Severe Thunderstorm Warning 31, NWS Topeka, KS

613 
WWUS53 KTOP 142006
SVSTOP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
306 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

KSC157-142015-
/O.CAN.KTOP.SV.W.0031.000000T0000Z-120414T2015Z/
REPUBLIC KS-
306 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN REPUBLIC COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA.

A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN REPUBLIC COUNTY.

LAT...LON 4000 9692 3999 9691 3996 9695 3973 9716
      3973 9737 4000 9737
TIME...MOT...LOC 2005Z 206DEG 59KT 3995 9721

$$

KSC201-142015-
/O.CON.KTOP.SV.W.0031.000000T0000Z-120414T2015Z/
WASHINGTON KS-
306 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN
WASHINGTON COUNTY UNTIL 315 PM CDT...

AT 259 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HADDAM...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 70 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...MINOR DAMAGE TO VEHICLES...ROOFS AND WINDOWS. MINOR TREE
         DAMAGE...WITH LIMBS UP TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER BROKEN.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HOLLENBURG.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMAIN ALERT FOR A POSSIBLE TORNADO! TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY
FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU SPOT A TORNADO GO AT ONCE INTO THE
BASEMENT OR SMALL CENTRAL ROOM IN A STURDY STRUCTURE.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A WELL-BUILT STRUCTURE. STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 4000 9692 3999 9691 3996 9695 3973 9716
      3973 9737 4000 9737
TIME...MOT...LOC 2005Z 206DEG 59KT 3995 9721

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60 MPH

$$

LEIGHTON

102 
WWUS53 KTOP 142013
SVSTOP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
313 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

KSC201-142023-
/O.EXP.KTOP.SV.W.0031.000000T0000Z-120414T2015Z/
WASHINGTON KS-
313 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 315 PM CDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA.

ADDITIONAL STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE...AND A TORNADO 
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME 
NORTHEAST WASHINGTON COUNTY.

LAT...LON 4000 9692 3999 9691 3996 9695 3973 9716
      3973 9737 4000 9737
TIME...MOT...LOC 2013Z 206DEG 59KT 4007 9713

$$

LEIGHTON

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
236 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

.DISCUSSION...

AN INTENSE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER NORTHERN AZ WILL LIFT NORTHEAST
INTO THE PLAINS TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALREADY DEVELOPING ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL KS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE LOW-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
AND INSTABILITY ARE FORECASTED TO INCREASE ACROSS THE CWA THIS
AFTERNOON. DISCRETE SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES. SOME OF MORE
INTENSE SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LONG
TRACK VIOLENT TORNADOES. THE BETTER CHANCE FOR DISCRETE SUPERCELLS
WILL BE ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE CWA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. SBCAPE IS FORECASTED TO INCREASE
BETWEEN 2500-3500 J/KG BY LATE AFTERNOON. 0-1 KM SRH WILL ALSO
INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS FROM AROUND 200 J/KG TO 400
J/KG BY 3Z SUN.

DURING THE MID AND LATE EVENING HOURS...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SUPERCELLS SHOULD CONGEAL INTO SEGMENTED SQUALL LINES OR A QLCS.
0-1KM SRH IS FORECASTED TO INCREASE OVER 400 J/KG AFTER 3Z ACROSS
MUCH OF THE CWA. THUS...EVEN IF A QLCS DEVELOPS THERE WILL BE A GOOD
CHANCE FOR EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS AND STRONG MESO-VORTICES CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING TORNADOES.

AS THE THE UPPER TROUGH LIFTS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN PLAINS LATE TONIGHT...THE PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL OVER TAKE
THE DRYLINE AND PUSH THE SQUALL LINE EAST OF THE CWA AFTER 10Z SUN.
THERE MAY BE A FEW SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE MID MORNING
HOURS ACROSS THE EASTERN CWA. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 TO
40 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 MPH THROUGH THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON HOURS. A WIND ADVISORY WILL PROBABLY NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR
SUNDAY...DURING THE NEXT SHIFT.

IN THE EXTENDED...ZONAL FLOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE PLAINS NEXT
WEEK. ANOTHER H5 TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PLAINS THURSDAY NIGHT
AND FRIDAY PROVIDING A CHANCE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS ON MONDAY WILL COOL INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S AND THEN SLOWLY
WARM INTO THE MID 70S BY THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL BACK INTO
THE MID TO UPPER 60S ON FRIDAY BEHIND A COLD FRONT. OVERNIGHT LOWS
WILL BE COOL INTO THE MID 30S ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL KS SUNDAY
NIGHT...WITH LOWER TO MID 40S ACROSS NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL KS.
OTHERWISE LOW TEMPS WILL BE IN THE 40S AND LOWER 50S THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

GARGAN

&&

.AVIATION...

PREVAILING VFR STRATUS WITH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS FOR THE
NEXT FEW HOURS. ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE IN THE VICINITY OF TERMINALS FOR MUCH OF THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. AMENDMENTS WILL BE MADE BASED ON
TIMING AND LOCATION OF THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. IN
ADDITION...VERY STRONG SOUTH WINDS AHEAD OF A TIGHTENING SURFACE
LOW ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE SUNDAY MORNING WITH GUSTS NEAR 36 KTS AT
TERMINALS. EXPECT THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO END NEAR THE 13Z TO
15Z TIME FRAME.

BOWEN

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
248 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-152000-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
248 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ALONG AND AHEAD OF A DRYLINE
IN WEST CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS WILL
MOVE NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. STORMS THAT CAN REMAIN ISOLATED
WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE VERY LARGE HAIL UP TO BASEBALL
SIZE...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND TORNADOES.

ADDITIONAL SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED LATER THIS EVENING
INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD AS THE COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS
GRADUALLY INCREASES AND EVOLVES INTO A LINE OF STORMS DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. LARGE HAIL...STRONG STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AND
TORNADOES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE DURING THE NIGHT TIME HOURS OVER
MUCH OF THE AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING IN FAR EASTERN KANSAS
AROUND SUNRISE SUNDAY...AND WILL EXIT THE AREA PRIOR TO MIDDAY.

THE NEXT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AS AN
UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
227 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

KSZ008-009-020-021-142000-
CLAY-CLOUD-REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-
227 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN REPUBLIC...NORTHERN
CLAY...CLOUD AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES...

THROUGH 300 PM CDT...A COUPLE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE
NORTH AT 60 MPH ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN REPUBLIC...NORTHERN
CLAY...NORTHERN CLOUD AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THESE STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL. SOME LOCATIONS THAT COULD BE AFFECTED
INCLUDE
CLYDE...VINING...CLIFTON...AGENDA...PALMER...BELLEVILLE...LINN...
CUBA...GREENLEAF...MUNDEN...HADDAM...MORROWVILLE AND WASHINGTON.

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT.

&&

LAT...LON 3928 9713 3947 9782 3999 9762 3982 9689
TIME...MOT...LOC 1927Z 202DEG 56KT 3942 9718 3955 9766

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
230 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0229 PM     HAIL             2 SSW IDANA             39.34N 97.28W
04/14/2012  E0.88 INCH       CLAY               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL SIZE RANGED FROM DIME TO NICKEL

&&

JB