River Flood Warning 28, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

304 
WGUS82 KTBW 221552
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 
1152 AM EDT WED AUG 22 2012

.A RIVER FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELED FOR THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR 
 MYAKKA HEAD...AND THE MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK.

...FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY 
RAINS FALL IN THE BASIN...WATER LEVELS COULD RISE AGAIN...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC081-221622-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-120824T0600Z/
/MKHF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1152 AM EDT WED AUG 22 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA HEAD
* AT 11AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.7 FEET 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET 


&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

MANATEE
 MYAKKA HEAD  11   5.7  WED 11 AM   5.7    5.7    5.4    4.6    5.0

$$

FLC115-221622-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-120824T0600Z/
/MKCF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1152 AM EDT WED AUG 22 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK
* AT 11AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.7 FEET 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET 
* IMPACT...AT 7 FEET...TRAILS, PICNIC AREAS, AND PARKING LOTS FLOOD
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 7.1 FEET ON AUG 2 
  2003.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

MYAKKA
 MYAKKA RIVE   7   6.7  WED 11 AM   6.8    6.5    6.3    6.1    6.0

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
907 PM EDT TUE AUG 21 2012

.UPDATE...FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OCCURRED TODAY AND IS STILL
ONGOING WITH THE HEAVIEST RAINS NOW FROM HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY SOUTH
TO CHARLOTTE AND LEE COUNTIES. SOME STRONG STORMS ARE MOVING
NORTHEAST ACROSS CHARLOTTE AND LEE COUNTIES AT THIS TIME...BUT
OTHERWISE IT IS MAINLY A RAIN EVENT.

THE AXIS OF MOISTURE HAS BEEN SLIPPING SLOWLY SOUTHWARD WITH RAIN
COMING TO AN END IN LEVY COUNTY FOR NOW. THIS TREND SHOULD
CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH RAINS ENDING OVER THE PENINSULA BEFORE
DAWN WHILE NEW SHOWERS DEVELOP OVER THE GULF. MODELS SHOW THE BEST
RAIN CHANCES FROM THE TAMPA BAY AREA NORTHWARD ON WEDNESDAY.

THE GRIDDED FORECAST AND POINT AND CLICKS ON THE WEB HAVE BEEN
UPDATED A FEW TIMES TO REFLECT CHANGES AS THEY OCCURRED. SOME
TWEAKS WILL BE MADE TO THE TEXT ZONE PRODUCTS...BUT NO SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES WERE MADE.

&&

.AVIATION...
SCATTERED CONVECTION AND AREAS OF STRATIFORM RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO
EFFECT TAF SITES THROUGH ABOUT 06Z CAUSING SOME MVFR/LOCAL IFR
CONDITIONS. SHOULD THEN SEE PRECIPITATION WIND DOWN BEFORE
REDEVELOPING AFTER 12Z WEDNESDAY WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STORMS
EFFECTING THE SITES DURING THE DAY. OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION GENERALLY
VFR CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS HAVE BEEN VARIABLE ACROSS THE WATERS BUT MOSTLY
BETWEEN SOUTHWEST AND NORTHWEST. THERE ARE SOME GUSTY WINDS WITH
THE HEAVIER SHOWERS SOUTH OF ENGLEWOOD...BUT OTHERWISE MAINLY LESS
THAN 15 KNOTS. SEAS WELL OFFSHORE HAVE CLIMBED TO 4 FEET WHICH
MEANS SOME 3 TO 4 FOOT SEAS MAY BE OCCURRING IN OUR OUTER WATERS.
OVERALL THE CURRENT MARINE FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE AND WILL JUST
MAKE MINOR TWEAKS THIS EVENING.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR CITRUS-HERNANDO-
     HILLSBOROUGH-LEVY-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-SUMTER.

GULF WATERS...NONE.

&&

UPDATE/MARINE...JILLSON
AVIATION...CLOSE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
501 AM EDT TUE AUG 21 2012

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-212345-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DESOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
501 AM EDT TUE AUG 21 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COMBINED WITH
ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL SUPPORT NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER ALL OF WEST CENTRAL
AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA TODAY AND TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND STORMS
WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP OVER THE ADJACENT GULF WATERS AFTER
SUNRISE THIS MORNING. THE SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE THEN EXPECTED
TO INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE AS THEY MOVE ONSHORE THE FLORIDA
WEST COAST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. SOME OF THE STORMS
COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL. IN
ADDITION SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING
STRIKES WILL ACCOMPANY THE STORMS.

...FLOOD IMPACT...
THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTH FLORIDA WILL BE THE FOCUS
FOR NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. DEEP TROPICAL
MOISTURE OVER THE AREA WILL CREATE IDEAL CONDITIONS FOR VERY
HEAVY RAIN. SLOW MOVING BANDS OF THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALLOW FOR
TRAINING TO DEVELOP WHICH COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL WHICH MAY CAUSE FLOODING OF ROADS AND LOW LYING AREAS.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY
WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NATURE COAST
WHERE A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTH FLORIDA WILL CONTINUE TO
PRODUCE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NATURE COAST
ON WEDNESDAY...WITH SCATTERED STORMS EXPECTED OVER THE REMAINDER
OF THE REGION. A FEW STORMS MAY BE STRONG WITH DAMAGING WINDS...BUT
THE MAIN THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

...FLOOD IMPACT...
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING OF STREETS AND LOW LYING AREAS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE NATURE COAST ON WEDNESDAY AS DEEP TROPICAL
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE IF NEEDED.

MCMICHAEL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
450 PM EDT TUE AUG 21 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0443 PM     HAIL             TEMPLE TERRACE          28.04N 82.38W
08/21/2012  E0.88 INCH       HILLSBOROUGH       FL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NICKEL SIZED HAIL WAS REPORTED IN THE TEMPLE TERRACE
            AREA.

&&

COLSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
503 PM EDT TUE AUG 21 2012

FLZ050-051-212200-
HILLSBOROUGH-PINELLAS-
503 PM EDT TUE AUG 21 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN PINELLAS AND WESTERN
HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES THUNDERSTORMS
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM TOWN N COUNTRY TO TREASURE
ISLAND...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM TAMPA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
TO SAINT PETE BEACH...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH...WILL AFFECT
WESTCHASE...SAINT PETE CLEARWATER AIRPORT...HIGHPOINT AND PINELLAS
PARK...UNTIL 600 PM EDT.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 75 BETWEEN EXITS 240 AND 266.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 4 BETWEEN EXITS 1 AND 14.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 275 BETWEEN EXITS 6 AND 53.

GUSTY WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH WILL OCCUR. FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED.
TO BE SAFE GO INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...FIND A LOW
SPOT...AND STAY AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE PEA
SIZE HAIL. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AND
WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 2794 8272 2789 8258 2784 8258 2787 8254
      2796 8256 2796 8266 2798 8262 2800 8268
      2799 8269 2816 8257 2816 8216 2771 8225
      2767 8270 2770 8255 2771 8262 2767 8274
      2780 8281
TIME...MOT...LOC 2102Z 259DEG 11KT 2804 8258 2775 8275

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
829 PM EDT TUE AUG 21 2012

FLZ062-065-220130-
CHARLOTTE-LEE-
829 PM EDT TUE AUG 21 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTHERN LEE
AND SOUTH CENTRAL CHARLOTTE COUNTIES FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH
STRONG WIND GUSTS VALID UNTIL 930 PM EDT...

AT 824 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED NEAR NORTH FORT MYERS...MOVING EAST AT
15 MPH WILL AFFECT FORT MYERS...NORTH FORT MYERS...SUNCOAST ESTATES
AND TICE.

GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WHICH CAN CAUSE UNSECURED
OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND...SNAP TREE LIMBS AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES.
FREQUENT TO CONTINUOUS LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. TO BE SAFE GO INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...FIND A LOW SPOT...AND STAY AWAY FROM
TALL OBJECTS. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO
AND WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. SMALL HAIL IS ALSO
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

&&

LAT...LON 2688 8167 2661 8160 2658 8197 2672 8205
TIME...MOT...LOC 0028Z 251DEG 12KT 2667 8192