Wind Advisory 10, NWS Albuquerque, NM

799 
WWUS75 KABQ 031834
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1134 AM MST SUN MAR 3 2013

...STRONG WINDS OVER THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING...

.WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IS STRENGTHENING AHEAD OF A STORM SYSTEM
NEARING THE CALIFORNIA COAST WHILE A SURFACE LOW DEEPENS OVER
SOUTHEAST COLORADO TODAY. THESE WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE STRONG
AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WINDS MAY NOT DECREASE TOO MUCH TONIGHT.

NMZ523-529-533-040300-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0010.130303T1900Z-130304T0300Z/
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
1134 AM MST SUN MAR 3 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATION...CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND GUADALUPE 
  COUNTY. 

* WINDS...WEST TO SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL REACH ADVISORY LEVELS BY EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
  CONTINUE UNTIL DARK BEFORE EASING A BIT.

* VISIBILITY...LOCALIZED AREAS OF BLOWING DUST WILL REDUCE THE 
  VISIBILITY BELOW 3 MILES AT TIMES. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...STRONG CROSS WINDS WILL IMPACT SOUTH TO NORTH 
  ORIENTATED ROADS INCLUDING U.S. HIGHWAYS 285 AND 84. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELLING. SUDDEN GUSTS
OF WIND MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. EXTRA
ATTENTION SHOULD BE GIVEN TO CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

446 
WWUS75 KABQ 040250
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
750 PM MST SUN MAR 3 2013

...WINDY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TO PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO
MONDAY...

.STRONG WINDS IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL
COMBINE WITH A DEEPENING SURFACE LEE TROUGH OVER EASTERN NEW
MEXICO TO PRODUCE MORE WINDY CONDITIONS MONDAY. WEST TO NORTHWEST
WINDS WILL BE MORE WIDESPREAD THAN TODAY WITH GUSTS OF 50 TO 55
MPH POSSIBLE TO THE LEE OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN ALONG THE
INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR TO THE TEXAS STATE LINE. WINDS WILL TAPER
OFF BY MONDAY EVENING AND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTH 
THROUGH THE EVENING. 

NMZ523-529-533-040700-
/O.EXP.KABQ.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-130304T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.WI.Y.0011.130304T1600Z-130305T0200Z/
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
750 PM MST SUN MAR 3 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 7 PM MST MONDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 7 PM MST MONDAY. 

* LOCATION...CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND GUADALUPE 
  COUNTY. 

* WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDY CONDITIONS WILL REDEVELOP MONDAY MORNING THEN PEAK
  MONDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE TAPERING OFF MONDAY EVENING.

* VISIBILITY...LOCALIZED AREAS OF BLOWING DUST WILL REDUCE THE 
  VISIBILITY BELOW 3 MILES AT TIMES. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...STRONG CROSS WINDS WILL IMPACT SOUTH TO NORTH
  ORIENTATED ROADS INCLUDING U.S. HIGHWAYS 285...54...AND 84.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELLING. SUDDEN GUSTS
OF WIND MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. EXTRA
ATTENTION SHOULD BE GIVEN TO CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

NMZ526-532-534-537-539-540-040700-
/O.NEW.KABQ.WI.Y.0011.130304T1600Z-130305T0200Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-
DE BACA COUNTY-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
750 PM MST SUN MAR 3 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 7 PM MST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 7 PM MST MONDAY. 

* LOCATION...FROM THE SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS
  MUCH OF THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS.

* WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH

* TIMING...WINDY CONDITIONS WILL REDEVELOP MONDAY MORNING THEN PEAK
  MONDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE TAPERING OFF MONDAY EVENING.

* VISIBILITY...LOCALIZED AREAS OF BLOWING DUST WILL REDUCE THE 
  VISIBILITY BELOW 3 MILES AT TIMES.

* LOCAL IMPACTS...STRONG CROSS WINDS WILL IMPACT SOUTH TO NORTH
  ORIENTATED ROADS INCLUDING U.S. HIGHWAYS 285.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELLING. SUDDEN GUSTS
OF WIND MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. EXTRA
ATTENTION SHOULD BE GIVEN TO CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
302 AM MST SUN MAR 3 2013

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS BEGINNING TO FLATTEN THIS MORNING AS EVIDENT BY
THE HIGH CLOUDINESS MOVING INTO THE STATE. DESPITE THE
CLOUDS...TEMPERATURES ARE STILL EXPECTED TO SOAR 5 TO 15 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL THIS AFTERNOON.  A FEW LOCALES MAY EVEN NEAR RECORD
HIGHS. WESTERLY 700 MB FLOW WILL INCREASE BETWEEN 35 AND 45 KTS THIS
AFTERNOON. STRONG MIXING AND A DEEPENING SURFACE LOW WILL CREATE
WINDY SURFACE CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY JUST EAST OF THE CENTRAL MTN
CHAIN. WILL ISSUE A LOW END WIND ADVISORY FOR THE NORMAL WINDY
PLACES...KCQC/KLVS/ETC FOR THIS AFTERNOON. 700 MB FLOW LOOKS TO
INCREASE THIS EVENING...AND AN ADVISORY FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL MTNS
MAY BE NEEDED FOR THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. WILL LET THE DAY SHIFT
REEVALUATE THIS.

THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH AIMED FOR THE STATE TONIGHT...LOOKS TO BE A BIT
SLOWER....AND THUS DOES NOT CROSS NORTHERN NM UNTIL MONDAY. HAVE
BACKED OFF ON POPS FOR THE TONIGHT PERIOD...AND FOCUSED THEM MORE ON
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS STAND TO PICK UP AN
INCH OR TWO OF SNOW ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...BUT GIVEN THE
LIMITED MOISTURE AND QUICK HITTING SYSTEM...HARD TO BELIEVE MUCH
MORE THAN THAT WOULD FALL. SOME OF THE BETTER PRECIP CHANCES WILL
OCCUR MONDAY EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHEAST BEHIND A BACK DOOR FRONT.
TEMPS WILL QUICKLY FALL MONDAY EVENING BEHIND THE FRONT...AND THUS
MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AS SNOW.  COULD SEE SOME LIGHT
ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST...AND WITH NORTHERLY WINDS AT 20
TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...SOME BLOWING SNOW IS LIKELY.

QUIETER AND DRIER CONDITIONS RETURN TUESDAY UNDER A RIDGE. THE
PACIFIC MOISTURE THAT WAS POISED TO BE ADVECTED INTO NM WEDNESDAY
LOOKS INCREASINGLY PATHETIC. HAVE REMOVED POPS FROM THE NORTH AND
WEST...AND WAS TEMPTED TO DO SO ON THURSDAY AS WELL.

BIG STORM SYSTEM STILL LOOKS TO IMPACT THE LAND OF ENCHANTMENT OVER
THE WEEKEND.  GFS AND EURO CONTINUE TO DIFFER ON THE PATH OF THE
STORM...WHICH WILL HAVE IMPLICATIONS ON WHICH LOCALES STAND THE BEST
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION. STILL LOOKS LIKE A POTENTIALLY WIDESPREAD
PRECIP EVENT.

34

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR PORTIONS OF THE EAST PLAINS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

UPPER LEVEL RIDGE HAS FLATTENED INTO A ZONAL FLOW AHEAD OF A SHORT
WAVE TROUGH NEARING THE CALIFORNIA COAST. WINDS ALOFT WILL CONTINUE
TO INCREASE TODAY AND TONIGHT. MEANWHILE...SURFACE LOW PRESSURE IN
THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES WILL STRENGTHEN...COMBINING TO CREATE STRONG
WEST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON. MOUNTAIN TOP LEVEL WIND SPEEDS WILL NEAR
50 KNOTS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH
THE WINDS DROPPING DOWN ALONG THE EAST SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN CHAIN ONTO THE EASTERN HIGH PLAINS. DOWNSLOPING EFFECTS
WILL ACT TO DRY OUT AN ALREADY DRY AIRMASS...LEADING TO WIDESPREAD
AND LONG LIVED CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR THE EAST CENTRAL
PLAINS FROM NOON THROUGH 8 PM MST THIS EVENING. SPOTTY CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS LIKELY FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS OVER THE WEST
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS BELOW SNOWPACK...SANDIA...
MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS BELOW SNOWPACK...NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS
AND NORTHEAST PLAINS. THE STRONG WEST WINDS AND WARM TEMPERATURES
WILL LEAD TO EXCELLENT VENTILATION RATES OVER THE FORECAST AREA
TODAY.

STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND MONDAY WITH
THE PASSAGE OF A TRAILING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...BUT WITH COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING PACIFIC MOISTURE...NOT EXPECTING THE
WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO RETURN TO THE EASTERN
PLAINS. CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE APPROACHED THOUGH FOR A FEW
HOURS MONDAY AFTERNOON. VENTILATION RATES WILL REMAIN EXCELLENT FOR
MUCH OF THE AREA.

ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA TUESDAY
RESULTING IN INCREASED STABILITY AND DECREASED MIXING...RESULTING IN
POOR TO FAIR VENTILATION RATES FOR MUCH OF THE AREA.

MID TO LATE WEEK...SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT DEVELOPS AHEAD OF A POSSIBLE
MAJOR LATE WINTER STORM SYSTEM FOR NEW MEXICO...INITIALLY IMPACTING
THE STATE FRIDAY THEN CONTINUING INTO THE WEEKEND. STRENGTHENING
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL ACT TO INCREASE MIXING SUBSTANTIALLY
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY... RESULTING IN GOOD TO EXCELLENT VENTILATION
RATES. THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS DEEP AND LARGE CLOSED UPPER LOW IS
STILL UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME AS MODELS DEVIATE SOME ON ITS PATH. BUT
PRECIPITATION WITH THIS SYSTEM MAY BE WIDESPREAD AND SIGNIFICANT.

CHJ

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF CYCLE
VFR ALL TERMINALS NEXT 24 HRS. HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS MOVE INTO FORECAST
AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST TOMORROW AFTERNOON. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS
CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. EXPECT WINDS TO INCREASE
FROM THE WEST LATE TOMORROW MORNING WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS
AS UPPER LEVEL WESTERLIES INCREASE. AS WESTERLIES INCREASE TO AROUND
50 KNOTS OR GREATER AT OR ABOVE 500MB/18 KFT TURBULENCE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP ALONG...ABOVE EAST SLOPES AND NEARBY PLAINS OF THE CENTRAL
AND NORTHERN MOUNTAINS TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  61  34  55  21 /   5  10  20   0
DULCE...........................  53  27  51  12 /  10  20  30   0
CUBA............................  60  30  52  21 /   5   5  20   0
GALLUP..........................  65  32  57  20 /   5   5  10   0
EL MORRO........................  57  30  51  17 /   5   5   5   0
GRANTS..........................  64  31  56  19 /   0   5   5   0
QUEMADO.........................  65  34  55  25 /   5   5   5   0
GLENWOOD........................  70  32  64  25 /   0   5   0   0
CHAMA...........................  49  22  46  12 /  10  20  40   0
LOS ALAMOS......................  59  35  52  27 /   0   5  10   0
PECOS...........................  57  36  49  26 /   0   5   5   5
CERRO/QUESTA....................  53  25  48  14 /   0  10  10  10
RED RIVER.......................  46  24  42  12 /   5  10  20  20
ANGEL FIRE......................  48  20  43   8 /   0  10  10  20
TAOS............................  56  29  51  16 /   0   5  10   5
MORA............................  58  34  52  22 /   0   5  10  10
ESPANOLA........................  66  32  58  25 /   0   0   5   5
SANTA FE........................  61  36  53  28 /   0   5   5   5
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  63  34  57  26 /   0   0   5   5
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  67  43  61  32 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  69  42  63  33 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  71  40  63  29 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  70  41  62  31 /   0   0   5   0
LOS LUNAS.......................  70  38  63  26 /   0   0   0   0
RIO RANCHO......................  70  40  60  29 /   0   0   5   0
SOCORRO.........................  77  39  69  31 /   0   0   0   0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  67  38  56  27 /   0   5   0   0
TIJERAS.........................  67  40  59  29 /   0   0   0   0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  63  35  58  21 /   0   0   0   5
CLINES CORNERS..................  60  36  53  23 /   0   0   0   5
GRAN QUIVIRA....................  64  38  58  27 /   0   0   0   5
CARRIZOZO.......................  71  41  65  27 /   0   0   0   5
RUIDOSO.........................  64  41  59  27 /   0   0   0   5
CAPULIN.........................  60  33  52  19 /   0   0  20  50
RATON...........................  65  32  56  19 /   0   0  10  30
SPRINGER........................  66  33  59  20 /   0   0  10  20
LAS VEGAS.......................  65  37  56  20 /   0   0   5  10
CLAYTON.........................  72  40  56  21 /   0   0  10  40
ROY.............................  68  38  60  23 /   0   0   5  20
CONCHAS.........................  76  44  65  27 /   0   0   5  10
SANTA ROSA......................  73  43  63  27 /   0   0   0  10
TUCUMCARI.......................  78  44  67  26 /   0   0   5  20
CLOVIS..........................  75  43  69  28 /   0   0   0  10
PORTALES........................  77  42  70  28 /   0   0   0   5
FORT SUMNER.....................  77  45  67  31 /   0   0   0   5
ROSWELL.........................  83  46  78  36 /   0   0   0   5
PICACHO.........................  75  45  70  31 /   0   0   0   5
ELK.............................  71  44  65  29 /   0   0   0   5

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ108.

WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ523-529-533.

&&

34

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
519 AM MST SAT MAR 2 2013

NMZ501>540-031300-
ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-
EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-ESTANCIA VALLEY-FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-GUADALUPE COUNTY-HARDING COUNTY-
JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-QUAY COUNTY-
RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-
SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SANTA FE METRO AREA-
SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-UNION COUNTY-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
519 AM MST SAT MAR 2 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES MAY RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST AND EAST
CENTRAL PLAINS ON SUNDAY. AREAS WHERE SNOW MELTED MORE RAPIDLY
AFTER THE LAST STORM WILL BE MORE SUSCEPTIBLE TO CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS. WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

34