Severe Thunderstorm Warning 10, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

617 
WWUS52 KTBW 291609
SVSTBW

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1209 PM EDT TUE MAY 29 2012

FLC017-053-291630-
/O.CON.KTBW.SV.W.0010.000000T0000Z-120529T1630Z/
HERNANDO FL-CITRUS FL-
1209 PM EDT TUE MAY 29 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1230 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN CITRUS AND NORTHWESTERN HERNANDO COUNTIES...

AT 1206 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM CRYSTAL
RIVER AIRPORT TO CHASSAHOWITZKA TO 9 MILES WEST OF PINE ISLAND...OR
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM HOMOSASSA SPRINGS TO 6 MILES SOUTH OF
HOMOSASSA SPRINGS TO 16 MILES NORTHWEST OF HUDSON...MOVING EAST AT 35
MPH.

LAT...LON 2887 8274 2889 8270 2891 8270 2891 8241
      2867 8239 2849 8264 2849 8269 2854 8267
      2865 8269 2869 8268 2871 8273 2875 8270
      2878 8271 2877 8274 2878 8276
TIME...MOT...LOC 1609Z 268DEG 28KT 2884 8256 2871 8254
          2857 8278

$$

489 
WWUS52 KTBW 291631
SVSTBW

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1231 PM EDT TUE MAY 29 2012

FLC017-053-291641-
/O.EXP.KTBW.SV.W.0010.000000T0000Z-120529T1630Z/
HERNANDO FL-CITRUS FL-
1231 PM EDT TUE MAY 29 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN CITRUS AND
NORTHWESTERN HERNANDO COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...

ALTHOUGH THE STORM HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS IT WILL CONTINUE 
TO PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN AS IT MOVES EAST INTO 
SUMTER COUNTY.

LAT...LON 2887 8274 2889 8270 2891 8270 2891 8241
      2867 8239 2849 8264 2849 8269 2854 8267
      2865 8269 2869 8268 2871 8273 2875 8270
      2878 8271 2877 8274 2878 8276
TIME...MOT...LOC 1609Z 268DEG 28KT 2884 8256 2871 8254
          2857 8278

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
1046 AM EDT TUE MAY 29 2012

.DISCUSSION...
HAVE SHOWERS AND STORMS FROM BERYL MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF
OF THE AREA THIS MORNING WITH MORE BEHIND IT ON THE WAY. HAVE
EXTENDED THE FLOOD WATCH THROUGH 4PM AS THE NEXT ROUND OF RAINS
MOVE IN. HAVE ALSO UPPED THE RAIN CHANCES FOR THE REST OF THE
AFTERNOON FOR THE UPDATE.

&&

.AVIATION...
WILL CONTINUE TO SEE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS WHICH COULD CAUSE SOME MVFR/LOCAL IFR CONDITIONS.
BEST CHANCES OF RAIN WILL BE NEAR TPA/PIE INTO EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON IN ASSOCIATION WITH RAIN BAND FROM BERYL...THEN EXPECT
CONVECTION TO SHIFT INLAND AWAY FROM TAF SITES. ALSO MAY SEE SOME
OCCASIONAL AREAS OF MVFR CEILINGS IN THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW
OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO. OTHERWISE...GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS CONTINUE AROUND 20 KNOTS ACROSS THE NORTHERN ZONES WITH
GENERALLY 10-15 KNOTS CENTRAL AND SOUTH. WILL KEEP THE SCA FOR THE
NORTH THROUGH 4PM. REST OF THE FORECAST GENERALLY ON TRACK AND NO
MAJOR CHANGES FOR THE UPDATE.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR CITRUS-
     HERNANDO-LEVY-PASCO-SUMTER.

GULF WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-TARPON
     SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

SHORT TERM/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...24/COLSON
LONG TERM/AVIATION...69/CLOSE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
529 AM EDT TUE MAY 29 2012

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-GMZ830-850-853-856-870-
873-876-292130-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
TAMPA BAY WATERS-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
529 AM EDT TUE MAY 29 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
TODAY...WITH THE BEST CHANCES OVER NORTHERN COUNTIES.

THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH LOCALIZED
FLOODING...FREQUENT AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING STRIKES...AND STRONG
GUSTY WINDS.

...FLOOD IMPACT...
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF BERYL WILL
CONTINUE TO KEEP THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING MAINLY ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PART OF THE AREA...WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING POSSIBLE OVER
OTHER AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEKEND...WITH THE MAIN THREATS BEING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH
GUSTY WINDS AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING STRIKES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION SHOULD NOT BE NEEDED TODAY...BUT SPOTTERS
SHOULD SELF-ACTIVATE IF UNEXPECTED SEVERE WEATHER OCCURS.

CARLISLE