Alert archive / Arizona / Special Weather Statements in 2012

Special Weather Statement, NWS Tucson, AZ

May 9, 2012

NWS Tucson, AZ issued this special weather statement at May 9, 2012, 7:32 PM MST. It was in force for 58 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 9, 2012, 7:32 PM MST (02:32 UTC)
Expired
May 9, 2012, 8:30 PM MST
In force
58 min
Issued by
NWS Tucson, AZ

The radar

The Phoenix radar (KIWA), 152 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Yuma Prvg Ground, AZ (K1Y7), launched 00:00Z, 2.5 hours before the alert went out and 158 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Yuma Prvg Ground, AZ at 00:00Z on 2012-05-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 53 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Yuma Prvg Ground, AZ at 00:00Z on 2012-05-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -7 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
53 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-7 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
4423 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-7 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-3 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 9, 2:05 PM MST, 5 hours 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 9, 2:05 PM MST, 5 hours 27 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
205 PM MST WED MAY 9 2012

.SYNOPSIS...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKING THROUGH NORTHERN MEXICO
WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. A FEW RESIDUAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE NEAR THE NEW MEXICO BORDER THURSDAY. OTHERWISE...DRY
CONDITIONS AND WARMING TEMPERATURES ARE THEN EXPECTED INTO THIS
WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED AS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. THE BULK OF THE ACTIVITY HAS
OCCURRED ACROSS COCHISE...SANTA CRUZ AND CENTRAL PIMA COUNTIES WITH
MORE ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS GRAHAM/GREENLEE COUNTIES AND LITTLE
TO NOTHING SO FAR FROM TUCSON NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHEAST PINAL
COUNTY. WE'VE HAD MANY REPORTS OF DIME SIZE HAIL FROM THESE STORMS
FOCUSED ON THE RIO RICO AND DOUGLAS AREAS OVER THE LAST HOUR OR SO.
THIS HAIL WAS EVEN COVERING THE GROUND IN SOME LOCATIONS. WINDS HAVE
BEEN LESS OF AN ISSUE SO FAR BUT WE'VE SEEN OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS TO
ABOUT 30 TO 40 MPH IN THE TUCSON METRO WHICH KICKED UP SOME DUST
NEAR THE I-10/I-19 INTERCHANGE THAT WAS VISIBLE FROM THE OFFICE.
LATEST RADAR TRENDS SHOW THE STRONGEST STORMS NEAR THE INTERNATIONAL
BORDER ACROSS SANTA CRUZ AND SOUTHERN COCHISE COUNTIES WITH A
GENERAL WEST TO NORTHWEST MOVEMENT OF ABOUT 10 TO 20 MPH. STILL A
TOUGH CALL WHETHER CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY MAKES IT INTO TUCSON BUT WILL
MAINTAIN CHANCE POPS INTO THIS EVENING.

THE UPPER LOW NOW ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO WHICH RESULTED IN THE
INCREASED MOISTURE ALONG WITH THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST THURSDAY. THERE WILL STILL BE ENOUGH RESIDUAL
MOISTURE FOR SLIGHT CHANCE TO LOW END CHANCE POPS MAINLY ACROSS
COCHISE/GRAHAM/GREENLEE COUNTIES. THEREAFTER...GENERALLY DRY
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND WITH MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES
AS RIDGING ALOFT WILL BE IN CONTROL. MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED INTO NEXT WEEK AS WELL...ALTHOUGH A WEAK AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE COMBINED WITH JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS FOR THE WHITE MOUNTAINS TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...EASTERLY FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH LOW PRESSURE MOVING
THROUGH SONORA MEXICO WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE MOISTURE ACROSS THE
AREA. THIS WILL CONTINUE THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY AND INTO THIS EVENING.

THRU 10/04Z SCT080-100 BKN150 SCT SHRA/TSRA. LCL CIGS BKN040 WITH
MTNS OBSCD. WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 KTS NEAR TSTMS. AFT 10/04Z SCT100
BKN150 ISOLD SHRA. SURFACE WIND EASTERLY 10-20 KTS WITH LOCAL GUSTS
UP TO 30 KTS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PUSHING THROUGH SONORA MEXICO
TODAY WILL BRING A SUSTAINED EASTERLY FLOW IMPORTING MOISTURE INTO
THE AREA. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MOST OF THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH STRONG GUSTY OUTFLOWS
ASSOCIATED WITH SOME STORMS.

SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL RETREAT AS LOW EXITS...TAKING MOISTURE WITH IT.
HOWEVER...MAY STILL SEE ISOLATED ACTIVITY NEAR THE NEW MEXICO BORDER
THURSDAY. DRY CONDITIONS AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON
Hazardous weather outlook, May 9, 2:10 PM MST, 5 hours 22 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
210 PM MST WED MAY 9 2012

AZZ501>515-101300-
WESTERN PIMA COUNTY-TOHONO O'ODHAM NATION-
UPPER SANTA CRUZ RIVER VALLEY/ALTAR VALLEY-TUCSON METRO AREA-
SOUTH CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY-
UPPER SAN PEDRO RIVER VALLEY-
EASTERN COCHISE COUNTY BELOW 5000 FEET-UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-
WHITE MOUNTAINS OF GRAHAM AND GREENLEE COUNTIES-
GALIURO AND PINALENO MOUNTAINS-CHIRICAHUA MOUNTAINS-
DRAGOON AND MULE AND HUACHUCA AND SANTA RITA MOUNTAINS-
CATALINA AND RINCON MOUNTAINS-BABOQUIVARI MOUNTAINS-
210 PM MST WED MAY 9 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA INTO THIS EVENING. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE SMALL
HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS LOCALLY UP TO 50 MPH. SOME OF THESE STRONG WINDS
WILL PRODUCE LOCALIZED AREAS OF BLOWING DUST...WHERE VISIBILITIES
MAY BRIEFLY DROP BELOW ONE HALF OF A MILE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS GRAHAM...GREENLEE AND
COCHISE COUNTIES THURSDAY. OTHERWISE...DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED
THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Arizona, 2012Every special weather statement in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.