Severe Thunderstorm Warning 188, NWS Tallahassee, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
140 PM EDT Mon Jun 11 2012

...Expect Another Afternoon and Evening of Strong to Severe Storms
and Locally Heavy Rain...

.MESOSCALE DISCUSSION...
At 130 PM EDT, Large upper shortwave progressing across Cntrl Gulf
Coast. At lower levels, radar indicated a SW-NE oriented line of
storms from Walton county FL NEWD thru Henry county AL and Crisp
county GA. Line intensifying as MCV tracks EWD across FL Panhandle.
aided by strong diurnal heating, ML CAPES exceeding 2K J/KG, dew
points in low 70s and PWs near 2 inches. Also frontal boundary
oriented SW-NE across N FL helping to stimulate storms. Add 20-30 kt
deep layer SWLY flow and steep low level lapse rates and you have an
environment for organized multicells with damaging winds propagating
newd from panhandle to across SW GA. SPC monitoring trends in case a
watch need be issued.

Various obs and reports from Panhandle beaches this morning
indicated very rough conditions including various rescues. Rip
current risk was elevated from moderate to high to account for
this.

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
GA...None.
FL...High Risk Rip Currents Walton, Bay and Gulf thru 7 pm CDT.
GM...None.

&&

BLOCK/DVD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
420 AM EDT MON JUN 11 2012

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-
GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-120830-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-
INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON-
COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON-
COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-
EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
420 AM EDT MON JUN 11 2012 /320 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2012/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY ALONG THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE BEACHES. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TODAY. THERE MAY BE POCKETS OF STRONG HEATING IN THOSE AREAS THAT DO
NOT HAVE MUCH CLOUD COVER THIS MORNING...WHICH COULD CAUSE A FEW
STORMS TO BRIEFLY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH MARGINALLY SEVERE
WIND GUSTS BEING THE MAIN THREAT. LOCALIZED FLOODING OF LOW LYING
AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THE HEAVIER...SLOW
MOVING STORMS. THE MOST WIDESPREAD THREAT FROM TODAYS STORMS WILL
BE LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
EACH DAY. AT THIS TIME WIDESPREAD OR ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE
UNLIKELY...THOUGH AN ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORM IS ALMOST
ALWAYS POSSIBLE ON ANY SUMMER DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.

FOURNIER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1134 AM EDT MON JUN 11 2012

ALZ068-111600-
GENEVA AL-
1034 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR GENEVA COUNTY...

* UNTIL 1100 AM CDT

AT 1030 AM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM NEAR SAMSON...OR NEAR SELLERSVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 20
MPH.

PEOPLE IN CENTRAL GENEVA COUNTY...INCLUDING THE CITY OF SAMSON...
SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE
WEATHER THREATEN.

WINDS AROUND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3120 8570 3119 8569 3108 8568 3106 8610
      3118 8613 3120 8612
TIME...MOT...LOC 1534Z 257DEG 17KT 3114 8601

42-DVD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1155 AM EDT MON JUN 11 2012

ALZ065-066-111630-
COFFEE AL-DALE AL-
1055 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST COFFEE
AND SOUTHWEST DALE COUNTIES...

* UNTIL 1130 AM CDT

AT 1053 AM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES SOUTH OF ENTERPRISE...OR NEAR MOUNT PLEASANT...
MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

PEOPLE IN SOUTHEASTERN COFFEE AND SOUTHWESTERN DALE COUNTIES...
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LEVEL PLAINS AND DALEVILLE...SHOULD MONITOR
THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

WINDS AROUND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3127 8602 3142 8565 3127 8562 3127 8566
      3124 8567 3123 8569 3121 8569 3120 8571
      3120 8597 3121 8598
TIME...MOT...LOC 1555Z 251DEG 22KT 3121 8588

42-DVD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
118 PM EDT MON JUN 11 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 E OZARK               31.46N 85.63W
06/11/2012                   DALE               AL   911 CALL CENTER

            COUNTY DISPATCH REPORTED A TREE DOWN ON MARTIN ST. IN
            OZARK.

&&

LERICOS