS FROM THE EAST SLOPES OF THE SOUTH CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN ACROSS CHAVES COUNTY AND NORTHEAST ALONG THE TX BORDER
SATURDAY AFTERNOON ALTHOUGH FOR NOW BEST CONFIDENCE IS IN THE
SOUTHEAST. ANOTHER BLOB OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE TO MIGRATE OVER THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE STATE AND COULD NOT RULE OUT A FEW SPRINKLES
UNDERNEATH IT...BUT LEFT MENTION OUT OF FCST FOR NOW. IN FACT THE
ADJMET GUIDANCE DOES PAINT SOME LOW POPS OVER THE SOUTHWEST MTS.

INCREASED POPS SOMEWHAT SUNDAY ESPECIALLY ALONG THE CENTRAL MT
CHAIN. LEFT THE MENTION OF DRY CONVECTION FROM THE RGV WWD ALTHOUGH
COULD BE A MIX WITH AT LEAST SOME MEAGER MEASURABLE PCPN DEPENDING
IF THE SURGE IS AS STRONG AS DEPICTED SO FAR. HOWEVER...MONDAY
STARTS TO DRY OUT AND TUESDAY EVEN MORE SO. REMOVED THE POPS IN THE
EAST FOR TUESDAY NIGHT...AND PROBABLY SHOULD HAVE FOR TUESDAY AS
WELL AS RIGHT NOW IT LOOKS DRY. ANOTHER BACKDOOR FRONT WEDNESDAY
LOOKS TO PUSH INTO THE RGV WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SO POPS/WX GRIDS FOR
MID TO LATE WEEK HAVE BEEN UPDATED.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

...WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS DUE TO STRONG WIND
AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR MUCH OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO THROUGH
FRIDAY...
...DRY LIGHTNING THREAT INCREASING SUNDAY CENTRAL/WEST...

MOVING INTO DAY 2 OF A PROTRACTED CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER PATTERN THAT
WILL EXTEND THROUGH FRIDAY. THEREAFTER...FAR LESS WIND BUT GROWING
CONFIDENCE IN A SUBSTANTIAL WESTERLY PUSH OF LOWER LEVEL MOISTURE
THAT WILL RESULT IN A SIGNIFICANT DRY LIGHTNING THREAT FOR
CENTRAL/WESTERN AREAS BY SUNDAY.

SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE A CLASSIC TRANSITION DAY AS RICHER LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE INITIALLY MAKES A RETURN TO THE EC/SE PLAINS AS SURFACE
WINDS VEER TO SELY AND TAPS INTO A NOW SEMI-PERMANENT POOL OF
GULFMEX MOISTURE.  POTENTIAL FOR SOME DRIER STORMS ALONG THE EAST
SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL/SC MOUNTAIN SATURDAY PM. HIGHER DEW POINT AIR
ALSO CREEPING NORTHWARD ALONG THE RGV AND THAT COUPLED WITH A SUBTLE
AND ALWAYS SNEAKY UPTICK IN MID-LEVEL MOISTURE AS THE UPPER RIDGE
EXPANDS/BUILDS NORTHWARD COULD RESULT IN AT LEAST AN ISOLATED DRY
LIGHTNING THREAT OVER THE WC/SW HIGHER TERRAIN AS EARLY AS SATURDAY
AFTERNOON OR EVENING. THIS WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED.

EVEN THE SLIGHTEST UPTICK IN LOWER/MID LEVEL  MOISTURE IN THE
PRESENCE OF VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES THAT ARE TYPICAL OF THE
DEVELOPING PATTERN THIS WEEKEND SEEMS TO RESULT IN MORE THAN
EXPECTED BUILDUPS/VIRGA AND DRY CG/S. WE SHALL SEE.  SUNDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING LOOKING TO BE THE MORE CRITICAL DAY WITH RESPECT
TO DRY LIGHTNING THOUGH MONDAY COULD BE FAIRLY ACTIVE EAST OF THE
DIVIDE.

IN THE MEANTIME...LARGE-SCALE UPPER TROUGH SLOWLY PIVOTING NORTHEAST
FROM THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN ROCKIES EARLY THIS MORNING. BASE OF THE
TROUGH TRANSLATED EASTWARD OVER OUR AREA THIS PAST NIGHT AND PRESENT
INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE STRONGEST MID-LEVEL WINDS WILL PASS
OVERHEAD BEFORE MIDDAY. THAT SAID...AN ANOMALOUSLY STRONG UPPER
LEVEL JET ORIENTED NW TO SE FROM THE GREAT BASIN TO THE FOUR CORNERS
REGION WILL NOT SHIFT NORTHWARD APPRECIABLY TODAY. AS A
RESULT...WIND SPEEDS THOUGH A BIT LESS THAN YESTERDAY WILL STILL BE
SIGNIFICANT WITH FREQUENT GUSTS OF 35-40 MPH ACROSS THE NORTH.
SURFACE LOW NOT AS FAVORABLE EITHER.   NO CHANGES TO THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH FOR FRIDAY THOUGH BELT OF STRONGEST WINDS DO SHIFT
SOUTHWARD PER PREVIOUS FORECAST.  VERY DEEP MIXING CONTINUES TODAY
BEFORE MAX MIXING HEIGHTS TREND DOWNWARD SLIGHTLY ON FRIDAY. LOWEST
RH VALUES CENTRAL VALLEY CORRIDOR AND IN THE EAST.

EXTENDED MODELS STILL TRENDING DRIER/BREEZIER EARLY NEXT WORK WEEK
FOLLOWING OUR LIGHTNING PERIOD.  BACK TO VERY DEEP MIXING AND GUSTY
AFTERNOON/EVENING PERIODS THOUGH TOO EARLY TO GAUGE STRENGTH OF ANY
SUSTAINED WINDY PERIODS.  KJ

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF CYCLE
TROUGH ALOFT EXTENDING FROM NORTHERN ROCKIES SOUTHWARD ACROSS
EASTERN NM TO THE TX BIG BEND COUNTRY...AS SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM CENTRAL NEBRASKA ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE. CLOUD COVER AOA
BKN/OVC100 MOVING EAST ACROSS THE STATE ALONG INTERSTATE 40
CORRIDOR WILL DISSIPATE BY 12Z THU MORNING. GUSTY WEST WINDS
REDEVELOPING RAPIDLY FROM 14Z ONWARD ACROSS THE EAST SLOPES OF OF
THE CENTRAL MTS...AND THEN STATEWIDE BY 18Z. AREAS OF BLOWING DUST
WILL DROP VIZ TO 5SM OR LESS AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY OVER THE EASTERN
PLAINS.

SHY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  81  49  82  42 /   0   0   0   0
DULCE...........................  73  41  75  32 /   0   0   0   0
CUBA............................  77  43  77  40 /   0   0   0   0
GALLUP..........................  81  45  82  37 /   0   0   0   0
EL MORRO........................  79  44  81  40 /   0   0   0   0
GRANTS..........................  82  47  84  39 /   0   0   0   0
QUEMADO.........................  81  47  83  43 /   0   0   0   0
GLENWOOD........................  85  49  87  57 /   0   0   0   0
CHAMA...........................  71  37  70  30 /   5   0   5   5
LOS ALAMOS......................  80  45  81  41 /   0   0   0   0
PECOS...........................  78  47  80  44 /   0   0   0   0
CERRO/QUESTA....................  73  38  74  32 /   0   0   0   0
RED RIVER.......................  64  36  63  36 /   0   0   0   0
ANGEL FIRE......................  69  38  71  34 /   0   0   0   0
TAOS............................  75  40  77  34 /   0   0   0   0
MORA............................  75  42  78  39 /   0   0   0   0
ESPANOLA........................  83  45  84  45 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA FE........................  80  45  80  43 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  82  49  84  45 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  83  56  85  50 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  85  60  88  56 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  86  54  90  56 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  86  58  88  54 /   0   0   0   0
LOS LUNAS.......................  88  60  91  56 /   0   0   0   0
RIO RANCHO......................  85  58  87  54 /   0   0   0   0
SOCORRO.........................  90  62  94  59 /   0   0   0   0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  82  51  83  49 /   0   0   0   0
TIJERAS.........................  83  55  85  48 /   0   0   0   0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  82  50  84  47 /   0   0   0   0
CLINES CORNERS..................  81  51  80  47 /   0   0   0   0
GRAN QUIVIRA....................  84  53  85  50 /   0   0   0   0
CARRIZOZO.......................  84  59  87  56 /   0   0   0   0
RUIDOSO.........................  76  57  80  57 /   0   0   0   0
CAPULIN.........................  80  48  82  40 /   0   0   0   5
RATON...........................  81  44  84  40 /   0   0   0   5
SPRINGER........................  82  43  84  40 /   0   0   0   0
LAS VEGAS.......................  80  48  82  41 /   0   0   0   0
CLAYTON.........................  87  52  86  48 /   0   0   0   5
ROY.............................  84  51  85  46 /   0   0   0   5
CONCHAS.........................  90  53  91  52 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA ROSA......................  91  54  92  52 /   0   0   0   0
TUCUMCARI.......................  95  55  95  53 /   0   0   0   5
CLOVIS..........................  92  57  94  56 /   0   0   0   5
PORTALES........................  94  57  95  56 /   0   0   0   5
FORT SUMNER.....................  94  59  96  55 /   0   0   0   0
ROSWELL.........................  96  64  99  62 /   0   0   0   0
PICACHO.........................  89  63  92  59 /   0   0   0   0
ELK.............................  84  62  88  58 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ101>104-106>108.

FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR
THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ101>108.

WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ510>516-523-527>529.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
534 AM MDT WED MAY 29 2013

NMZ501>540-301200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
534 AM MDT WED MAY 29 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MDT TO 8 PM MDT FOR
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO WHERE LOW HUMIDITIES COMBINED WITH
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM MDT TO 9 PM MDT FOR MUCH OF
CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. AREAS OF BLOWING DUST CAN BE
EXPECTED BY LATE AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
NEW MEXICO WITH VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THURSDAY FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL
AND NORTHERN NEW MEXICO WHERE LOW HUMIDITIES COMBINED WITH STRONG
WINDS WILL CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

MORE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED ON FRIDAY...
MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

CONTACT YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AT 911 AND THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 1.888.386.7637 TO REPORT WILDFIRE OUTBREAKS.

11