Special Weather Statement, NWS Tucson, AZ

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
941 AM MST TUE AUG 21 2012

AZZ501>515-220600-
WESTERN PIMA COUNTY-TOHONO O'ODHAM NATION-
UPPER SANTA CRUZ RIVER VALLEY/ALTAR VALLEY-TUCSON METRO AREA-
SOUTH CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY-
UPPER SAN PEDRO RIVER VALLEY-
EASTERN COCHISE COUNTY BELOW 5000 FEET-UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-
WHITE MOUNTAINS OF GRAHAM AND GREENLEE COUNTIES-
GALIURO AND PINALENO MOUNTAINS-CHIRICAHUA MOUNTAINS-
DRAGOON AND MULE AND HUACHUCA AND SANTA RITA MOUNTAINS-
CATALINA AND RINCON MOUNTAINS-BABOQUIVARI MOUNTAINS-
941 AM MST TUE AUG 21 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A MOIST ATMOSPHERE RESIDING ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARIZONA WILL RESULT IN
SCATTERED COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...WITH BEST
CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION WEST OF A SAFFORD-TO-BISBEE LINE.

THE MORE FAVORED AREA FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL ARIZONA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. THIS
WOULD INCLUDE SANTA CRUZ...CENTRAL AND EASTERN PIMA AND SOUTHEAST
PINAL COUNTIES. THE COMBINATION OF A VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE AND
INCREASINGLY MORE UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL RESULT IN AN ELEVATED
RISK OF DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS AND LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES.
A MORE DEFINED THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW WITH BLOWING DUST TRACKING
NORTHWEST ACROSS CENTRAL/EASTERN PIMA AND SOUTHERN PINAL COUNTIES
WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING.

OTHERWISE...A MORE STABLE LAYER ALOFT WILL LIMIT THE OVERALL
INTENSITY OF INDIVIDUAL STORMS EAST OF TUCSON. EXPECT STORMS TO
DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN LATE THIS MORNING...BUT STRUGGLE TO
MOVE OFF THE MOUNTAINS INTO THE VALLEYS THIS AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH
THESE STORMS WILL STILL BE ABLE TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS...THE RISK OF WIDESPREAD FLOODING ISSUES OR
DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS IS RELATIVELY LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

AN INCREASE IN SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE IS EXPECTED
WEDNESDAY AS MOISTURE CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTH.
THIS WILL RESULT IN A RISK OF WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AS A TROUGH OF
LOW PRESSURE TRACKS EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA AND INTERACTS
WITH THE VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE IN PLACE.

A STRONG DECREASE IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED FRIDAY...
PERSISTING INTO THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
210 PM MST TUE AUG 21 2012

AZZ507-508-513-212200-
DRAGOON/MULE/HUACHUCA AND SANTA RITA MOUNTAINS INCLUDING
BISBEE/CANELO HILLS/MADERA CANYON AZ-EASTERN COCHISE COUNTY BELOW
5000 FEET INCLUDING DOUGLAS/WILLCOX AZ-UPPER SAN PEDRO RIVER VALLEY
INCLUDING SIERRA VISTA/BENSON AZ-
210 PM MST TUE AUG 21 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN COCHISE COUNTY UNTIL 300
PM MST...

AT 206 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF BENSON...OR 29 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF WILLCOX...MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH
HEAVY RAIN.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...BENSON.

LAT...LON 3211 11032 3207 11007 3192 11015 3198 11041
TIME...MOT...LOC 2110Z 022DEG 7KT 3203 11026