Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
507 AM CDT SAT APR 7 2012

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-081000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
507 AM CDT SAT APR 7 2012

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...PRIMARILY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA DURING THE MORNING HOURS...WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE
IN COVERAGE AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION.  ANY OF THE
STRONGEST STORMS DURING THE MORNING HOURS COULD POSE A RISK
OF MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS.  THE EARLY
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO SHIFT EASTWARD ACROSS
WESTERN ARKANSAS TOWARD AFTERNOON THOUGH INSTABILITY WILL
DECREASE WITH EASTERN EXTENT WHICH WILL LIMIT THE SEVERE
WEATHER POTENTIAL.  THE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE SOUTHWARD DURING
THE AFTERNOON WITH THUNDERSTORMS REDEVELOPING ALONG THE
BOUNDARY.  THESE STORMS HAVE A SLIGHTLY HIGHER CHANCE OF
BECOMING SEVERE GIVEN THE ANTICIPATED INSTABILITY LEVELS.
LOCATIONS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
WILL BE NEARER THE REGION OF AFTERNOON STORM DEVELOPMENT.
WINDS ALOFT ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR WIDESPREAD ORGANIZED SEVERE
WEATHER THUS THE RISK WILL REMAIN LIMITED.  ANY THUNDERSTORMS
WHICH DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE ALONG THE
COLD FRONT INTO THE EVENING...AND POSSIBLY OVERNIGHT HOURS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL STALL NEAR THE RED RIVER VALLEY
SUNDAY...AND BEGIN TO LIFT NORTHWARD SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY.  THIS BOUNDARY WILL PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR CONTINUED
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES...WITH A SECOND COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTHWARD
MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.  EACH OF THESE BOUNDARIES WILL
INTERACT WITH AMPLE INSTABILITY TO SUPPORT STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS...THOUGH WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED.  A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE
INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TOWARD LATE WEEK WHICH WILL AGAIN
INTERACT WITH THE LINGERING FRONTAL BOUNDARIES.  THIS
PATTERN WOULD BE MORE SUPPORTIVE OF AN ORGANIZED SEVERE
WEATHER EVENT.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
737 AM CDT SAT APR 7 2012

OKZ054-059-071300-
OSAGE OK-PAWNEE OK-
737 AM CDT SAT APR 7 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 800 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     CENTRAL OSAGE AND PAWNEE

AT 737 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES WEST OF
RALSTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...RALSTON
AND FAIRFAX.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

LAT...LON 3670 9652 3653 9643 3644 9685 3651 9689
TIME...MOT...LOC 1237Z 247DEG 21KT 3650 9681

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
837 AM CDT SAT APR 7 2012

OKZ054-071400-
OSAGE OK-
837 AM CDT SAT APR 7 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 900 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     CENTRAL OSAGE

AT 836 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF FAIRFAX...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER RURAL AREAS OF OSAGE COUNTY BETWEEN
FAIRFAX AND WYNONA.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

LAT...LON 3665 9641 3647 9633 3646 9662 3651 9665
TIME...MOT...LOC 1336Z 253DEG 23KT 3651 9656

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