Small Craft Advisory 28, NWS Tallahassee, FL

132 
WHUS72 KTAE 230133
MWWTAE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
933 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SATURDAY TO 8 AM EDT
MONDAY...

.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL HELP
TO INCREASE THE WINDS AND SEAS TO ADVISORY LEVELS SATURDAY...AS
IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD. WINDS AND SEAS WILL THEN LIKELY REMAIN
AT ADVISORY LEVELS INTO EARLY IN THE WORK WEEK AS THIS LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM DRIFTS SLOWLY WESTWARD.

GMZ750-755-230830-
/O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0027.120623T1500Z-120625T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
933 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SATURDAY TO
8 AM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SATURDAY TO
8 AM EDT MONDAY. 

* PEAK WINDS: EAST WIND INCREASING TO AROUND 15 KNOTS SATURDAY  
AFTERNOON.

* SEAS: 5 TO 7 FEET SATURDAY AFTERNOON...INCREASING SLIGHTLY
  SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ770-775-230830-
/O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0028.120623T1500Z-120625T1200Z/
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
933 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SATURDAY TO
8 AM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SATURDAY TO
8 AM EDT MONDAY. 

* PEAK WINDS: EAST WIND INCREASING TO AROUND 20 KNOTS SATURDAY
AFTERNOON.

* SEAS: 7 TO 9 FEET SATURDAY AFTERNOON...INCREASING SLIGHTLY
  SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

010 
WHUS72 KTAE 230949
MWWTAE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
549 AM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SATURDAY TO 8 AM EDT
MONDAY...

.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN THE EAST-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO WILL
HELP TO INCREASE THE WINDS AND SEAS TO ADVISORY LEVELS TODAY...AS
IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD. THIS DISTURBANCE MAY DEVELOP INTO A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR STORM AT SOME POINT THIS WEEKEND. LONGER
PERIOD SWELLS FROM THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO ARRIVE FROM THE SOUTH
AS WELL...AND THE MULTIPLE WAVE GROUPS MAY CREATE CHAOTIC SEA
CONDITIONS AT TIMES. THE ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS AND SEAS ARE
EXPECTED TO LAST AT LEAST TO MONDAY MORNING. MARINERS SHOULD STAY
UP-TO-DATE WITH THE LATEST FORECAST INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER THIS WEEKEND...AS A CLOSER APPROACH FROM A
TROPICAL STORM COULD LEAD TO HIGHER SEAS AND WINDS THAN ARE
CURRENTLY FORECAST.

GMZ750-755-232100-
/O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0027.120623T1500Z-120625T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
549 AM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING
TO 8 AM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING
TO 8 AM EDT MONDAY. 

* WINDS: INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS BY THIS
  AFTERNOON...AND TO AROUND 20 KNOTS THIS EVENING.

* SEAS: BUILDING TO 6 TO 9 FEET BY TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. SEAS
  WILL LIKELY CONTAIN A LARGE SWELL COMPONENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ770-775-232100-
/O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0028.120623T1500Z-120625T1200Z/
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
549 AM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING
TO 8 AM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING
TO 8 AM EDT MONDAY. 

* WINDS: INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. 

* SEAS: BUILDING TO 9 TO 12 FEET BY TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.
  SEAS WILL LIKELY CONTAIN A LARGE SWELL COMPONENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

08-LAMERS

282 
WHUS72 KTAE 231427
MWWTAE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1027 AM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SATURDAY TO 8 AM EDT
MONDAY...

.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN THE EAST-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO WILL
HELP TO INCREASE THE WINDS AND SEAS TO ADVISORY LEVELS TODAY...AS
IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD. THIS DISTURBANCE MAY DEVELOP INTO A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR STORM AT SOME POINT THIS WEEKEND. LONGER
PERIOD SWELLS FROM THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO ARRIVE FROM THE SOUTH
AS WELL...AND THE MULTIPLE WAVE GROUPS MAY CREATE CHAOTIC SEA
CONDITIONS AT TIMES. THE ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS AND SEAS ARE
EXPECTED TO LAST AT LEAST TO MONDAY MORNING. MARINERS SHOULD STAY
UP-TO-DATE WITH THE LATEST FORECAST INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER THIS WEEKEND...AS A CLOSER APPROACH FROM A
TROPICAL STORM COULD LEAD TO HIGHER SEAS AND WINDS THAN ARE
CURRENTLY FORECAST.

GMZ750-755-232130-
/O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0027.120623T1500Z-120625T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
1027 AM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY. 

* WINDS: INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS BY THIS  
AFTERNOON...AND TO AROUND 20 KNOTS THIS EVENING.

* SEAS: BUILDING TO 6 TO 9 FEET BY TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.
SEAS   WILL LIKELY CONTAIN A LARGE SWELL COMPONENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ770-775-232130-
/O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0028.120623T1500Z-120625T1200Z/
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1027 AM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY. 

* WINDS: INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* SEAS: BUILDING TO 9 TO 12 FEET BY TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.  
SEAS WILL LIKELY CONTAIN A LARGE SWELL COMPONENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

CAMP

963 
WHUS72 KTAE 232025
MWWTAE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
425 PM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT 8 AM EDT MONDAY...

.STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE MARINE AREA 
WITH THE AREA OF TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE IN THE EAST CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO. ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST
PERIOD WITH SEAS BUILDING TO AS HIGH AS 14 FEET WELL OFFSHORE BY
MONDAY. EXPECT WINDS AND SEAS TO GRADUALLY DECREASE ON TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY AS THE LOW PRESSURE AREA MOVES FURTHER WESTWARD
AWAY FROM THE REGION.

GMZ750-755-240230-
/O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-120625T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
425 PM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY. 

* WINDS: INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST AT AROUND 20 KNOTS THIS EVENING
  INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

* SEAS: BUILDING TO 6 TO 9 FEET BY TONIGHT WITH HEIGHTS AS HIGH AS
  8 TO 11 FEET SUNDAY NIGHT. SEAS WILL LIKELY CONTAIN A LARGE
  SWELL COMPONENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ770-775-240230-
/O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120625T1200Z/
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
425 PM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTHEAST AROUND 20 KNOTS...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS
  AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

* SEAS: 7 TO 10 FEET...BUILDING TO 8 TO 11 FEET BY SUNDAY. SEAS
  WILL LIKELY CONTAIN A LARGE SWELL COMPONENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

546 
WHUS72 KTAE 240219
MWWTAE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1019 PM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT 8 AM EDT MONDAY...

.STRONG SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE MARINE AREA ON THE
EAST SIDE OF DEBBY. ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT
THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ALREADY
OBSERVED AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. SEAS HAVE BEEN BUILDING AT A
FASTER CLIP THAN ORIGINALLY ANTICIPATED. OUR BUOY 42036 IS ALREADY
AT 11 FEET WITH A PERIOD OF 9 SECONDS. THE BUOY WEST OF ST.
PETERSBURG IS AT 14 FEET AND HAS RISEN 5 FEET SINCE 4 PM. WE
THEREFORE WILL BE BUMPING UP OUR SEAS FORECAST BY ABOUT 2 FEET
WITH MAXIMUM SEAS NOW FORECAST TO BE AROUND 14 FEET. KEEP IN MIND
THAT WE FORECAST SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS AND THAT MAXIMUM WAVE
HEIGHTS IN THIS EXPECTED SEA STATE COULD BE DOUBLE THAT VALUE.
NEEDLESS TO SAY...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL DEBBY
MOVES SUFFICIENTLY FAR TO THE WEST TO ALLOW WINDS AND SEAS TO
SUBSIDE. AT THIS POINT...WE EXPECT WINDS AND SEAS TO GRADUALLY
DECREASE BELOW HEADLINE CRITERIA BY TUESDAY.

GMZ750-755-240830-
/O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-120625T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
1019 PM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTHEAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* SEAS: BUILDING TO 7 TO 11 FEET OVERNIGHT. SEAS WILL LIKELY
  CONTAIN A LARGE SWELL COMPONENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ770-775-240830-
/O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120625T1200Z/
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1019 PM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTHEAST AROUND 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM
  FORCE.

* SEAS: BUILDING TO 10 TO 14 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. SEAS WILL
  LIKELY CONTAIN A LARGE SWELL COMPONENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

WOOL/GODSEY

517 
WHUS72 KTAE 241049
MWWTAE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
649 AM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY... 

.AT 5 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.3N...LONGITUDE 87.3W. THIS WAS ABOUT 220 MILES TO THE
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA...AND IT WAS MOVING NORTH
AT 3 MILES PER HOUR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 MPH. DEBBY IS
ALREADY PRODUCING SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN OUR
COASTAL WATERS FROM 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
ADDITIONALLY...DEBBY IS ALSO PRODUCING OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO TROPICAL
STORM FORCE IN PARTS OF THE NEARSHORE WATERS AS WELL...BUT AT THIS
TIME...SUSTAINED WINDS ARE MORE SUPPORTIVE OF A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY. AS THIS IS A VERY FLUID SITUATION...ALL MARINE INTERESTS
SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND ADVISORIES FROM
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

GMZ770-775-242200-
/O.CAN.KTAE.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120625T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.SC.Y.0029.120625T1800Z-120626T0000Z/
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
649 AM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY 
AFTERNOON...

...SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY.
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED BEFORE THEN DUE TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

* PEAK WINDS MONDAY AFTERNOON: SOUTHEAST AROUND 25 KNOTS WITH
  GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS.

* PEAK SEAS: 10 TO 13 FEET.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ730-765-242200-
/O.EXB.KTAE.SC.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-120626T0000Z/
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
649 AM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* PEAK WINDS: EAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* PEAK SEAS: 6 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ750-755-242200-
/O.EXT.KTAE.SC.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-120626T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
649 AM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTHEAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO
  TROPICAL STORM FORCE.

* PEAK SEAS: 6 TO 8 FEET BUILDING TO 10 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

17-GOULD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
655 AM EDT Fri Jun 22 2012

***Updated most recently for 12z Aviation Discussion**

.Synopsis and Short Term...(Rest of tonight through Sunday)...After
a fairly prolonged stretch of several dry days and nights across the
CWA, a feed of Tropical Moisture from the southeast was finally able
to produce some convection across parts of the Florida Big Bend and
Panhandle, especially further to the south of the AL/GA border. In
fact, as of late Thursday evening and early this morning, some
lighter showers are still ongoing across parts of the southern Big
Bend, with a few new bands of convection developing and moving E-NE
over the Coastal Waters. Furthermore, conditions are becoming very
close to cautionary levels over the Marine Area, so this will need
to be monitored throughout the remainder of tonight. In fact, there
appears to be enough evidence in MSAS and local OBS to hoist a SCEC
for the majority of the Coastal Waters.

For today, with generally easterly flow continuing at both the Sfc
and the 1000-700mb layer (to add a component of our Sea Breeze
Climo), not to forget to mention the influx of Tropical moisture
from the SE, expect a fairly similar PoP distribution as we saw on
Thursday, with the best chances of rain across the FL Big Bend and
Panhandle, once again favoring areas closest to the coast. Further
north, expect slightly higher PoPs than we saw on Thursday, with
generally 20s and 30s to the north of the border.

For Saturday and Sunday, the forecast becomes increasingly difficult
and problematic across our CWA, as much will depend on the
development, track, and evolution of the expected Tropical Low which
should be in the Central or Northern Gulf of Mexico as it gradually
forms over the weekend. Therefore, with so much uncertainty with the
present Model Suite, will definitely need a more definitive fcst
from NHC when their confidence increases, but for now, tried to use
a best blend approach for winds with the Nam12 and ECMWF where it
was possible, as the GFS wind magnitudes are extremely high at the
present time (30-35 kts), and likely too early as well as too high
for this current package. In any event, do feel a bit more confident
with PoPs as they should be gradually increasing from SE to NW over
the weekend with an increasing southeasterly fetch of Deep Tropical
Moisture.

&&

.Marine...With the developing Low Pressure system expected to move
into the Gulf of Mexico, winds and seas should be on the increase
through the weekend. Even today, the pressure gradient is expected
to tighten up enough to produce Small Craft Advisory conditions over
the offshore legs, before spreading further northward to the
nearshore legs off the Panhandle by tonight. The lone exception may
be the nearshore waters from Apalachicola to the Suwannee River,
where Advisory level conditions may not develop until Saturday.
Also, since this Low has a 70 percent chance of developing into a
Tropical Cyclone per the National Hurricane Center, please refer to
their latest forecasts and discussions for further details on this
system.

&&

.AVIATION [through 12z Saturday]...
VFR conditions should be the rule for the terminals today with
mostly mid-level cloud decks prior to the arrival of the main surge
of low-level moisture and rain showers this weekend. There may be a
brief reduction to MVFR in a shower or storm, but confidence is not
high enough to include. In fact, showers and storms should remain
scattered enough such that no prevailing RA or TS were included,
just some vicinity mentions at ECP, TLH, and VLD. ABY and DHN should
stay dry and to the north of most of the activity.

&&

.LONG TERM [Sunday Night through next Friday]...
The 00z set of model guidance has provided a nice clustering of
solutions related to the track of the cyclone that may be developing
over the Gulf in the 72-96hr timeframe (late Sunday - Monday), or at
the beginning of the extended forecast period. The recent runs of
the ECMWF, GFS, UKMET, and GEM all have a low position within 200mi
of each other in the aforementioned time window - centered roughly
around 27.5N / 88.5W. This offers good consensus on a number of
forecast elements through Monday Night, before the models begin to
diverge on the track of the low. Sunday Night to Monday Night is
looking like a rainy period with breezy SE winds (especially over
the coastal waters). Best PoPs are concentrated south of I-10 and
out over the Gulf.

For Tuesday and Beyond, confidence really decreases. The GFS stalls
the low closer to our area all week, while the GEM and ECMWF try to
push it west. However, despite the westward motion on the GEM and
ECMWF, they both maintain a ribbon of higher column RH along the
Gulf Coast for much of the rest of the week near a stalling front on
the southern periphery of the amplifying east coast trough. This
suggests that we would likely be able to hang onto at least some
isolated showers and storms even if the low vacated the area.
Therefore, 20-30% PoPs were maintained for much of the rest of the
week, except a little lower across the far northern part of our
forecast area.

It should be stressed that the disturbance near the Yucatan
Peninsula is still somewhat disorganized and therefore models may
not be initializing as accurately as possible. Given the inherent
uncertainty in the future track of this feature, people are advised
to keep a close eye on the weather this weekend.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Low-level moisture will be on the increase today as
easterly winds become more southeasterly. The forecast features a
protracted period of rain chances with fairly high relative
humidity. Afternoon minimum RH is not expected to fall below 35% and
thus no red flag conditions are expected for the next seven days.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   91  74  90  74  85 /  40  30  40  40  60
Panama City   89  76  88  76  85 /  50  30  40  40  50
Dothan        94  72  93  73  89 /  30  20  20  20  30
Albany        93  72  93  73  89 /  20  20  20  20  40
Valdosta      91  72  89  73  86 /  30  20  40  40  50
Cross City    89  73  86  75  85 /  50  40  50  60  60
Apalachicola  88  75  86  78  83 /  50  40  50  50  60

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
GA...None.
FL...High Risk of Rip Currents for coastal sections of Walton-Bay-
     Gulf-Franklin Counties on Saturday.

GM...Small Craft Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 8 PM EDT Saturday
     for Coastal waters From Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola
     FL out to 20 NM-Coastal waters from Apalachicola to Destin
     FL out 20 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 8 PM EDT
     Saturday for Waters from Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL
     from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Apalachicola to Destin FL from
     20 to 60 NM.

&&

Aviation/Fire Wx/Long Term...Lamers
Public/Marine...Gould

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
548 AM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-
GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-231100-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-
INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON-
COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON-
COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-
EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
548 AM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012 /448 AM CDT FRI JUN 22 2012/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE BEACHES OF THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE TODAY...

...THERE IS A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR THE OFFSHORE
WATERS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE THIS AFTERNOON AND THE NEARSHORE
WATERS TONIGHT...

A DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD TODAY...AND PER THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER...HAS A 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF DEVELOPING INTO A
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO
TIGHTEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS TODAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND RESULTING IN SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS
ALONG WITH AN INCREASING RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE BEACHES OF
THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE. FURTHERMORE...EVEN IF THIS
LOW DOES NOT MAKE A DIRECT IMPACT ON OUR REGION...A VERY MOIST
SOUTHEASTERLY FETCH OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL BRING INCREASING
CHANCES OF RAIN TO THE REGION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE BEACHES OF THE FLORIDA
BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...

...THERE IS A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL
WATERS THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY NIGHT...

AS MENTIONED ABOVE...ALL EYES WILL BE FOCUSED TO OUR SOUTH DURING
THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A TROPICAL CYCLONE
TO DEVELOP IN THE NORTHERN OR CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. DEPENDING ON
THE DEVELOPMENT...TRACK...AND EVOLUTION OF THIS SYSTEM...THE
POTENTIAL CLEARLY EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS OUR CWA.
THEREFORE...ALL INTERESTS ARE URGED TO KEEP TRACK OF THE LATEST
FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS POTENTIAL
SYSTEM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.

17-GOULD