Alert archive / South Dakota / Special Weather Statements in 2012

Special Weather Statement, NWS Rapid City, SD

July 27, 2012Pennington County, South Dakota

NWS Rapid City, SD issued this special weather statement at Jul 27, 2012, 5:21 PM MDT for Pennington County, South Dakota. It was in force for 24 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 27, 2012, 5:21 PM MDT (23:21 UTC)
Expired: Jul 27, 2012, 5:45 PM MDT
In force: 24 min
Issued by: NWS Rapid City, SD

County Pennington County, SD

The radar

The Rapid City radar (KUDX), 35 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Rapid City, SD (KUNR), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 28 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1749 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 115 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 214 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Rapid City, SD wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 27, 1:43 PM MDT, 3 hours 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 27, 1:43 PM MDT, 3 hours 38 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WESTERN SD AND NORTHEASTERN WY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
143 PM MDT FRI JUL 27 2012

.DISCUSSION...

THE LATEST ANALYSIS SHOWED AN UPPER RIDGE OVER ERN CO WITH A S/W
TROUGH MOVING ACROSS CNTRL MT. AT THE SFC A TROUGH WAS OVER MT AND
ERN WY WITH GUSTY SOUTH WINDS AHEAD OF IT. DEW POINTS WERE IN THE
UPPER 40S/LOWER 50S AND MLCAPE WAS AROUND 500 J/KG. SHRA/EMBEDDED
TSRA WERE NOTED OVER NERN WY AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING S/W TROUGH.

SHRA/TSRA WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE THROUGH THIS AFTN. LACK OF
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND REDUCED CAPE SUGGESTS THE SEVERE THREAT WILL
BE MORE LIMITED THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. EXPECT A SMALL MCS OR TWO
TO TRAVERSE THE CWA TNGT WITH MARGINALLY SEVERE WINDS THE MAIN
THREAT. DESPITE THE LIMITED MOISTURE THERE IS SOME FORCING FROM AN
UPPER-LEVEL JET AND A DEVELOPING LOW-LEVEL JET THAT SHOULD HELP
INCREASE THE SHRA/TSRA COVERAGE AS EVNG PROGRESSES...SPCLY TOWARD
CNTRL SD.

ON SATURDAY THERE WILL BE LARGE-SCALE SUBSIDENCE BEHIND THE MCS AND
IN THE WAKE OF THE EXITING S/W TROUGH. SOME AFTN TSRA ARE POSSIBLE
OVER THE BLKHLS...BUT THE PLAINS SHOULD REMAIN DRY.

SATURDAY NIGHT A WEAKER SYSTEM APPROACHES BUT STILL PRODUCES SOME
Q-VECTOR CONVERGENCE OVER THE NWRN CWA. LOW-LEVEL THETA-E ADVECTION
AND STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL FAVOR A CHANCE OF TSRA OVER THIS
AREA.

ON SUNDAY ANOTHER S/W TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE TOP OF THE RIDGE. IT
WILL NOT BE AS STRONG AS THE WAVE TODAY SO COVERAGE OF TSRA WILL NOT
BE AS GREAT. THE WAVE QUICKLY MOVES SOUTHEAST SUNDAY NIGHT...PERHAPS
ASSOCIATED WITH A SMALL MCS OR TWO.

TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD SHOULD BE CLOSE TO GUIDANCE...AND
ABOVE AVERAGE.

EXTENDED...UPPER LEVEL HIGH OVER THE SOUTHERN CONUS WILL CONTINUE TO
BRING ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION THROUGH THE PERIOD.
MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST MONSOONAL FLOW WILL CONTINUE WITH THIS
PATTERN. THEREFORE...THOUGH TIMING WITH THIS WILL BE TRICKY...WILL
KEEP SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS OVER VARIOUS PORTIONS OF THE CWA
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...18Z TAF UPDATE
SCT TSRA ARE EXPECTED OVER NERN WY/BLACK HILLS IN THE
AFTERNOON...SPREADING EASTWARD INTO WRN AND CNTRL SD BY EARLY
EVENING. SOME STORMS MAY BE SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
LARGE HAIL POSSIBLE. IFR VIS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS...OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...BUNKERS
LONG TERM...13
AVIATION...13

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 27, 5:33 AM MDT, 11 hours 48 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
533 AM MDT FRI JUL 27 2012

SDZ001-002-012>014-024>032-041>044-046-047-049-072>074-WYZ054>058-
071-281300-
BENNETT-BUTTE-CENTRAL BLACK HILLS-CUSTER CO PLAINS-FALL RIVER-HAAKON-
HARDING-HERMOSA FOOT HILLS-JACKSON-MELLETTE-NORTHEASTERN CROOK-
NORTHERN BLACK HILLS-NORTHERN CAMPBELL-NORTHERN FOOT HILLS-
NORTHERN MEADE CO PLAINS-PENNINGTON CO PLAINS-PERKINS-RAPID CITY-
SHANNON-SOUTHERN BLACK HILLS-SOUTHERN CAMPBELL-SOUTHERN FOOT HILLS-
SOUTHERN MEADE CO PLAINS-STURGIS/PIEDMONT FOOT HILLS-TODD-TRIPP-
WESTERN CROOK-WESTON-WYOMING BLACK HILLS-ZIEBACH-
533 AM MDT (633 AM CDT) FRI JUL 27 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA AND
NORTHEASTERN WYOMING.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER NORTHEASTERN WYOMING THIS AFTERNOON
AND MOVE ACROSS WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING OVER NORTHEASTERN WYOMING AND WESTERN
SOUTH DAKOTA. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT...BUT SOME
LARGE HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

THE GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER INDEX WILL BE IN THE EXTREME CATEGORY OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST INTO WEST CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ORGANIZED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT FORESEEN AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 27, 4:00 PM MDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
400 PM MDT FRI JUL 27 2012

SDZ024-072-073-272245-
NORTHERN BLACK HILLS SD-SOUTHERN MEADE CO PLAINS SD-STURGIS/PIEDMONT
FOOT HILLS SD-
400 PM MDT FRI JUL 27 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE AND
SOUTHWESTERN MEADE COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM MDT...

AT 359 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR TILFORD...OR 10 MILES SOUTH OF DOWNTOWN
STURGIS...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  NEMO...
  TILFORD...
  PIEDMONT...
  BLACK HAWK...
  ELLSWORTH AFB...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 90 BETWEEN SOUTH DAKOTA MILE MARKERS 35 AND
53...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS... FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 4414 10349 4422 10366 4434 10359 4435 10357
      4438 10356 4432 10296 4414 10304
TIME...MOT...LOC 2201Z 294DEG 13KT 4426 10350

CALDERON

Local storm report, Jul 27, 4:29 PM MDT, 52 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
429 PM MDT FRI JUL 27 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0410 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 S TILFORD             44.29N 103.43W
07/27/2012  E60 MPH          MEADE              SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

ME

Special weather statement, Jul 27, 4:52 PM MDT, 29 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
452 PM MDT FRI JUL 27 2012

SDZ026-028-029-074-272315-
CENTRAL BLACK HILLS SD-HERMOSA FOOT HILLS SD-RAPID CITY SD-SOUTHERN
BLACK HILLS SD-
452 PM MDT FRI JUL 27 2012

AT 450 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR SYLVAN LAKE...OR 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF
DOWNTOWN CUSTER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
MOUNT RUSHMORE AND CENTER LAKE AROUND 500 PM MDT.
KEYSTONE AROUND 505 PM MDT.
HAYWARD AND ROCKERVILLE AROUND 510 PM MDT.

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4403 10330 4384 10314 4373 10355 4390 10368
TIME...MOT...LOC 2252Z 246DEG 27KT 4384 10353

JC

Local storm report, Jul 27, 4:58 PM MDT, 23 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
458 PM MDT FRI JUL 27 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0455 PM     HAIL             1 NNW PIEDMONT          44.24N 103.40W
07/27/2012  M1.00 INCH       MEADE              SD   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

ME

Local storm report, Jul 27, 5:14 PM MDT, 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
514 PM MDT FRI JUL 27 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0455 PM     HAIL             4 E TILFORD             44.30N 103.35W
07/27/2012  E1.00 INCH       MEADE              SD   PUBLIC

0455 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 E TILFORD             44.30N 103.35W
07/27/2012  E60 MPH          MEADE              SD   PUBLIC

&&

ME

Special weather statement, Jul 27, 5:21 PM MDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
521 PM MDT FRI JUL 27 2012

SDZ026-028-031-074-272345-
CENTRAL BLACK HILLS SD-HERMOSA FOOT HILLS SD-PENNINGTON CO PLAINS
SD-RAPID CITY SD-
521 PM MDT FRI JUL 27 2012

AT 516 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A RAIN SHOWER WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS NEAR HAYWARD...OR 12 MILES
SOUTH OF DOWNTOWN RAPID CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS SHOWER.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
CAPUTA...RAPID CITY AIRPORT AND FARMINGDALE AROUND 545 PM MDT.

&&

LAT...LON 4396 10340 4412 10301 4391 10284 4380 10329
TIME...MOT...LOC 2320Z 243DEG 27KT 4392 10323

JC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Rapid City, SD issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 27, 3:15 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	UNR	Meade	45 min
Jul 27, 3:42 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	UNR	Butte, Meade	46 min
Jul 27, 4:00 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	UNR	Lawrence	45 min
Jul 27, 4:04 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	UNR	Lawrence, Meade	39 min
Jul 27, 4:46 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	UNR	Lawrence, Meade	59 min
Jul 27, 4:52 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	UNR	Custer	23 min
Jul 27, 5:29 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	UNR	Pennington	61 min
Jul 27, 5:59 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	UNR	Custer, Haakon, Jackson, Meade, Pennington	61 min
Jul 27, 2:20 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	UNR	Crook	40 min
Jul 27, 2:50 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	UNR	Campbell	40 min
Jul 27, 3:02 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	UNR	Crook	43 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in South Dakota, 2012 Every special weather statement in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.