Severe Thunderstorm Warning 42, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

790 
WWUS52 KTBW 212135
SVSTBW

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
535 PM EDT SAT JUL 21 2012

FLC015-027-081-115-212200-
/O.CON.KTBW.SV.W.0042.000000T0000Z-120721T2200Z/
DESOTO FL-SARASOTA FL-MANATEE FL-CHARLOTTE FL-
535 PM EDT SAT JUL 21 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN CHARLOTTE...SOUTHEASTERN MANATEE...EASTERN SARASOTA
AND SOUTHWESTERN DESOTO COUNTIES...

AT 528 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LAKE SUZY...OR NEAR PORT CHARLOTTE... 
MOVING NORTHWEST AT 20 MPH.

LAT...LON 2697 8220 2712 8240 2736 8211 2709 8186
TIME...MOT...LOC 2135Z 133DEG 16KT 2706 8211

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
153 PM EDT SAT JUL 21 2012

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT - MONDAY)...
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE REMAINS STRETCHED FORM THE W ATL AND INTO
CENTRAL FL AS THE MID LVL TROUGH OVER THE SE STATES WEAKENS THROUGH
SUN. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN FAIR AGREEMENT ABOUT BRINGING A TROPICAL
WAVE INTO THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE STATE LATE ON SUNDAY AS THE RIDGE
BEGINS MIGRATING NORTHWARD. POPS INCREASE TO NUMEROUS EVERYWHERE BY
MONDAY AFTERNOON AS ABUNDANT DEEP LAYER MOISTURE WILL BE IN PLACE.

FOR TONIGHT...ANY LEFTOVER CONVECTION SHOULD CLEAR OUT BY MIDNIGHT
WITH GENERALLY BENIGN WEATHER CONDITIONS PREVAILING AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LOWS REMAIN IN THE MID 70S...A LITTLE WARMER NEAR THE COAST.
SEABREEZES WILL AGAIN BECOME THE FOCUS FOR ANY CONVECTION SUN
AFTERNOON...THEN CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS IMPROVE BEGINNING LATE
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND THROUGH MONDAY AS THE AFOREMENTIONED WAVE
BRINGS PLENTY OF MOISTURE ADVECTION FROM THE W ATL AND THE CARIBBEAN
REGION.

TEMPS ON SUN AND MON WILL REACH THE LOW TO MID 90S EACH DAY...ALONG
WITH MORNING LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S.

.LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT-FRIDAY)...
THE PERIOD BEGINS WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE ACROSS THE
AREA WITH THE RIDGE AXIS ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA AND WEAK TROUGHING
IN PLACE ALOFT. THE UPPER TROUGH LIFTS OFF THROUGH MID-WEEK AS THE
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS GRADUALLY SHIFTS SOUTH. SOME DRIER AIR WILL
MOVE INTO THE AREA AND WITH THE UPPER ENERGY MOVING OFF...WILL HAVE
A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY EACH
AFTERNOON WITH THE SEA BREEZE AND HEATING. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL BE
IN THE LOWER 90S WITH LOWS IN THE 70S EACH NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION...SEA BREEZE IS SLOWLY BEGINNING TO PUSH AWAY FROM THE
COAST WITH INCREASING CU DEVELOPING. VCTS EXPECTED THROUGH THE
MAJORITY OF THE AFTERNOON WITH LINGERING EVENING STORMS POSSIBLE FOR
THE SOUTHERN TAF SITES. AS CONVECTION HAS YET TO DEVELOP...WILL
MAINTAIN VCTS WORDING AND TEMPO IF NECESSARY. WITH INCREASING
MOISTURE...MAY HAVE A FEW LOW CLOUDS NEAR THE TAF SITES AROUND
SUNRISE TOMORROW MORNING BUT EXPECTED TO LIFT AFTER SUNRISE.

&&

.MARINE...
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS GRADUALLY INCREASE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS A
TROPICAL WAVE FEATURE REACHES THE COASTAL WATERS BY LATE SUNDAY.
OVERALL THOUGH...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AROUND 15 KNOTS OR
LESS WITH SEAS LESS THAN 4 FEET IN THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
NO HIGHLIGHTS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  78  92  78  90 /  30  40  30  60
FMY  76  93  76  90 /  30  60  30  60
GIF  75  94  76  92 /  20  40  30  60
SRQ  77  93  77  91 /  30  50  30  60
BKV  74  95  74  92 /  30  40  30  60
SPG  80  92  80  90 /  30  40  30  60

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...22/REYNES
LONG TERM...COLSON
AVIATION...20/BARRON

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
527 AM EDT SAT JUL 21 2012

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-211600-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DESOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
527 AM EDT SAT JUL 21 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
MOISTURE WILL BE INCREASING TODAY FROM THE SOUTH AND ALLOW FOR
SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND DEADLY CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

...EXCESSIVE HEAT IMPACT...
MOISTURE WILL BE INCREASING TODAY...AND WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES
REACHING INTO THE MIDDLE 90S...WILL ALLOW FOR HEAT INDEX VALUES TO
REACH INTO THE 100 TO 105 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON. DRINK PLENTY OF
WATER...BEFORE YOU GET THIRSTY. WEAR LIGHTWEIGHT AND LIGHT COLORED
CLOTHING. RESERVE STRENUOUS EXERCISE FOR EARLY MORNING OR EVENING
HOURS. STAY NEAR AIR CONDITIONED LOCATIONS IF POSSIBLE. DO NOT
LEAVE CHILDREN OR PETS IN LOCKED VEHICLES. TEMPERATURES CAN RISE
ABOVE 130 DEGREES IN MINUTES...QUICKLY INCREASING THE CHANCE FOR
HEAT STROKE AND POSSIBLE DEATH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS
AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE IF NEEDED.

COLSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
423 PM EDT SAT JUL 21 2012

FLZ060>062-065-212130-
DE SOTO-SARASOTA-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
423 PM EDT SAT JUL 21 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR CHARLOTTE...
SOUTHEASTERN SARASOTA...SOUTHWESTERN DESOTO AND WESTERN LEE COUNTIES
FOR A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS VALID UNTIL
530 PM EDT...

AT 416 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 15
MILES SOUTHEAST OF BABCOCK RANCH TO BABCOCK WEBB WMA TO NORTH FORT
MYERS TO SAINT JAMES CITY...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES
NORTHWEST OF LA BELLE TO 13 MILES NORTH OF FORT MYERS TO 6 MILES
NORTHWEST OF FORT MYERS TO SANIBEL...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH AND
WILL AFFECT SUNCOAST ESTATES...NORTH FORT MYERS...CAPE CORAL AND
SANIBEL.

GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WHICH CAN CAUSE UNSECURED
OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND...SNAP TREE LIMBS AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES.
WHEN DRIVING THROUGH HEAVY RAIN...SLOW DOWN. ALWAYS LEAVE A SAFE
DISTANCE BETWEEN YOU AND OTHER VEHICLES.

&&

LAT...LON 2643 8214 2648 8220 2662 8224 2667 8227
      2677 8227 2686 8232 2710 8212 2711 8170
      2697 8155 2677 8156 2677 8176 2643 8204
      2641 8208
TIME...MOT...LOC 2023Z 136DEG 15KT 2683 8159 2684 8183
          2671 8194 2650 8211

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
440 PM EDT SAT JUL 21 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0429 PM     TSTM WND GST     SOUTHWEST INTERNATIONAL 26.54N 81.76W
07/21/2012  M48 MPH          LEE                FL   ASOS

            KRSW MEASURED WIND GUST OF 42 KNOTS IN THUNDERSTORM.

&&

CARLISLE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
505 PM EDT SAT JUL 21 2012

FLZ055-056-060>062-065-212200-
DE SOTO-HARDEE-MANATEE-SARASOTA-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
505 PM EDT SAT JUL 21 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR DESOTO...
NORTHWESTERN LEE...SARASOTA...SOUTHEASTERN MANATEE...SOUTHWESTERN
HARDEE AND WESTERN CHARLOTTE COUNTIES FOR A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS VALID UNTIL 600 PM EDT...

AT 458 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 12
MILES SOUTHEAST OF NOCATEE TO CLEVELAND TO 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF
BOKEELIA...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 14 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
ARCADIA TO PUNTA GORDA TO 10 MILES SOUTH OF PUNTA GORDA...MOVING
NORTHWEST AT 20 MPH WILL AFFECT CLEVELAND...CHARLOTTE COUNTY
AIRPORT...BOKEELIA AND BOCA GRANDE.

GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WHICH CAN CAUSE UNSECURED
OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND...SNAP TREE LIMBS AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES.
WHEN DRIVING THROUGH HEAVY RAIN...SLOW DOWN. ALWAYS LEAVE A SAFE
DISTANCE BETWEEN YOU AND OTHER VEHICLES.

&&

LAT...LON 2661 8223 2667 8227 2682 8229 2707 8246
      2734 8223 2745 8191 2701 8161 2689 8197
      2679 8206 2687 8207 2690 8211 2695 8207
      2691 8214 2693 8217 2678 8214 2675 8224
      2669 8223 2669 8219 2672 8217 2670 8214
TIME...MOT...LOC 2105Z 152DEG 17KT 2707 8176 2698 8202
          2682 8212

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
509 PM EDT SAT JUL 21 2012

FLZ062-065-212200-
CHARLOTTE-LEE-
509 PM EDT SAT JUL 21 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTHEASTERN
LEE AND SOUTHEASTERN CHARLOTTE COUNTIES FOR A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS VALID UNTIL 600 PM EDT...

AT 503 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM LOCATED NEAR LEHIGH ACRES...MOVING NORTHWEST AT
15 MPH WILL AFFECT LEHIGH ACRES...FORT MYERS SHORES...TICE AND
SUNCOAST ESTATES.

GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WHICH CAN CAUSE UNSECURED
OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND...SNAP TREE LIMBS AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES.
FREQUENT TO CONTINUOUS LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. TO BE SAFE GO INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...FIND A LOW SPOT...AND STAY AWAY FROM
TALL OBJECTS. WHEN DRIVING THROUGH HEAVY RAIN...SLOW DOWN. ALWAYS
LEAVE A SAFE DISTANCE BETWEEN YOU AND OTHER VEHICLES.

&&

LAT...LON 2672 8195 2694 8169 2682 8155 2662 8156
      2652 8166
TIME...MOT...LOC 2109Z 130DEG 15KT 2665 8167