Severe Thunderstorm Warning 42, NWS Tallahassee, FL

383 
WWUS52 KTAE 241936
SVSTAE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
236 PM EST FRI FEB 24 2012

GAC071-075-277-241946-
/O.CAN.KTAE.SV.W.0042.000000T0000Z-120224T2000Z/
TIFT GA-COLQUITT GA-COOK GA-
236 PM EST FRI FEB 24 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL COOK...
NORTHEASTERN COLQUITT AND SOUTHERN TIFT COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EST FRIDAY EVENING FOR
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA.

LAT...LON 3130 8306 3125 8338 3130 8344 3135 8344
      3140 8337 3146 8337 3147 8334 3149 8338
      3159 8306 3154 8306 3146 8314 3141 8313
      3136 8310 3133 8305
TIME...MOT...LOC 1936Z 254DEG 51KT 3138 8326

$$

GAC019-155-242000-
/O.CON.KTAE.SV.W.0042.000000T0000Z-120224T2000Z/
BERRIEN GA-IRWIN GA-
236 PM EST FRI FEB 24 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM EST
FOR SOUTHEASTERN IRWIN AND NORTHERN BERRIEN COUNTIES...

AT 231 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ENIGMA...MOVING EAST
AT 60 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
ALAPAHA...GLADYS AND GLORY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EST FRIDAY EVENING FOR
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA.

&&

LAT...LON 3130 8306 3125 8338 3130 8344 3135 8344
      3140 8337 3146 8337 3147 8334 3149 8338
      3159 8306 3154 8306 3146 8314 3141 8313
      3136 8310 3133 8305
TIME...MOT...LOC 1936Z 254DEG 51KT 3138 8326

$$

38-GODSEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
854 AM EST Fri Feb 24 2012

...Slight Risk of Severe Storms This Afternoon...

.UPDATE...
The 13z surface analysis places a 993 mb surface low near Lake Erie
will a trailing cold front southward to the Gulf coast states. The
upper level analysis shows broad troughing over the MS Valley.
Showers and thunderstorms were already developing ahead of the cold
front this morning across portions of central Alabama into
north-central Georgia. An unusually warm and moist airmass for this
time of year is in place across the local area with dewpoints in the
upper 60s and SBCAPE values between 1000-1500 j/kg already this
morning. Shear values are also high with 0-1 km shear values around
30 knots and 0-6 km shear values around 70 knots. Farther north
across north-central Georgia and Alabama, deep layer shear values
are in excess of 80 knots as observed on the BMX and FFC soundings
this morning.

Given this combination of instability and shear, we certainly cannot
rule out a few severe storms this afternoon. The main limiting
factor in this case is a lack of significant forcing across the
local area. The greatest lift is expected to pass just north of the
area and scrape the northern portions of the forecast area.
Therefore, we think the greatest threat of severe weather in our
forecast area will be across our southeast Alabama counties and the
northern counties of our southwest Georgia area. We think that the
main severe weather threats are going to be damaging winds and hail,
although given the amount of shear, we cannot rule out an isolated
tornado either. Although the speed shear is quite large, fortunately
the hodographs are fairly straight rather than sharply curved, and
this will act to limit the potential for stronger tornadoes compared
to what it might be otherwise. The hail potential with any storms
that do develop cannot be discounted given steep mid level lapse
rates in excess of 7C/km. In fact, the 12z TLH sounding had a
700-500 mb lapse rate of 8C/km.

&&

.AVIATION...
(Through 12z Saturday) MVFR cigs are expected to prevail at most of
the TAF sites today until the passage of a cold front later this
afternoon into the early evening hours. Southwest winds ahead of the
front are expected to be gusty later this morning into the afternoon
hours, and northwest winds will likely be gusty behind the front.
Showers and thunderstorms will accompany this frontal passage, and
some of the storms could be briefly strong to severe.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds and seas will increase out of the southwest this morning as
the pressure gradient increases out of the next approaching cold
front. Although winds will definitely reach Small Craft Advisory
levels behind this front tonight, it looks like today will remain at
cautionary levels outside of any showers and thunderstorms. We may
see a brief respite in winds and seas during Saturday evening before
a new low pressure system develops in the Gulf of Mexico and brings
advisory level conditions back to the marine area for Saturday night
and Sunday. Finally, scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms
are expected to develop from west to east out ahead of the cold
front today, and some of these storms could be strong to severe.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Thursday morning's low temperature of 68 degrees at the Tallahassee
airport tied the all time record high minimum temperature for the
month of February, which occurred in two other instances on 2-9-49
and 2-4-32. So far today, the low temperature has been only 73, but
this will probably not hold as the official low for the day. The low
temperature for today will likely occur just before midnight behind
the cold front.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   77  44  64  39  59 /  60  10  10  20  50
Panama City   75  45  62  44  59 /  50  10  10  30  50
Dothan        70  39  63  39  60 /  60  10  10  20  30
Albany        74  39  62  39  59 /  70  10  10  10  30
Valdosta      79  44  62  37  58 /  70  10  10  20  40
Cross City    81  50  65  40  62 /  50  20  10  20  50
Apalachicola  75  47  62  45  59 /  50  10  10  30  50

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Fire Weather Watch Saturday afternoon for Coffee-Dale-Geneva-
     Henry-Houston.

GA...Fire Weather Watch Saturday afternoon for Baker-Ben Hill-Berrien-
     Brooks-Calhoun-Clay-Colquitt-Cook-Decatur-Dougherty-Early-
     Grady-Irwin-Lanier-Lee-Lowndes-Miller-Mitchell-Quitman-
     Randolph-Seminole-Terrell-Thomas-Tift-Turner-Worth.

FL...Fire Weather Watch Saturday afternoon for Calhoun-Central Walton-
     Coastal Bay-Coastal Dixie-Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-
     Coastal Jefferson-Coastal Taylor-Coastal Wakulla-Gadsden-
     Holmes-Inland Bay-Inland Dixie-Inland Franklin-Inland Gulf-
     Inland Jefferson-Inland Taylor-Inland Wakulla-Inland Walton-
     Jackson-Lafayette-Leon-Liberty-Madison-South Walton-
     Washington.

GM...Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Saturday
     for Apalachee Bay-Coastal waters From Ochlockonee River to
     Apalachicola FL out to 20 NM-Coastal waters from Suwannee
     River to Keaton Beach FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from
     Apalachicola to Destin FL out 20 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Saturday
     for Waters from Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20
     to 60 NM-Waters from Apalachicola to Destin FL from 20 to
     60 NM.

&&

DVD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
646 AM EST FRI FEB 24 2012

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-
GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-251215-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-
INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON-
COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON-
COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-
EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
646 AM EST FRI FEB 24 2012 /546 AM CST FRI FEB 24 2012/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE TRI-STATE
REGION TODAY...

...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE BEACHES OF THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY...

...THERE IS A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY FOR THE COASTAL WATERS...

A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE OHIO VALLEY THIS MORNING
WILL MOVE RAPIDLY NORTHEAST TO UPSTATE NEW YORK BY THIS EVENING.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP OUT AHEAD OF THIS LOW'S TRAILING COLD FRONT OVER OUR REGION
TODAY WITH THE GREATEST THREATS BEING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO. ALSO...THE GREATEST THREAT
FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE OVER OUR NORTHEASTERN GEORGIA
ZONES THIS AFTERNOON...WHERE THE BEST INGREDIENTS FOR SEVERE
WEATHER ARE EXPECTED TO MATERIALIZE. THIS COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
RAPIDLY THROUGH THE REGION BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
WITH MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR MOVING IN FROM THE NORTHWEST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. HOWEVER...
THE FAIR WEATHER WILL NOT LAST FOR LONG THIS WEEKEND...AS A NEW
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING A COOL RAIN TO OUR REGION
FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.

17-GOULD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1241 PM EST FRI FEB 24 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1237 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 S MALONE              30.91N 85.16W
02/24/2012                   JACKSON            FL   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            TREE DOWN 3 MILES SOUTH OF MALONE IN JACKSON COUNTY.

&&

BOLDEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
113 PM EST FRI FEB 24 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1258 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CAMILLA                 31.23N 84.21W
02/24/2012                   MITCHELL           GA   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            TREES AND TELEPHONE LINES DOWN IN CAMILLA.

&&

BOLDEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
119 PM EST FRI FEB 24 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1258 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CAMILLA                 31.23N 84.21W
02/24/2012                   MITCHELL           GA   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            TREES AND TELEPHONE LINES DOWN IN CAMILLA.

&&

BOLDEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
212 PM EST FRI FEB 24 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1148 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 S MALONE              30.91N 85.16W
02/24/2012                   JACKSON            FL   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            TREE DOWN 3 MILES SOUTH OF MALONE IN JACKSON COUNTY.

&&

CORRECTED TIME OF EVENT

DVD