Freeze Warning 1, NWS Topeka, KS

501 
WWUS73 KTOP 060801
NPWTOP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
301 AM CDT SAT OCT 6 2012

KSZ008>012-020>023-036-061615-
/O.CAN.KTOP.FZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-121006T1400Z/
/O.UPG.KTOP.FZ.A.0001.121007T0700Z-121007T1400Z/
/O.NEW.KTOP.FZ.W.0002.121007T0600Z-121007T1400Z/
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-GEARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...HIAWATHA...CONCORDIA...
CLAY CENTER...MANHATTAN...JUNCTION CITY
301 AM CDT SAT OCT 6 2012

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM CDT SUNDAY...
...FREEZE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM CDT SUNDAY. THE
FREEZE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING...TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL FALL TO AROUND FREEZING BY
  100 AM...AND RISE ABOVE FREEZING AFTER 800 AM.

* TEMPERATURE...LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 20S.

* IMPACTS...A HARD FREEZE IS EXPECTED EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...
  KILLING CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A FREEZE WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS FREEZING CONDITIONS
ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY.

&&

$$

KSZ024-026-034-035-037>040-054>056-058-059-061615-
/O.UPG.KTOP.FZ.A.0001.121007T0700Z-121007T1400Z/
/O.NEW.KTOP.FZ.W.0002.121007T0600Z-121007T1400Z/
JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-
DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ABILENE...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE...EMPORIA...
OTTAWA
301 AM CDT SAT OCT 6 2012

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM CDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM CDT SUNDAY. THE
FREEZE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TIMING...TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL FALL TO AROUND FREEZING BY
  100 AM...AND RISE ABOVE FREEZING AFTER 800 AM.

* TEMPERATURE...LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 20S.

* IMPACTS...A HARD FREEZE IS EXPECTED EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...
  KILLING CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A FREEZE WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS FREEZING CONDITIONS
ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY.

&&

$$

BLAIR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1212 PM CDT FRI OCT 5 2012

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...

TODAY...SCATTERED SHOWERS WERE ONGOING OVER PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
KANSAS EARLY THIS MORNING...AND EXPECT CHANCES IN THIS AREA TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE BACK EDGE OF
PRECIPITATION GRADUALLY SHIFTING EASTWARD. MORNING WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWED THE NEXT APPROACHING UPPER DISTURBANCE OVER N CO/S
WY...AND THIS WILL QUICKLY MOVE ACROSS NEBRASKA DURING THE DAY.
OUTSIDE OF EAST CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE CWA...SCATTERED SHOWERS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA
TODAY...NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70...AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH
THE REGION. ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER IS EXPECTED TO HOLD IN PLACE
THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY...WITH SOME CLEARING OCCURING BY LATE
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. THE CONTINUED COLD AIR ADVECTION
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT AND ANTICIPATED CLOUD COVER WILL HELP KEEP
HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 50S TODAY.

TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY...THE WINDOW OF SKIES CLEARING BY EARLY EVENING
WILL BE FAVORABLE TO QUICKLY DROP TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT. THERE IS
SOME UNCERTAINTY TO HOW COLD TEMPERATURES WILL BE REALIZED BY
SATURDAY MORNING DUE TO APPROACHING HIGH CLOUD COVER. FAR NORTHERN
SECTIONS OF THE CWA MAY SEE FREEZING TEMPERATURES BY SUNRISE
SATURDAY...AND IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...THEN A FREEZE WARNING WOULD
LIKELY BE ISSUED LATER TODAY FOR THESE AREAS. CLOUDS INCREASE DURING
THE MORNING ON SATURDAY AS ANOTHER POTENT WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE
REGION. WITH A RELATIVELY DRY LOW LEVEL ATMOSPHERE...ONLY SPRINKLES
OR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY ACROSS
THE FAR SOUTHERN CWA. HIGHS WILL ONCE AGAIN STRUGGLE INTO THE
LOWER 50S. CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING WITH
SURFACE WINDS BECOMING LIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
AREA. CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO INCREASE IN A HARD FREEZE FOR MOST
SECTIONS OF THE CWA...WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 27-31 RANGE COMMON
SUNDAY MORNING AT SUNRISE. THEREFORE...HAVE CONTINUED THE FREEZE
WATCH FOR THIS PERIOD. THE COLD AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE DURING
THE DAY ON SUNDAY...WITH HIGHS REMAINING IN THE 50S.

MONDAY AND BEYOND...TEMPERATURES REBOUND AS SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURN
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON
TUESDAY AS A COLD FRONT CUTS THROUGH THE CWA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN ON WEDNESDAY WITH DRY AND COOLER CONDITIONS. MODEL SPREAD LEAVES
GREATER UNCERTAINTY AT THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...WITH SOME
POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS ON THURSDAY AS THE PATTERN ONCE AGAIN
TRANSITIONS TO ACTIVE.

BLAIR

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE. MID LEVEL HIGH CLOUDS WILL DOMINATE
MUCH OF TODAY WITH SOME BREAKS LIKELY AT TIMES AFTER 0Z...BUT
LOWER LEVELS REMAIN DRY. MINOR GUSTS POSSIBLE TODAY AS WELL WITH
NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS DOMINATING.

65

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR
KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
317 AM CDT FRI OCT 5 2012

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-060830-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
317 AM CDT FRI OCT 5 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.