Alert archive / New Mexico / Red Flag Warnings in 2013

Red Flag Warning 32, NWS Albuquerque, NM

June 18, 201312 counties in New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this red flag warning at Jun 18, 2013, 3:20 PM MDT for 12 counties in New Mexico. It took effect at Jun 19, 2013, 12:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 8 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 18, 2013, 3:20 PM MDT (21:20 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 19, 2013, 12:00 PM MDT
Expired
Jun 19, 2013, 8:00 PM MDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
NWS Albuquerque, NM

Counties Bernalillo County, NM, Catron County, NM, Cibola County, NM, Harding County, NM, McKinley County, NM, Rio Arriba County, NM, San Juan County, NM, San Miguel County, NM, Sandoval County, NM, Socorro County, NM, Union County, NM, Valencia County, NM

The radar

The Albuquerque radar (KABX), 34 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 12:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 38 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM at 12:00Z on 2013-06-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 51 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM at 12:00Z on 2013-06-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 185 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
51 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-320 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1621 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
57 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
185 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
194 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

902 
WWUS85 KABQ 182120
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
320 PM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO EXCLUDING AREAS NEAR THE TEXAS
STATE LINE DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH THURSDAY FOR MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO EXCLUDING THE NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS DUE TO
STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

.A PACIFIC TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE AREA WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
AND INCREASE THE SURFACE WIND FLOW. AT THE SAME TIME...A MID LEVEL
DRY SLOT WILL MOVER OVER THE AREA AND EVENTUALLY MIX MUCH DRIER
AIR DOWN TO THE SURFACE. BREEZY TO LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS
COMBINED WITH LOW TO VERY LOW HUMIDITY AND TURBULENT MIXING WILL
LEAD TO WIDESPREAD CRITICAL CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER ROUND
OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS COULD BE FOUND ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE AREA
ON THURSDAY AS THE FLOW ALOFT REMAINS FAIRLY STRONG.

NMZ101>103-105>107-109-191400-
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0029.130619T1800Z-130620T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0032.130619T1800Z-130620T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.A.0030.130620T1800Z-130621T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 101
NORTHWEST PLATEAU/FARMINGTON BLM/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 102
NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS/WESTERN CARSON-SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
320 PM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY. A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH
IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* AREA AND TIMING...MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
  NEW MEXICO AS WELL AS THE ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS...NORTHERN AND
  MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND NORTHWEST PLATEAU NOON THROUGH
  EARLY EVENING ON WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER ROUND OVER THE SAME AREAS
  POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND
  45 MPH. STRONGEST READINGS FOUND OVER THE HIGHEST RIDGES AND AREAS
  NEAR TO THE COLORADO/ARIZONA STATE LINES AS WELL AS TO THE LEE
  OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUM VALUES BETWEEN 3 TO 9 PCT WEDNESDAY
  AND 4 TO 15 PERCENT THURSDAY. LOWEST READINGS WEST. 

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ104-108-191400-
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0029.130619T1800Z-130620T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0032.130619T1800Z-130620T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
320 PM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* AREA AND TIMING...THE EASTERN PLAINS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
  EARLY EVENING EXCLUDING AREAS NEAR THE TEXAS STATE LINE. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35 
  AND 40 MPH. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUM VALUES BETWEEN 9 TO 15 PCT WITH
  LOWEST READINGS ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE ZONES.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$
50
4 follow-up statements
500 
WWUS85 KABQ 191230
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
630 AM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT TODAY FOR
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO EXCLUDING AREAS NEAR THE TEXAS
STATE LINE DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH THURSDAY FOR MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO EXCLUDING THE NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS DUE TO
STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

.A PACIFIC TROUGH WILL APPROACH NEW MEXICO WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS DEVELOPING BY MID DAY. ADDITIONALLY...A MID
LEVEL DRY SLOT WILL MIX MUCH DRIER AIR DOWN TO THE SURFACE.
THEREFORE...BREEZY TO LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH LOW TO 
VERY LOW HUMIDITY AND TURBULENT MIXING WILL LEAD TO WIDESPREAD
CRITICAL CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER ROUND OF CRITICAL
CONDITIONS COULD BE FOUND ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE AREA ON
THURSDAY AS THE FLOW ALOFT REMAINS FAIRLY STRONG. BOTH DAYS...
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN ABOVE 15 PERCENT
ACROSS THE EXTREME EASTERN PLAINS

NMZ101>103-105>107-109-192130-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0032.130619T1800Z-130620T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0030.130620T1800Z-130621T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 101
NORTHWEST PLATEAU/FARMINGTON BLM/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 102
NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS/WESTERN CARSON-SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
630 AM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL 
  NEW MEXICO AS WELL AS THE ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS...NORTHERN AND 
  MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND NORTHWEST PLATEAU NOON THROUGH 
  EARLY EVENING TODAY. ANOTHER ROUND OVER THE SAME AREAS IS
  POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND
  45 MPH. STRONGEST SPEEDS WILL FAVOR THE HIGHEST RIDGES AND AREAS
  NEAR THE COLORADO/ARIZONA STATE LINES AS WELL AS TO THE LEE OF
  THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUM VALUES BETWEEN 3 TO 9 PCT 
  WEDNESDAY AND 4 TO 15 PERCENT THURSDAY. LOWEST READINGS WEST. 

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ104-108-192130-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0032.130619T1800Z-130620T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
630 AM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...THE EASTERN PLAINS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON 
  THROUGH EARLY EVENING EXCLUDING AREAS NEAR THE TEXAS STATE 
  LINE. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35 
  AND 40 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUM VALUES BETWEEN 9 TO 15 PCT WITH 
  LOWEST READINGS ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE ZONES.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$
010 
WWUS85 KABQ 192134
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
334 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM MDT TODAY FOR NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEW MEXICO EXCLUDING AREAS NEAR THE TEXAS STATE LINE DUE
TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY FIRE
WEATHER WATCH THURSDAY FOR MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO
EXCLUDING THE NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS DUE TO STRONG
WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR FRIDAY ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
AND NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AS WELL AS NORTHWEST PLATEAU DUE TO
STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

.A SEMI PERSISTENT BREEZY TO LOCALLY WINDY PATTERN WILL CONTINUE 
THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TURBULENT MIXING COMBINED WITH ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND LOW TO VERY LOW HUMIDITY WILL PERSIST AS
WELL. WINDS WILL ABATE SOME DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS BUT
REINVIGORATE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. 

NMZ101-102-105-201400-
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0030.130620T1800Z-130621T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0033.130620T1800Z-130621T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.A.0031.130621T1900Z-130622T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0032.000000T0000Z-130620T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 101
NORTHWEST PLATEAU/FARMINGTON BLM/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 102
NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS/WESTERN CARSON-SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
334 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY. A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH
IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AS WELL
  AS THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU THROUGH EARLY EVENING TODAY AND ONCE
  AGAIN DURING THE AFTERNOONS TO EARLY EVENINGS ON THURSDAY AND
  POSSIBLY FRIDAY.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35 TO 45
  MPH. STRONGEST SPEEDS WILL FAVOR THE HIGHEST RIDGES AND AREAS
  NEAR THE COLORADO/ARIZONA STATE LINES.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUM VALUES BETWEEN 3 TO 7 PCT LOWLANDS
  AND 5 TO 11 PCT HIGHLANDS.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ103-106-107-109-201400-
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0030.130620T1800Z-130621T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0033.130620T1800Z-130621T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0032.000000T0000Z-130620T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
334 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...WEST CENTRAL/NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND MIDDLE
  RIO GRANDE VALLEY AS WELL AS THE MANZANO/SANDIA MOUNTAINS AND
  ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS THROUGH EARLY EVENING TODAY AND ONCE AGAIN
  THURSDAY AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING THURSDAY. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35 TO
  45 MPH. STRONGEST SPEEDS WILL FAVOR THE HIGH COUNTRY WITH
  LIGHTER FLOWS FOUND WITHIN THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUM VALUES BETWEEN 4 TO 11 PCT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ104-108-200200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0032.000000T0000Z-130620T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
334 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING.

* AREA AND TIMING...NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS MAINLY WEST
  OF THE CANADIAN RIVER VALLEY FAVORING AREAS ALONG A LINE FROM
  SANTA ROSA TO ROY LATE AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUM VALUES BETWEEN 10 TO 15 PCT. 

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$
50
054 
WWUS85 KABQ 200209
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
809 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY FIRE
WEATHER WATCH THURSDAY FOR MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO
EXCLUDING THE NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS DUE TO STRONG
WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR FRIDAY ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
AND NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AS WELL AS NORTHWEST PLATEAU DUE TO
STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

.A SEMI PERSISTENT BREEZY TO LOCALLY WINDY PATTERN WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TURBULENT MIXING COMBINED WITH ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND LOW TO VERY LOW HUMIDITY WILL PERSIST AS
WELL. WINDS WILL ABATE SOME DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS BUT
REINVIGORATE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

NMZ101-102-105-201400-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0032.000000T0000Z-130620T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0033.130620T1800Z-130621T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0031.130621T1900Z-130622T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 101
NORTHWEST PLATEAU/FARMINGTON BLM/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 102
NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS/WESTERN CARSON-SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
809 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
THURSDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
THURSDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...THIS INCLUDES THE NORTH CENTRAL
  MOUNTAINS...NORTHWEST PLATEAU AND THE NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS DURING
  THE AFTERNOONS TO EARLY EVENINGS ON THURSDAY AND POSSIBLY
  FRIDAY.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35
  AND 45 MPH. STRONGEST SPEEDS WILL FAVOR THE HIGHEST RIDGES AND
  AREAS NEAR THE COLORADO/ARIZONA STATE LINES.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUM VALUES BETWEEN 3 TO 7 PERCENT
  LOWLANDS AND 5 TO 11 PERCENT HIGHLANDS.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ103-106-107-109-201400-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0032.000000T0000Z-130620T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0033.130620T1800Z-130621T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
809 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
THURSDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
THURSDAY. 

* AREA AND TIMING...THIS INCLUDES THE WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
  HIGHLANDS...THE MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND THE SANDIA AND
  MANZANO MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS THURSDAY AFTERNOON
  AND EARLY EVENING.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35
  AND 45 MPH. STRONGEST SPEEDS WILL FAVOR THE HIGH COUNTRY WITH
  LIGHTER FLOWS FOUND WITHIN THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUM VALUES BETWEEN 4 TO 11 PCT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ104-108-200315-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0032.000000T0000Z-130620T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
809 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

HUMIDITIES HAVE INCREASED SUBSTANTIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS THIS EVENING THEREFORE THE RED FLAG WARNING
HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$

34
238 
WWUS85 KABQ 200233 CCA
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
832 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR
MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO EXCLUDING THE NORTHEAST
AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR FRIDAY ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
AND NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AS WELL AS NORTHWEST PLATEAU DUE TO
STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

.A SEMI PERSISTENT BREEZY TO LOCALLY WINDY PATTERN WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TURBULENT MIXING COMBINED WITH ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND LOW TO VERY LOW HUMIDITY WILL PERSIST AS
WELL. WINDS WILL ABATE SOME DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS BUT
REINVIGORATE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

NMZ101-102-105-201400-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0032.000000T0000Z-130620T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0033.130620T1800Z-130621T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0031.130621T1900Z-130622T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 101
NORTHWEST PLATEAU/FARMINGTON BLM/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 102
NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS/WESTERN CARSON-SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
832 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
THURSDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
THURSDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...THIS INCLUDES THE NORTH CENTRAL
  MOUNTAINS...NORTHWEST PLATEAU AND THE NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS DURING
  THE AFTERNOONS TO EARLY EVENINGS ON THURSDAY AND POSSIBLY
  FRIDAY.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35
  AND 45 MPH. STRONGEST SPEEDS WILL FAVOR THE HIGHEST RIDGES AND
  AREAS NEAR THE COLORADO/ARIZONA STATE LINES.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUM VALUES BETWEEN 3 TO 7 PERCENT
  LOWLANDS AND 5 TO 11 PERCENT HIGHLANDS.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ103-106-107-109-201400-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0032.000000T0000Z-130620T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0033.130620T1800Z-130621T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
832 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
THURSDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
THURSDAY. 

* AREA AND TIMING...THIS INCLUDES THE WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
  HIGHLANDS...THE MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND THE SANDIA AND
  MANZANO MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS THURSDAY AFTERNOON
  AND EARLY EVENING.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35
  AND 45 MPH. STRONGEST SPEEDS WILL FAVOR THE HIGH COUNTRY WITH
  LIGHTER FLOWS FOUND WITHIN THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUM VALUES BETWEEN 4 TO 11 PCT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ104-108-200315-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0032.000000T0000Z-130620T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
832 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

HUMIDITIES HAVE INCREASED SUBSTANTIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS THIS EVENING THEREFORE THE RED FLAG WARNING
HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$

34

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Jun 18, 3:07 PM MDT, 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 18, 3:07 PM MDT, 13 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
307 PM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

.DISCUSSION...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 325 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT...

STORM COVERAGE IS MUCH MORE LIMITED TODAY AS POTENT DRY AIR ALOFT
MOVES OVER THE REGION ON INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE DID MAKE IT ALL THE WAY TO THE DIVIDE BUT IT IS SHALLOW
AND WILL CONTINUE MIXING OUT THIS AFTERNOON. THIS GRADIENT ACROSS
THE AREA ALONG WITH AFTERNOON HEATING AND TOPOGRAPHIC FORCING WILL
SET THE STAGE FOR SEVERE STORMS OVER THE NE PLAINS. LATEST RADAR
TRENDS SHOW A POTENTIAL SEVERE STORM WEST OF RATON...AND THIS IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING AS THE ATMOSPHERE BECOMES
MORE UNSTABLE. RAISED POPS FOR THE NE AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS AND
LOWERED A LITTLE FARTHER WEST.

WEDNESDAY WILL BE AN UGLY FIRE DANGER DAY ACROSS THE REGION WITH
DEEP MIXING TAPPING VERY DRY AIR LEADING TO HOT...BREEZY/WINDY...
AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS. 700MB TEMPS WILL BE NEAR +18C WHICH IS
NOT AS WARM AS WHAT WE EXPERIENCED LAST WEEK HOWEVER IT IS STILL
WELL ABOVE NORMAL. TOSSED IN SOME SYNOPTICALLY DRIVEN BLOWING DUST
INTO THE GRIDS FOR A FEW CENTRAL AND WESTERN LOCALES. ANY STORMS
WILL BE FOCUSED ACROSS THE PLAINS AND EVEN THERE EXPECT MOSTLY DRY
AND GUSTY ACTIVITY. THURSDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO WEDNESDAY EXCEPT
MORE MOISTURE WILL TRICKLE NORTH ACROSS THE SE HALF OF THE AREA.
RAISED POPS JUST A TAD FARTHER NORTH AS THE 12Z NAM IS BULLISH ON
DEVELOPING ACTIVITY UP TO THE I-40 CORRIDOR. TEMPS WILL REMAIN
HOT AND WINDS ALOFT WILL STAY STRONG SO BREEZY CONDITIONS CAN BE
EXPECTED. ANY SHOWERS/STORMS THAT GET GOING WILL HAVE POTENTIAL
TO PRODUCE STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS.

QUITE A LARGE AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY REMAINS WITH MEDIUM/EXTENDED
RANGE GUIDANCE FOR FRIDAY THRU EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE GFS ENSEMBLE
PWAT SHOWS A LARGE SWATH OF 1-2 STDEV BELOW CLIMO VALUES FROM THE
NORTHERN BAJA REGION ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN...WITH NEAR CLIMO
VALUES FOR NM. THE ECMWF IS SIGNIFICANTLY DRIER THRU THIS PERIOD
WITH THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS STRETCHING FROM WSW TO ENE ACROSS
NORTHERN MEXICO. THIS SHUTS OFF ANY STREAM OF MOISTURE SLIDING
INTO OUR AREA THRU ALL OF NEXT WEEK WITH A 598DM RIDGE BUILDING
RIGHT OVER NORTHERN NM AND SOUTHERN CO. THIS WOULD LEAD TO WELL
ABOVE NORMAL SCORCHING TEMPS ONCE AGAIN. THE GFS HOWEVER DOES
TAKE A PIECE OF THE CURRENT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE OVER SOUTHERN
MEXICO AND LIFTS IT NORTH WITH THE RIDGE FARTHER EAST. FOR NOW
WILL SIDE WITH THE DRIER SOLUTION AND KEEP POPS VERY LOW IN THE
EXTENDED.

GUYER

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER PERIOD NEXT FEW DAYS...

MODEL GUIDANCE HAS SUGGESTED A LITTLE STRONGER FLOW FOR PORTIONS OF
THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY SO RAISED SPEEDS SLIGHTLY BUT PRETTY
SIMILAR TO ORIGINAL LEVELS. THE HIGHER RIDGES AND AREAS NEAR THE AZ/CO
STATE LINES AS WELL AS TO THE LEE OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS WILL BE
FAVORED FOR THE STRONGEST WINDS. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE ALSO SUGGEST
THE STRONGEST WINDS ALOFT WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY SO BUMPED UP
WIND SPEEDS ACCORDINGLY. GETTING MORE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS FOR THURSDAY. ONLY FLY IN THE OINTMENT IS THE 12Z NAM/S
DEPICTION OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE FLOWING UP FROM MEXICO THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. OTHER MODELS NOT AS AGGRESSIVE. COULD BE A WILD AND
WOOLLY DAY WITH A MIX OF STANDARD RED FLAG CONDITIONS PLUS DRY
MICROBURST WINDS DUE TO DRIER STORMS. WILL MONITOR THAT TREND
ACCORDINGLY. WILL UPGRADE WATCH TO A WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST
AREA EXCLUDING AREAS NEAR TO THE TEXAS STATE LINE DUE TO HIGHER RH
THERE WEDNESDAY. WILL ISSUE A WATCH FOR THE WESTERN TWO THIRDS OF
THE FORECAST AREA ON THURSDAY. GOING TO BE ON THE SAFE SIDE FOR BOTH
DAYS.

AS FAR AS REST OF TODAY...LOOKING AT SOME DRIER STORMS ACROSS THE
NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AS THE DRY AIR RAPIDLY PUSHES FROM WEST TO
EAST. THESE STORMS WILL TEND TO BE FAST MOVING. THE WETTER STORMS
WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS...ESPECIALLY FAVORING THE
NORTHEAST.

UPPER FLOW WILL INCREASE OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO
TONIGHT AS THE UPPER RIDGE SLIDES SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL. THE MID LEVEL DRY INTRUSION WILL FILTER
FURTHER OVER THE FORECAST AREA ALTHOUGH ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL TRY TO PUSH BACK TO THE WEST SIMILAR TO LAST NIGHT BUT NOT AS
AGGRESSIVE. HUMIDITY RECOVERIES WILL BE VERY POOR NEAR TO THE AZ
STATE LINE...POOR BETWEEN THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE TO RIO GRANDE
VALLEY AND THEN MODERATE TO GOOD FURTHER EAST. EVEN EXCELLENT NEAR
THE TEXAS STATE LINE.

WEDNESDAY WILL BE A HIGHER END CRITICAL DAY DUE TO THE TIME OF YEAR
AND COMBO WIND/LOW RH/ABUNDANT TURBULENT MIXING AND QUITE A BIT OF SUNSHINE.
SUN ANGLES ARE GETTING TO BE QUITE STEEP AND THE MID LEVEL DRY
INTRUSION IS EXPECTED TO BE QUITE STRONG AS IT PUSHES FURTHER
EASTWARD OVER THE STATE. SUPER HAINES VALUES ARE PROJECTED FOR
WESTERN AND NORTHERN NEW MEXICO. THE SURFACE WIND FLOW WILL BE HERKY
JERKY OR PULSY DUE TO THE TURBULENT MIXING AND ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. MIXING HEIGHTS ARE PROJECTED TO BE ABOVE NORMAL WITH
SOME PRETTY STOUT SOUTHWEST TRANSPORT WINDS. SEVERAL HOURS OF SINGLE
DIGITS ARE EXPECTED ALONG AND JUST TO THE LEE OF THE CENTRAL MTNS
WESTWARD TO ARIZONA. THE HEART OF THE SINGLE DIGIT AREA IN TERMS OF
10 TO 15 HOURS INCLUDES THE NORTHWEST HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA.
STORM POTENTIAL...MAINLY OF THE DRIER VARIETY WILL BE FOUND ACROSS
THE EASTERN PLAINS AND CANT RULE OUT A ROGUE DRY STORM ALONG THE
EAST SLOPES OF THE SANGRES BEFORE THE DRY AIR REALLY PUSHES IN.

THE RIDGE WILL NUDGE A LITTLE FURTHER TO THE EAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS
THE MID LEVEL DRY INTRUSION PROCEEDS OVER THE ENTIRE AREA.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WARMER THAN NORMAL WITH POOR TO VERY POOR
RECOVERIES WESTERN TWO THIRDS OR SO. MUCH BETTER RECOVERIES WITH
RESIDUAL HIGHER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE FOUND NEAR THE TEXAS
STATE LINE. THE HIGHER RIDGES SHOULD CONTINUE TO SEE STEADY WIND
FLOWS AS THE UPPER FLOW STRENGTHENS SOME. THIS WILL LEAD INTO
ANOTHER POTENTIALLY CRITICAL DAY ON THURSDAY. THE UPPER FLOW WILL
REMAIN PRETTY STRONG AND FAVOR THE SAME AREAS AS MENTIONED DURING
THE OPENING PARAGRAPH. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL
ALTHOUGH HUMIDITY VALUES COULD RISE SOME AS COMPARED TO WEDNESDAY/S
READINGS. NAM MODEL A LITTLE JUMPY WITH ITS DEPICTION OF A MID LEVEL
MOISTURE PUSH FROM MEXICO. THE 12Z MODEL WAS MORE MOIST WHILE THE
18Z IS COMING IN DRIER. IF STORMS DO FORM THEY WOULD BE DRIER AND
FASTER MOVING LEADING TO AN ADDITIONAL IGNITION THREAT. EITHER
WAY...GETTING ENOUGH CRITICAL WIND SPEEDS COMBINED WITH LOW HUMIDITY
AND ABOVE NORMAL MIXING TO WARRANT A FIRE WEATHER WATCH. SEEING A
SUPER HAINES SIGNATURE ACROSS THE NORTHWEST THIRD OR SO BUT LESS
AREA THAN IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY.

EXTENDED MODELS SUCH AS THE GFS AND ECMWF POINT TOWARDS AN UPPER
SOUTHWEST FLOW CONTINUING FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND. DECIDED TO UP
WIND SPEEDS SLIGHTLY FOR FRIDAY AND SEEING SOME LOCALIZED CRITICAL
CONDITIONS BUT DOESNT APPEAR TO BE AS STRONG OF A SIGNAL AS THE
PREVIOUS DAYS. UPPER FLOW IS DEPICTED TO WEAKEN SOME AS THE PACIFIC
TROUGH SHEARS OUT. EXPECTING SOME SORT OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE SEEPAGE
FROM MEXICO DURING THIS PERIOD WITH MORE OF A MOISTURE RETURN FROM
THE GULF ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS. THE WETTER
STORMS COULD BE POSSIBLE THERE WHILE THE DRIER VARIETY ELSEWHERE.
TEMPERATURES WOULD BE A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL DURING THIS PERIOD
WITH MUCH LOWER HUMIDITY VALUES WEST. CONFIDENCE IN THIS PERIOD IS
MODERATE ALTHOUGH LOTS OF UNCERTAINTY ON THE MOISTURE PUSH.

50

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF CYCLE
ANOTHER ROUND OF SCT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA TODAY INTO THE OVERNIGHT. EXPECTING
THE DRIER VARIETY ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL MTNS SO HAVE DRY
MICROBURST WIND POTENTIAL AT SAF. THE WETTER STORMS WILL BE FOUND
ACROSS THE NORTHEAST THIRD OR SO. TCC COULD BE IMPACTED MOST BY
THIS ACTIVITY WITH A SECONDARY LOCATION BEING LVS. EXPECTING
ANOTHER WIND PUSH THROUGH THE CTRL MTNS TONIGHT BUT NOT NEARLY AS
STRONG AS OBSERVED LAST NIGHT. CANT RULE OUT LOW CIG DVLP AT
TCC/LVS BUT LESS LIKELY AT LVS. TCC COULD VERY WELL SEE STRATIFORM
RAIN DVLP AFTER THE CONVECTION ENDS LATER TONIGHT. HAVE THAT
DEPICTED IN THE TERMINAL FORECAST.

50

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  52  94  51  92 /   0   0   0   0
DULCE...........................  40  89  39  87 /   0   0   0   0
CUBA............................  50  91  48  90 /   0   0   0   0
GALLUP..........................  45  90  44  90 /   0   0   0   0
EL MORRO........................  43  87  41  86 /   0   0   0   0
GRANTS..........................  48  92  49  91 /   0   0   0   0
QUEMADO.........................  53  89  52  89 /   0   0   0   0
GLENWOOD........................  51  95  52  95 /   0   0   0   0
CHAMA...........................  46  81  45  81 /  10   0   0   0
LOS ALAMOS......................  59  87  59  85 /  10   0   0   5
PECOS...........................  56  83  59  83 /  20   5   5  10
CERRO/QUESTA....................  52  79  51  79 /  20   5   0   0
RED RIVER.......................  46  73  44  74 /  30   5   5   5
ANGEL FIRE......................  38  79  36  78 /  30   5   5  10
TAOS............................  49  85  47  86 /  10   5   0   0
MORA............................  52  83  54  81 /  30   5   5  10
ESPANOLA........................  57  89  56  91 /  10   5   0   0
SANTA FE........................  59  86  61  87 /  10   5   5  10
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  57  90  57  91 /  10   5   0   5
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  66  93  68  92 /   5   0   0   5
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  66  95  67  95 /   0   0   0   5
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  64  98  65  97 /   0   0   0   5
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  62  98  62  98 /   0   0   0   5
LOS LUNAS.......................  60  97  61  97 /   0   0   0   5
RIO RANCHO......................  62  97  60  98 /   0   0   0   0
SOCORRO.........................  62 103  63 102 /   0   0   0  10
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  57  90  59  90 /   5   5   5  10
TIJERAS.........................  59  92  59  92 /  10   5   5  10
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  55  91  57  90 /  10   5   5  10
CLINES CORNERS..................  55  88  58  87 /  10   5   5  10
GRAN QUIVIRA....................  59  90  61  90 /  10   5   5  20
CARRIZOZO.......................  62  91  63  93 /   5   5   5  20
RUIDOSO.........................  57  84  58  85 /  10  10  10  30
CAPULIN.........................  57  84  57  85 /  40  10   5   5
RATON...........................  55  90  54  90 /  30  10   5   5
SPRINGER........................  53  92  53  91 /  30  10   5  10
LAS VEGAS.......................  52  89  54  88 /  30   5   5  10
CLAYTON.........................  60  92  64  94 /  50  10  10   5
ROY.............................  59  90  61  89 /  50  10   5  10
CONCHAS.........................  64  97  66  95 /  40  10  10  10
SANTA ROSA......................  64  97  65  95 /  30  10  10  10
TUCUMCARI.......................  67 101  70  99 /  30  10  10  20
CLOVIS..........................  63  96  63  92 /  30  20  20  20
PORTALES........................  64  96  65  93 /  30  20  20  20
FORT SUMNER.....................  66  97  67  94 /  30  10  10  20
ROSWELL.........................  67 102  69  97 /  10  10  10  20
PICACHO.........................  60  96  62  92 /  10  10  10  20
ELK.............................  59  89  60  87 /  10  10  10  30

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES...NMZ101>109.

FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ101>103-105>107-109.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 18, 5:48 AM MDT, 9 hours 32 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
548 AM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

NMZ501>540-191200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
548 AM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE EASTERN
SLOPES OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS AND THE CENTRAL HIGHLANDS
...EAST TO THE TEXAS BORDER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS...ALTHOUGH AN
ISOLATED TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW MEXICO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. MORE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS WELL...BUT ACROSS A SMALLER
PORTION OF THE AREA.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR
NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO DUE TO THE THREAT FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS.

11

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 18, 11:27 AM MDT, 3 hours 53 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1127 AM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0716 PM     TSTM WND GST     7 ENE TUCUMCARI         35.21N 103.61W
06/17/2013  M77 MPH          QUAY               NM   ASOS

            KTCC ASOS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1301166

GUYER
Special weather statement, Jun 18, 1:48 PM MDT, 1 hour 32 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
148 PM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

NMZ527-182015-
RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
148 PM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN COLFAX COUNTY THROUGH
215 PM MDT...

AT 148 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 20 MILES WEST OF RATON...MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST
AT 15 MPH.

HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHERN
COLFAX COUNTY.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 10451 3688 10452 3678 10470 3699 10504
      3701 10500 3700 10463 3701 10458
TIME...MOT...LOC 1948Z 285DEG 11KT 3694 10479

44
Special weather statement, Jun 18, 2:18 PM MDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
218 PM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

NMZ527-528-182045-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
218 PM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN COLFAX COUNTY THROUGH
245 PM MDT...

AT 218 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 19 MILES WEST OF RATON...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHERN
COLFAX COUNTY.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO.

&&

LAT...LON 3688 10453 3678 10465 3693 10489 3700 10488
      3701 10461 3700 10457
TIME...MOT...LOC 2018Z 282DEG 9KT 3694 10478

44

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 17, 6:09 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQChaves, Roosevelt111 min
Jun 17, 6:16 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQQuay29 min
Jun 17, 7:23 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQQuay37 min
Jun 17, 7:41 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQCurry, Harding, Quay, San Miguel109 min
Jun 18, 1:48 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQColfax27 min
Jun 18, 2:18 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQColfax27 min
Jun 18, 2:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQColfax66 min
Jun 18, 3:20 PM MDTFire Weather WatchABQBernalillo, Catron, Cibola, McKinley, Rio Arriba, Sandoval and 3 more24 hr
Jun 18, 3:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQColfax62 min
Jun 18, 4:54 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQColfax36 min

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in New Mexico, 2013Every red flag warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.