Special Weather Statement, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
1033 AM EDT WED JUL 18 2012

.DISCUSSION...
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING FROM THE TAMPA BAY
AREA NORTHWARD. THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA WILL BE SEEING
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS HEATING AND THE
SEA BREEZE HELP TO FIRE THEM. TEMPS WILL BE REACHING INTO THE UPPER
80S TO LOWER 90S THIS AFTERNOON. CURRENT FORECAST IS ON TRACK
WITH ALL THIS AND HAVE NO UPDATES PLANNED.

&&

.AVIATION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS WILL REDUCE CIGS/VSBYS TO MVFR AND
POSSIBLY IFR LEVELS OCCASIONALLY THROUGH MID MORNING AT THE
NORTHERN TAF SITES...BUT SHOULD SEE COVERAGE DECREASE BY LATE
MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON AS DAYTIME HEATING DISRUPTS STREAM OF
ACTIVITY MOVING IN FROM THE GULF. EXPECT ADDITIONAL SHOWER/STORM
DEVELOPMENT ALL TERMINALS BY MID AFTERNOON...AND WILL HANDLE WITH
VCTS FOR NOW. SHOWERS/STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO END BY EARLY THIS
EVENING...THEN VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN LIGHT FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING ACROSS THE WATERS FROM THE SE. SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS IN PLACE THIS MORNING WILL GRADUALLY
DIMINISH THROUGH THE EVENING WITH WINDS AND SEAS LOCALLY HIGHER IN
STORMS. NO MAJOR CHANGES FOR THE UPDATE.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...24/COLSON
LONG TERM/AVIATION...21/JELSEMA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
518 AM EDT WED JUL 18 2012

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-GMZ830-850-853-856-870-
873-876-182130-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DESOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
TAMPA BAY WATERS-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
518 AM EDT WED JUL 18 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS COASTAL AREAS THIS
MORNING THEN PUSH INLAND WITH THE SEA BREEZE THIS AFTERNOON. THE
MAIN IMPACT FROM THESE STORMS TODAY WILL BE FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR ALONG SEA BREEZE
BOUNDARIES EACH DAY. DRIER AIR MAY LIMIT OUR OVERALL THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...BUT ALL THUNDERSTORMS ARE CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

...EXCESSIVE HEAT IMPACT...
HEAT INDICES ARE FORECAST TO CLIMB TO BETWEEN 100 AND 105 DEGREES
EACH AFTERNOON THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

JILLSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
933 AM EDT WED JUL 18 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 AM     FLOOD            HOLIDAY                 28.19N 82.74W
07/18/2012                   PASCO              FL   BROADCAST MEDIA

            STREET FLOODING WAS REPORTED IN HOLIDAY AROUND THE
            INTERSECTION OF US HIGHWAY 19 AND ALTERNATE 19.

0900 AM     FLOOD            JASMINE ESTATES         28.29N 82.69W
07/18/2012                   PASCO              FL   BROADCAST MEDIA

            STREET FLOODING WAS REPORTED IN JASMINE ESTATES NEAR THE
            INTERSECTION OF US HIGHWAY 19 AND EMBASSY BOULEVARD.

&&

COLSON

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