Alert archive / Arizona / Special Weather Statements in 2012

Special Weather Statement, NWS Tucson, AZ

July 14, 2012

NWS Tucson, AZ issued this special weather statement at Jul 14, 2012, 1:48 PM MST. It was in force for 42 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 14, 2012, 1:48 PM MST (20:48 UTC)
Expired
Jul 14, 2012, 2:30 PM MST
In force
42 min
Issued by
NWS Tucson, AZ

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tuscon, AZ (KTUS), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 20 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 2012-07-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1664 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 2012-07-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -12 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1664 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-27 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1040 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-12 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
52 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 14, 9:10 AM MST, 4 hours 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 14, 9:10 AM MST, 4 hours 38 minutes before
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</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
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        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
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        Please try again in a few minutes.
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 14, 8:55 AM MST, 4 hours 53 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
855 AM MST SAT JUL 14 2012

AZZ501>506-514-515-150600-
WESTERN PIMA COUNTY-TOHONO O'ODHAM NATION-
UPPER SANTA CRUZ RIVER VALLEY/ALTAR VALLEY-TUCSON METRO AREA-
SOUTH CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY-
CATALINA AND RINCON MOUNTAINS-BABOQUIVARI MOUNTAINS-
855 AM MST SAT JUL 14 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THROUGH TONIGHT. THE MAIN
THREAT WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL. ALSO...THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF
A SEVERE WIND GUST OR TWO OCCURRING...MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

EXPECT SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY. GIVEN THE VERY MOIST ENVIRONMENT...THE MAIN
THREAT WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THEREAFTER...SOMEWHAT DRIER
AIR WILL LEAD TO DECREASING PRECIPITATION CHANCES DURING THE
LATTER PART OF THE WEEK. THERE WILL STILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

AZZ507>513-150600-
UPPER SAN PEDRO RIVER VALLEY-
EASTERN COCHISE COUNTY BELOW 5000 FEET-UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-
WHITE MOUNTAINS OF GRAHAM AND GREENLEE COUNTIES-
GALIURO AND PINALENO MOUNTAINS-CHIRICAHUA MOUNTAINS-
DRAGOON AND MULE AND HUACHUCA AND SANTA RITA MOUNTAINS-
855 AM MST SAT JUL 14 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

EXPECT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT. THE
MAIN THREAT WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

AMPLE MOISTURE WILL PROVIDE THE DAILY CYCLE OF MAINLY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 14, 12:48 PM MST, 1 hour before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1248 PM MST SAT JUL 14 2012

AZZ503-504-507-513-142030-
DRAGOON/MULE/HUACHUCA AND SANTA RITA MOUNTAINS INCLUDING
BISBEE/CANELO HILLS/MADERA CANYON AZ-TUCSON METRO AREA INCLUDING
TUCSON/GREEN VALLEY/MARANA/VAIL AZ-UPPER SAN PEDRO RIVER VALLEY
INCLUDING SIERRA VISTA/BENSON AZ-UPPER SANTA CRUZ RIVER AND ALTAR
VALLEYS INCLUDING NOGALES AZ-
1248 PM MST SAT JUL 14 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN PIMA AND EXTREME
NORTHWESTERN SANTA CRUZ COUNTIES UNTIL 130 PM MST...

AT 1244 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF TUBAC...OR 11 MILES SOUTH
OF GREEN VALLEY.  THIS STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH
HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...GREEN VALLEY...SAHUARITA...
ARIVACA JUNCTION AND CORONA DE TUCSON.

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

LAT...LON 3206 11124 3201 11074 3186 11072 3173 11085
      3172 11115
TIME...MOT...LOC 1948Z 180DEG 0KT 3170 11094

MEADOWS
Special weather statement, Jul 14, 1:48 PM MST, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
148 PM MST SAT JUL 14 2012

AZZ502>507-514-142130-
SANTA CATALINA AND RINCON MOUNTAINS INCLUDING MOUNT
LEMMON/SUMMERHAVEN AZ-SOUTH CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY INCLUDING
ELOY/PICACHO PEAK STATE PARK AZ-SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY INCLUDING
KEARNY/MAMMOTH/ORACLE AZ-TOHONO O'ODHAM NATION INCLUDING SELLS
AZ-TUCSON METRO AREA INCLUDING TUCSON/GREEN VALLEY/MARANA/VAIL
AZ-UPPER SAN PEDRO RIVER VALLEY INCLUDING SIERRA VISTA/BENSON
AZ-UPPER SANTA CRUZ RIVER AND ALTAR VALLEYS INCLUDING NOGALES AZ-
148 PM MST SAT JUL 14 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN PINAL AND
NORTHEASTERN PIMA COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM MST...

AT 145 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 11 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAHUARITA...OR 11 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF TUCSON...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.

HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...TUCSON...ORO VALLEY...
MARANA...AVRA VALLEY...SAN XAVIER MISSION...TUCSON INTERNATIONAL
AIRPORT...DOVE MOUNTAIN...PICTURE ROCKS...CATALINA...MOUNT
LEMMON/SUMMERHAVEN AND SADDLEBROOKE.

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

LAT...LON 3262 11141 3258 11051 3218 11061 3195 11081
      3199 11126
TIME...MOT...LOC 2047Z 197DEG 11KT 3210 11103

MEADOWS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 13, 5:18 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCSanta Cruz42 min
Jul 14, 12:26 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCCochise, Pima, Santa Cruz3 hr
Jul 14, 12:48 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCSanta Cruz42 min
Jul 14, 1:04 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCCochise, Graham, Pima, Pinal4 hr
Jul 14, 1:42 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCPima2 hr
Jul 14, 2:15 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCPima, Pinal45 min
Jul 14, 2:47 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCPima, Pinal118 min
Jul 14, 4:49 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWC41 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Arizona, 2012Every special weather statement in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.