Special Weather Statement, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
805 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2012

.DISCUSSION...
MID LEVEL DRY AIR AND SUBSIDENCE WHICH MOVED INTO THE REGION FROM
THE EAST LAST NIGHT AND TODAY KEPT SHOWER AND STORM DEVELOPMENT AND
COVERAGE BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR ACROSS CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN LOCATIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH ONLY ISOLATED STORMS
BEING OBSERVED...WHILE SLIGHTLY HIGHER COVERAGE WAS NOTED TO THE
NORTH WHERE DEEPER MOISTURE RESIDES. EARLY THIS EVENING 88D WAS
STILL SHOWING SOME ISOLATED STORMS ALONG THE SEA BREEZE OVER
SOUTHERN SUMTER...WESTERN POLK AND SOUTHERN LEE COUNTIES. MAY
SEE A FEW ADDITIONAL STORMS FIRE OFF ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES IN
THE NEXT HOUR OR SO...THEN EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO BE ON THE WANE
THEREAFTER AS LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING OCCURS WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. SIMILAR TO LAST EVENING WILL REMOVE
EVENING POP WORDING FROM THE ZONES IN A MID EVENING UPDATE ONCE
THE STORMS WIND DOWN OTHERWISE NO OTHER CHANGES EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...
PREVAILING VFR ALTHOUGH SOME MVFR CIGS POSSIBLE MID-LATE MORNING
THURSDAY. A SLIGHTLY DRIER THAN NORMAL AIRMASS ALONG WITH
AFTERNOON ONSHORE FLOW...SW OR WEST WINDS...WILL LIMIT TERMINALS
TO JUST VCTS WITH CB AFTER 18Z.

&&

.MARINE...
SURFACE RIDGE AXIS ACROSS THE CENTRAL PENINSULA WILL MAINTAIN A
LIGHT SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN WATERS AND A SOUTH
TO SOUTHWEST FLOW CENTRAL AND NORTHERN WATERS THE REMAINDER OF
TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY WITH A WEAK PRESSURE PATTERN SUPPORTING
AN ONSHORE SEA BREEZE COMPONENT ALONG THE COAST THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. CURRENT FORECAST IS ON TRACK WITH NO CHANGES EXPECTED
IN THE LATE EVENING UPDATE.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

DISCUSSION/MARINE...57/MCMICHAEL
AVIATION...09/RUDE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
252 AM EDT WED AUG 8 2012

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-090000-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DESOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
252 AM EDT WED AUG 8 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW TODAY AS DRY AIR
ARRIVES ALOFT. THE BEST CHANCE OF A STORM WILL BE FROM TAMPA BAY
NORTHWARD ALONG THE NATURE COAST...HOWEVER EVEN HERE THE STORMS
WILL BE ISOLATED IN NATURE. ANY ISOLATED STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP
MAY CONTAIN FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS...BUT SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
NORMAL COVERAGE OF MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND
STORMS WILL BE IN THE FORECAST FOR THE END OF THE WEEK AND EARLY
PORTION OF NEXT WEEK. A FEW STORMS MAY BE ON THE STRONG SIDE EACH
DAY...HOWEVER NO SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS ANTICIPATED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

MROCZKA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
731 PM EDT WED AUG 08 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0613 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ZEPHYRHILLS             28.24N 82.18W
08/08/2012                   PASCO              FL   PUBLIC

            WIND SNAPPED OFF TOP OF 60-FOOT PINE TREE...WHICH LANDED
            ON CARPORT.

&&

MML

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
756 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2012

FLZ065-090045-
LEE-
756 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN LEE COUNTY...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
LOCATED 9 MILES EAST OF ESTERO...OR 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF BONITA
SPRINGS...MOVING WEST AT 5 MPH...WILL AFFECT ESTERO AND BONITA
SPRINGS...UNTIL 845 PM EDT.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 75 BETWEEN EXITS 116 AND 123.

GUSTY WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS
EXPECTED. TO BE SAFE GO INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. IF CAUGHT
OUTSIDE...FIND A LOW SPOT...AND STAY AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. THESE
STORMS MAY PRODUCE PEA SIZE HAIL. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL REDUCE
VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AND WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.
MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION.
&&

LAT...LON 2632 8183 2650 8190 2655 8161 2642 8157
      2642 8165 2634 8165 2631 8172 2631 8181
TIME...MOT...LOC 2355Z 072DEG 3KT 2644 8168

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
848 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2012

FLZ052-057-090130-
HIGHLANDS-POLK-
848 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN HIGHLANDS AND
SOUTHEASTERN POLK COUNTIES...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
LOCATED NEAR INDIAN LAKE ESTATES...OR 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LAKE
KISSIMMEE...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH...WILL AFFECT INDIAN LAKE
ESTATES AND FROSTPROOF...UNTIL 930 PM EDT.

GUSTY WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS
EXPECTED. TO BE SAFE GO INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. IF CAUGHT
OUTSIDE...FIND A LOW SPOT...AND STAY AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS.
TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AND WILL CAUSE
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION.

&&

LAT...LON 2754 8139 2769 8161 2793 8135 2788 8129
      2786 8129 2785 8125 2782 8120 2781 8120
TIME...MOT...LOC 0048Z 038DEG 9KT 2780 8134