Alert archive / Florida / High Surf Advisories in 2012

High Surf Advisory 3, NWS Tallahassee, FL

June 23, 20124 counties in Florida

NWS Tallahassee, FL issued this high surf advisory at Jun 23, 2012, 3:11 PM CDT for 4 counties in Florida. It took effect at Jun 23, 2012, 7:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 13 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 23, 2012, 3:11 PM CDT (20:11 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 23, 2012, 7:00 PM CDT
Expired
Jun 24, 2012, 7:32 AM CDT
In force
13 hr
Issued by
NWS Tallahassee, FL

Counties Bay County, FL, Franklin County, FL, Gulf County, FL, Walton County, FL

The radar

The Eglin Afb radar (KEVX), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 116 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 12:00Z on 2012-06-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 434 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 12:00Z on 2012-06-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -12 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
434 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-72 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
782 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
4 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-12 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-16 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

707 
WHUS42 KTAE 232011
CFWTAE

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
411 PM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012

...A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/
SUNDAY EVENING FROM DESTIN TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER ENTRANCE...

...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BEACHES OF
WALTON...BAY...GULF AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES FROM 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING THROUGH 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ MONDAY...

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK CONTINUES THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY
EVENING...

.A TROPICAL SYSTEM HAS FORMED ACROSS THE EAST CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW AROUND THE EASTERN
SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION HAS LED TO WATER LEVEL RISE ACROSS THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE BEACHES THIS AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION
TO ABOVE NORMAL TIDAL VALUES...HIGH SURF WILL BEGIN IMPACTING THE
BEACHES LATER THIS EVENING AND THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEKEND CREATING THE POTENTIAL FOR COASTAL EROSION AND DANGEROUS
RIP CURRENTS...WHICH WILL BE LIFE THREATENING FOR ANYONE ENTERING
THE SURF.

FLZ108-112-114-240900-
/O.NEW.KTAE.CF.Y.0001.120623T2011Z-120625T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.SU.Y.0003.120624T0000Z-120626T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.RP.S.0015.000000T0000Z-120625T0000Z/
SOUTH WALTON-COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-
411 PM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012 /311 PM CDT SAT JUN 23 2012/

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/
SUNDAY...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS
EVENING TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/
SUNDAY. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS HIGH SURF
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING TO
8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ MONDAY. 

* SURF...BREAKERS 3 TO 5 FEET THIS EVENING BUILDING TO 5 TO 7 FEET
  BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* COASTAL FLOODING...TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT LEAST ONE TO
  TWO FEET ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE SUNDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE CYCLE.
  OVERALL STORM TIDE OF 2 TO 4 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED AROUND THE
  TIME OF HIGH TIDE...WITH THE HIGHEST VALUES IN GULF COUNTY.

* TIMING...HIGH TIDES FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE OCCUR LATE SUNDAY
  MORNING BETWEEN 9 AM AND 11 AM. IT IS DURING THAT TIME THAT THE
  THREAT FOR COASTAL FLOODING WILL BE GREATEST.

* IMPACTS...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED...IMPACTING LOW
  LYING COASTAL ROADS. MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL EROSION IS
  EXPECTED WITH THE HIGH SURF THROUGH MONDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. PAY ATTENTION TO FLAGS AND
POSTED SIGNS. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...DO NOT
PANIC. REMAIN CALM AND BEGIN TO SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE. ONCE YOU
ARE AWAY FROM THE FORCE OF THE RIP CURRENT...BEGIN TO SWIM BACK TO
THE BEACH. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT.
EVEN A STRONG SWIMMER CAN BECOME EXHAUSTED QUICKLY.

&&

$$

FLZ115-240900-
/O.NEW.KTAE.CF.Y.0001.120623T2011Z-120625T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.SU.Y.0003.120624T0000Z-120626T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.RP.S.0015.000000T0000Z-120625T0000Z/
COASTAL FRANKLIN-
411 PM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SUNDAY...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM
EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SUNDAY. A HIGH
SURF ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN
EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* SURF...BREAKERS 2 TO 4 FEET THIS EVENING BUILDING TO 4 TO 6 FEET
  BY MIDNIGHT.

* COASTAL FLOODING...TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AROUND TWO FEET
  ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE SUNDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE CYCLE. OVERALL
  STORM TIDE OF 3 TO 5 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED AROUND THE TIME OF
  HIGH TIDE...WITH THE HIGHEST VALUES OCCURRING NEAR ALLIGATOR
  POINT.

* TIMING...HIGH TIDES ARE PREDICTED ACROSS FRANKLIN COUNTY AROUND
  SUNRISE ON SUNDAY AND ONCE AGAIN LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. COASTAL
  FLOODING WOULD BE MOST LIKELY AROUND THE TIMES OF THESE HIGH
  TIDES.

* IMPACTS...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED...IMPACTING LOW
  LYING COASTAL ROADS. MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL EROSION IS
  EXPECTED WITH THE HIGH SURF THROUGH MONDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. PAY ATTENTION TO FLAGS AND
POSTED SIGNS. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...DO NOT
PANIC. REMAIN CALM AND BEGIN TO SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE. ONCE YOU
ARE AWAY FROM THE FORCE OF THE RIP CURRENT...BEGIN TO SWIM BACK TO
THE BEACH. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT.
EVEN A STRONG SWIMMER CAN BECOME EXHAUSTED QUICKLY.

&&

$$

FLZ118-127-128-134-240900-
/O.NEW.KTAE.CF.Y.0001.120623T2011Z-120625T0000Z/
COASTAL JEFFERSON-COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-
411 PM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SUNDAY. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN TWO TO THREE
  FEET ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE SUNDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE. OVERALL
  STORM TIDE OF 4 TO 6 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED AROUND THE TIME OF
  HIGH TIDE...WITH THE HIGHEST VALUES OCCURRING BETWEEN SHELL
  POINT AND THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER ENTRANCE. 

* TIMING...HIGH TIDES ARE PREDICTED ACROSS FRANKLIN COUNTY AROUND
  SUNRISE ON SUNDAY AND ONCE AGAIN LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. COASTAL
  FLOODING WOULD BE MOST LIKELY AROUND THE TIMES OF THESE HIGH
  TIDES.

* IMPACTS...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED...IMPACTING LOW
  LYING COASTAL ROADS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$

38-GODSEY
3 follow-up statements
592 
WHUS42 KTAE 240635
CFWTAE

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
235 AM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

...A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SUNDAY
EVENING FOR COASTAL PORTIONS OF FRANKLIN...WAKULLA...AND JEFFERSON
COUNTIES...

...A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM
CDT/ SUNDAY EVENING FROM DESTIN TO CAPE SAN BLAS...AND FOR COASTAL
TAYLOR AND DIXIE COUNTIES IN THE FLORIDA BIG BEND...

...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BEACHES OF WALTON...
BAY...GULF AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES FROM 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS
EVENING THROUGH 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ MONDAY...

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK CONTINUES THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY
EVENING...

.TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS CONTINUING TO GRADUALLY GET BETTER
ORGANIZED...AND WAS CENTERED ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
APALACHICOLA AS OF THE 2 AM EDT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY FROM THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS WERE LOCATED
OVER MUCH OF THE NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF
THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION OF DEBBIE. THIS WAS GENERATING
INCREASING WAVE HEIGHTS OFFSHORE...INCREASING SOUTHERLY SWELLS
PROPAGATING TOWARDS AREA BEACHES...AND INCREASING TIDAL DEPARTURES
ESPECIALLY AROUND APALACHICOLA AND THE RIM OF APALACHEE BAY. THERE
IS INCREASING CONCERN THAT THE PERSISTENT SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL
CONTINUE TO PILE UP WATER ALONG THE SHORE...PARTICULARLY IN
FRANKLIN AND WAKULLA COUNTIES WHERE COASTAL FLOODING MAY BE
ENHANCED BY THE WIND DIRECTION.

FLZ115-250000-
/O.UPG.KTAE.CF.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120625T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.CF.W.0001.120624T0635Z-120625T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.SU.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-120626T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.RP.S.0015.000000T0000Z-120625T0000Z/
COASTAL FRANKLIN-
235 AM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING.
THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* SURF...BREAKERS 4 TO 6 FEET. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...TIDES ARE NOW FORECAST TO INCREASE TO ABOUT 3
  FEET OR SO ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE SUNDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE
  CYCLE. OVERALL STORM TIDE OF 4 TO 6 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED AROUND
  THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE.

* TIMING...HIGH TIDES ARE PREDICTED ACROSS FRANKLIN COUNTY 
  AROUND SUNRISE ON SUNDAY AND ONCE AGAIN LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 
  COASTAL FLOODING WOULD BE MOST LIKELY AROUND THE TIMES OF 
  THESE HIGH TIDES. 

* IMPACTS...MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. THIS WOULD
  CAUSE OVERWASH ON COASTAL ROADWAYS SUCH AS HIGHWAY 98...AS WELL
  AS PORTIONS OF ST. GEORGE AND DOG ISLANDS. WATER MAY ALSO BEGIN
  TO SURROUND STRUCTURES IN LOW LYING AREAS THAT ARE NOT RAISED
  ABOVE GROUND LEVEL. MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL EROSION IS
  EXPECTED WITH THE HIGH SURF THROUGH MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. PAY ATTENTION TO FLAGS AND
POSTED SIGNS. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...DO NOT
PANIC. REMAIN CALM AND BEGIN TO SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE. ONCE YOU
ARE AWAY FROM THE FORCE OF THE RIP CURRENT...BEGIN TO SWIM BACK
TO THE BEACH. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP
CURRENT. EVEN A STRONG SWIMMER CAN BECOME EXHAUSTED QUICKLY.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

&&

$$

FLZ118-127-250000-
/O.UPG.KTAE.CF.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120625T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.CF.W.0001.120624T0635Z-120625T0000Z/
COASTAL JEFFERSON-COASTAL WAKULLA-
235 AM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING.
THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...TIDES ARE NOW FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 3 TO 4
  FEET ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE SUNDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE CYCLE.
  OVERALL STORM TIDE OF 5 TO 7 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED AROUND THE
  TIME OF HIGH TIDE.

* TIMING...HIGH TIDES ARE PREDICTED ACROSS WAKULLA AND JEFFERSON
  COUNTIES AROUND SUNRISE ON SUNDAY AND ONCE AGAIN LATE SUNDAY
  AFTERNOON. COASTAL FLOODING WOULD BE MOST LIKELY AROUND THE
  TIMES OF THESE HIGH TIDES.

* IMPACTS...MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. THIS WOULD
  CAUSE OVERWASH ON COASTAL ROADWAYS SUCH AS HIGHWAY 98. WATER MAY
  ALSO BEGIN TO SURROUND STRUCTURES IN LOW LYING AREAS THAT ARE
  NOT RAISED ABOVE GROUND LEVEL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

&&

$$

FLZ108-112-114-250000-
/O.CON.KTAE.CF.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120625T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.SU.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-120626T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.RP.S.0015.000000T0000Z-120625T0000Z/
SOUTH WALTON-COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-
235 AM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012 /135 AM CDT SUN JUN 24 2012/

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM
CDT/ THIS EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/
MONDAY...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

* SURF...BREAKERS 3 TO 5 FEET THIS EVENING BUILDING TO 5 TO 7 
  FEET BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT LEAST ONE 
  TO TWO FEET ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE SUNDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE 
  CYCLE. OVERALL STORM TIDE OF 2 TO 4 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED 
  AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...WITH THE HIGHEST VALUES IN GULF 
  COUNTY. 

* TIMING...HIGH TIDES FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE OCCUR LATE 
  SUNDAY MORNING BETWEEN 9 AM AND 1 PM. IT IS DURING THAT TIME 
  THAT THE THREAT FOR COASTAL FLOODING WILL BE GREATEST. 

* IMPACTS...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED...IMPACTING LOW 
  LYING COASTAL ROADS. MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL EROSION IS 
  EXPECTED WITH THE HIGH SURF THROUGH MONDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. PAY ATTENTION TO FLAGS AND
POSTED SIGNS. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...DO NOT
PANIC. REMAIN CALM AND BEGIN TO SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE. ONCE YOU
ARE AWAY FROM THE FORCE OF THE RIP CURRENT...BEGIN TO SWIM BACK
TO THE BEACH. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP
CURRENT. EVEN A STRONG SWIMMER CAN BECOME EXHAUSTED QUICKLY.

&&

$$

FLZ128-134-250000-
/O.CON.KTAE.CF.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120625T0000Z/
COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-
235 AM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* COASTAL FLOODING...TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN TWO TO THREE
  FEET ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE SUNDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE. OVERALL
  STORM TIDE OF 4 TO 6 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED AROUND THE TIME OF
  HIGH TIDE. 

* TIMING...HIGH TIDES ARE PREDICTED SHORTLY BEFORE SUNRISE ON
  SUNDAY AND ONCE AGAIN LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. COASTAL FLOODING
  WOULD BE MOST LIKELY AROUND THE TIMES OF THESE HIGH TIDES.

* IMPACTS...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED...IMPACTING LOW 
  LYING COASTAL ROADS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$

08-LAMERS
449 
WHUS42 KTAE 241013
CFWTAE

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
613 AM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

...A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SUNDAY
EVENING FOR COASTAL PORTIONS OF FRANKLIN...WAKULLA...AND JEFFERSON
COUNTIES...

...A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM
CDT/ SUNDAY EVENING FROM DESTIN TO CAPE SAN BLAS...AND FOR
COASTAL TAYLOR AND DIXIE COUNTIES IN THE FLORIDA BIG BEND...

...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BEACHES OF WALTON...
BAY...GULF AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES FROM 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS
EVENING THROUGH 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ MONDAY...

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

.TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS CENTERED ABOUT 220 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF PANAMA CITY AS OF THE 5 AM EDT NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
ADVISORY. HOWEVER...IT WAS TO THE NORTH AND THE EAST OF THE CENTER
OF CIRCULATION THAT RAIN WAS MOST PERSISTENT AND WINDS WERE
STRONGEST. THIS WAS GENERATING LARGE SWELLS THAT WERE IMPACTING
AREA BEACHES. STRONG...FREQUENT...AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL
CONTINUE ALONG THE BEACHES AND SURF TODAY WILL GENERALLY BE 6 TO 8
FEET. THIS WILL CREATE A VERY DANGEROUS ENVIRONMENT FOR ANYONE
ENTERING THE WATER. IT SEEMS AS THOUGH SWELLS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
INTO MONDAY REGARDLESS OF EVENTUAL WIND DIRECTION...AND THEREFORE
THE HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS HAS BEEN EXTENDED THROUGH MONDAY. A
BROAD AREA OF SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF OF
MEXICO WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO CREATE ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...AND THE
MORE FAVORABLE FETCH INTO FRANKLIN...WAKULLA...AND JEFFERSON
COUNTIES SHOULD LEAD TO A GREATER RISK OF COASTAL FLOODING IN
THOSE AREAS.

FLZ115-250000-
/O.EXT.KTAE.RP.S.0015.000000T0000Z-120626T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120625T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.SU.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-120626T0000Z/
COASTAL FRANKLIN-
613 AM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY...

* SURF...BREAKERS 5 TO 7 FEET.

* COASTAL FLOODING...TIDES SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE ABOUT 2 TO 3 FEET
  ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE SUNDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE CYCLE. OVERALL
  STORM TIDE OF 4 TO 5 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED AROUND THE TIME OF
  HIGH TIDE.

* TIMING...HIGH TIDES ARE PREDICTED ACROSS FRANKLIN COUNTY 
  AROUND SUNRISE ON SUNDAY AND ONCE AGAIN LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 
  COASTAL FLOODING WOULD BE MOST LIKELY AROUND THE TIMES OF 
  THESE HIGH TIDES. 

* IMPACTS...MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. THIS WOULD 
  CAUSE OVERWASH ON COASTAL ROADWAYS SUCH AS HIGHWAY 98...AS 
  WELL AS PORTIONS OF ST. GEORGE AND DOG ISLANDS. WATER MAY ALSO 
  BEGIN TO SURROUND STRUCTURES IN LOW LYING AREAS THAT ARE NOT 
  RAISED ABOVE GROUND LEVEL. MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL EROSION 
  IS EXPECTED WITH THE HIGH SURF THROUGH MONDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. PAY ATTENTION TO FLAGS AND
POSTED SIGNS. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...DO NOT
PANIC. REMAIN CALM AND BEGIN TO SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE. ONCE YOU
ARE AWAY FROM THE FORCE OF THE RIP CURRENT...BEGIN TO SWIM BACK
TO THE BEACH. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP
CURRENT. EVEN A STRONG SWIMMER CAN BECOME EXHAUSTED QUICKLY.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

&&

$$

FLZ118-127-250000-
/O.CON.KTAE.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120625T0000Z/
COASTAL JEFFERSON-COASTAL WAKULLA-
613 AM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* COASTAL FLOODING...TIDES SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE ABOUT 3 FEET
  ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE SUNDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE CYCLE. OVERALL
  STORM TIDE OF 4 TO 6 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED AROUND THE TIME OF
  HIGH TIDE.

* TIMING...HIGH TIDES ARE PREDICTED ACROSS WAKULLA AND JEFFERSON 
  COUNTIES AROUND SUNRISE ON SUNDAY AND ONCE AGAIN LATE SUNDAY 
  AFTERNOON. COASTAL FLOODING WOULD BE MOST LIKELY AROUND THE 
  TIMES OF THESE HIGH TIDES. 

* IMPACTS...MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. THIS WOULD 
  CAUSE OVERWASH ON COASTAL ROADWAYS SUCH AS HIGHWAY 98. WATER 
  MAY ALSO BEGIN TO SURROUND STRUCTURES IN LOW LYING AREAS THAT 
  ARE NOT RAISED ABOVE GROUND LEVEL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

&&

$$

FLZ108-112-114-250000-
/O.EXT.KTAE.RP.S.0015.000000T0000Z-120626T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.CF.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120625T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.SU.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-120626T0000Z/
SOUTH WALTON-COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-
613 AM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012 /513 AM CDT SUN JUN 24 2012/

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM
CDT/ THIS EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/
MONDAY...

* SURF...BREAKERS OF 6 TO 8 FEET.

* COASTAL FLOODING...TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT LEAST ONE 
  TO TWO FEET ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE SUNDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE 
  CYCLE. OVERALL STORM TIDE OF 2 TO 4 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED 
  AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...WITH THE HIGHEST VALUES IN GULF 
  COUNTY. 

* TIMING...HIGH TIDES FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE OCCUR LATE 
  SUNDAY MORNING BETWEEN 9 AM AND 1 PM. IT IS DURING THAT TIME 
  THAT THE THREAT FOR COASTAL FLOODING WILL BE GREATEST. 

* IMPACTS...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED...IMPACTING LOW 
  LYING COASTAL ROADS. MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL EROSION IS 
  EXPECTED WITH THE HIGH SURF THROUGH MONDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. PAY ATTENTION TO FLAGS AND
POSTED SIGNS. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...DO NOT
PANIC. REMAIN CALM AND BEGIN TO SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE. ONCE YOU
ARE AWAY FROM THE FORCE OF THE RIP CURRENT...BEGIN TO SWIM BACK
TO THE BEACH. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP
CURRENT. EVEN A STRONG SWIMMER CAN BECOME EXHAUSTED QUICKLY.

&&

$$

FLZ128-134-250000-
/O.CON.KTAE.CF.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120625T0000Z/
COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-
613 AM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* COASTAL FLOODING...TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AROUND TWO FEET
  ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE SUNDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE CYCLE.
  OVERALL STORM TIDE OF 4 TO 5 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED AROUND THE
  TIME OF HIGH TIDE.

* TIMING...HIGH TIDES ARE PREDICTED SHORTLY BEFORE SUNRISE ON 
  SUNDAY AND ONCE AGAIN LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. COASTAL FLOODING 
  WOULD BE MOST LIKELY AROUND THE TIMES OF THESE HIGH TIDES. 

* IMPACTS...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED...IMPACTING LOW 
  LYING COASTAL ROADS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$

08-LAMERS
576 
WHUS42 KTAE 241232
CFWTAE

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
832 AM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

...A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SUNDAY
EVENING FOR COASTAL PORTIONS OF WAKULLA AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES...

...A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT FOR
COASTAL TAYLOR AND DIXIE COUNTIES IN THE FLORIDA BIG BEND...

.TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS CENTERED ABOUT 195 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AS OF 8 AM EDT. A BROAD AREA OF SOUTHEASTERLY
WINDS OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE
ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IN WAKULLA AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES WHICH WILL LEAD
TO A GREATER RISK OF COASTAL FLOODING IN THOSE AREAS.

FLZ115-241345-
/O.CAN.KTAE.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120625T0000Z/
/O.CAN.KTAE.SU.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-120626T0000Z/
/O.CAN.KTAE.RP.S.0015.000000T0000Z-120626T0000Z/
COASTAL FRANKLIN-
832 AM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS CANCELLED THE
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING. THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
THOUGH THESE PRODUCTS ARE NO LONGER IN EFFECT...A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT AND THE THREAT FOR DANGEROUS COASTAL
FLOODING AND HIGH SURF CONTINUE. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE FOR MORE
INFORMATION.

$$

FLZ108-112-114-241345-
/O.CAN.KTAE.CF.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120625T0000Z/
/O.CAN.KTAE.SU.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-120626T0000Z/
/O.CAN.KTAE.RP.S.0015.000000T0000Z-120626T0000Z/
SOUTH WALTON-COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-
832 AM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012 /732 AM CDT SUN JUN 24 2012/

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS CANCELLED THE
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY. THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
THOUGH THESE PRODUCTS ARE NO LONGER IN EFFECT...A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT AND THE THREAT FOR DANGEROUS COASTAL
FLOODING AND HIGH SURF CONTINUE. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE FOR MORE
INFORMATION.

$$

FLZ118-127-250000-
/O.CON.KTAE.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120625T0000Z/
COASTAL JEFFERSON-COASTAL WAKULLA-
832 AM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* COASTAL FLOODING...TIDES SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE ABOUT 3 FEET 
  ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE SUNDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE CYCLE. 
  OVERALL STORM TIDE OF 4 TO 6 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED AROUND THE 
  TIME OF HIGH TIDE. 

* TIMING...HIGH TIDES ARE PREDICTED ACROSS WAKULLA AND JEFFERSON 
  COUNTIES AROUND SUNRISE ON SUNDAY AND ONCE AGAIN LATE SUNDAY 
  AFTERNOON. COASTAL FLOODING WOULD BE MOST LIKELY AROUND THE 
  TIMES OF THESE HIGH TIDES. 

* IMPACTS...MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. THIS WOULD 
  CAUSE OVERWASH ON COASTAL ROADWAYS SUCH AS HIGHWAY 98. WATER 
  MAY ALSO BEGIN TO SURROUND STRUCTURES IN LOW LYING AREAS THAT 
  ARE NOT RAISED ABOVE GROUND LEVEL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

&&

$$

FLZ128-134-250000-
/O.CON.KTAE.CF.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120625T0000Z/
COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-
832 AM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* COASTAL FLOODING...TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AROUND TWO 
  FEET ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE SUNDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE CYCLE. 
  OVERALL STORM TIDE OF 4 TO 5 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED AROUND THE 
  TIME OF HIGH TIDE. 

* TIMING...HIGH TIDES ARE PREDICTED SHORTLY BEFORE SUNRISE ON 
  SUNDAY AND ONCE AGAIN LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. COASTAL FLOODING 
  WOULD BE MOST LIKELY AROUND THE TIMES OF THESE HIGH TIDES. 

* IMPACTS...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED...IMPACTING LOW 
  LYING COASTAL ROADS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$

GODSEY

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this high surf advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high surf advisory went out at Jun 23, 2:55 PM CDT, 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 23, 2:55 PM CDT, 16 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
355 PM EDT Sat Jun 23 2012

.NEAR TERM...(This Afternoon)...Increasing onshore flow combined
with a weak surface trough over southern GA/AL is helping to spark a
few bands of scattered showers across the region. While this
activity will likely wane into the evening, additional showers over
the coastal waters may move onshore during the early evening hours.

.SHORT TERM...(Sunday through Tuesday).
The primary focus throughout the short term period will be on the
tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico. The models continue to have
difficulty with this system as has been well documented throughout
the last few days. The overall consensus in the models however is
for a slow westward drift to the develop in the next 24 to 36 hours
followed by a faster increase in speed to the west in the next 72 to
96 hours. One major uncertainty is how strong the southerly flow
will be on the back end of the system. Some of the models indicate
that this strong southerly flow will lead to the potential for
significant heavy rainfall across coastal areas into at least
Monday, and possibly longer. At this time, indicated the best chance
for rain across the coastal areas with rainfall amounts of 5 to 8
inches along the coast through Tuesday. Of course, these high
amounts depend in large part on where convective banding along the
outer edges of the cyclone develop. The potential for the higher
amounts is well indicated in the CAM set from 12z, however the
placement varies from model to model. Given the uncertainty with the
placement and timing of the heaviest rainfall, will delay issuing a
flood watch for now.

Coastal flooding is expected to be a concern throughout the next 36
hours. Tidal variations are already between 1 to 1.5 feet and are
expected to slowly increase as the magnitude of southerly flow
increases across the marine area. The greatest concern for coastal
flooding, albeit minor, will be from Alligator Point eastward to the
Steinhatchee River, however flooding elsewhere is possible. The
flooding threat should be limited to low lying roadways near the
immediate coast around the time of high tide.

High Tides: Apalachee Bay Side:     around 6 am and 6 pm on Sunday
            Panama City/Destin Side:between 10 am and 12 pm Sunday

.LONG TERM...[Wednesday through Saturday].
Although we were hoping for better agreement amongst the global
models for the extended fcst, the complexities of the developing
tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico combined with an upper level
pattern over the southern CONUS which is just diffuse enough to
allow for multiple possibilities for the final track of this
system, and we are unfortunately left with somewhat of a conundrum
for our CWA for much of the period. The 00 UTC Canadian, on the
other hand, has shifted quite dramatically from the past 2 cycles
from a western track into TX (similar to the ECMWF) to a slow
northward motion into LA and MS. While this track would typically be
far enough to the west not to have much of an impact on our region,
in this case, the Canadian keeps a very moist influx of deep
tropical moisture flowing into the region from the Gulf of Mexico.
This scenario would keep fairly high PoPs and QPF in the fcst into
Friday, which is quite a contrast from the GFS.

&&

.AVIATION...(Through 12Z Sunday)...MVFR to VFR conditions are
expected to prevail at area terminals through Sunday afternoon. Will
begin to see an increase in showers and thunderstorms by Sunday
morning, with the potential for conditions dropping below alternate
mins. With winds expected to remain up overnight, fog is not
anticipated.

&&

.MARINE...Strong southerly flow will continue over the marine area
with the area of low pressure in the East Central Gulf of Mexico.
Advisory conditions will continue throughout the forecast period
with seas building to as high as 14 feet well offshore by Monday.
Expect winds and seas to gradually decrease on Tuesday into
Wednesday as the low pressure area moves further westward away from
the region.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Moist flow off the gulf will keep humidity values
above critical levels through the early part of the week. No fire
weather concerns are anticipated.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   75  85  74  90  75 /  50  60  60  60  50
Panama City   78  83  75  87  77 /  60  70  60  60  60
Dothan        72  90  74  94  73 /  30  50  50  40  40
Albany        72  92  75  94  73 /  20  40  40  40  40
Valdosta      72  88  74  92  73 /  40  50  50  50  50
Cross City    75  86  75  89  75 /  50  80  60  60  50
Apalachicola  79  83  76  86  77 /  70  80  70  70  60

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
GA...None.
FL...Coastal Flood Advisory until 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ Sunday for
     Coastal Bay-Coastal Dixie-Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-
     Coastal Jefferson-Coastal Taylor-Coastal Wakulla-South
     Walton.

     High Surf Advisory from 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ this evening to 8 PM
     EDT /7 PM CDT/ Monday for Coastal Bay-Coastal Franklin-
     Coastal Gulf-South Walton.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Monday for Coastal waters
     from Ochlockonee River Entrance to Destin out to 60 nautical
     miles.

&&

Near Term/Aviation/Fire Weather...Camp
Long Term...Gould
Rest of Discussion...Godsey
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 23, 5:34 AM CDT, 9 hours 37 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
634 AM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-
241100-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-
INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-
EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
634 AM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012 /534 AM CDT SAT JUN 23 2012/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND INLAND AREAS OF THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CURRENTLY LOCATED IN THE EAST-CENTRAL GULF
OF MEXICO IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY MOVE NORTH THIS WEEKEND...AND
IT MAY DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR STORM. THERE IS
UNCERTAINTY IN THE FUTURE TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THIS SYSTEM.

A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY...BUT SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. HAZARDOUS WEATHER WOULD BE MORE POSSIBLE
FROM SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
DEPENDING ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF THE LOW...THERE MAY BE SOME
THREAT FOR HAZARDOUS WEATHER IN INLAND AREAS ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
THE MOST LIKELY THREAT WOULD BE RELATED TO HEAVY RAINFALL. THE
TROPICAL AIR MASS WILL SUPPORT VERY HEAVY RAIN RATES IN ANY RAIN
BANDS OR THUNDERSTORMS...AND THIS COULD LEAD TO SOME ISOLATED
AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING. HEAVY RAIN IS MOST LIKELY ALONG AND SOUTH
OF INTERSTATE 10 IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR
THE LATEST FORECAST INFORMATION GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY. NO FORMAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE REQUIRED FOR
TODAY OR THIS EVENING.

FLZ108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-
241100-
SOUTH WALTON-COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-
COASTAL JEFFERSON-COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
634 AM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012 /534 AM CDT SAT JUN 23 2012/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR COASTAL AREAS OF THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CURRENTLY LOCATED IN THE EAST-CENTRAL GULF
OF MEXICO IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY MOVE NORTH THIS WEEKEND...AND
IT MAY DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR STORM. THERE IS
UNCERTAINTY IN THE FUTURE TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THIS SYSTEM.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TODAY...AND A FEW OF THE
STORMS COULD PRODUCE SOME LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS. INCREASING
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CAUSE SEAS TO BUILD IN THE GULF OF MEXICO
WATERS...AND THE STRONG WINDS AND BUILDING WAVES WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. SURF HEIGHTS WILL INCREASE
THROUGH THE DAY ALONG AREA BEACHES AND RIP CURRENTS WILL BECOME
STRONGER AND MORE FREQUENT. THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS
AT ALL AREA BEACHES TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF THE LOW WILL DETERMINE THE DEGREE OF
HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED FOR COASTAL AREAS AND THE NORTHEAST
GULF OF MEXICO FROM SUNDAY INTO THE FIRST PART OF THE WORK WEEK.

AT THE VERY LEAST...CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS FOR SMALL
CRAFT THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY MORNING DUE TO A COMBINATION OF
GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS AND HIGH SEAS. INCOMING SOUTHERLY SWELLS
WILL KEEP SURF HEIGHTS ELEVATED...POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS 6 OR 7
FEET...ESPECIALLY ALONG BAY AND WALTON COUNTIES. THIS WILL ALSO
KEEP A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG ALL AREA BEACHES.

RAIN BANDS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BECOME INCREASINGLY FREQUENT
ON SUNDAY AND INTO MONDAY. SOME OF THE STRONGER RAIN BANDS AND
THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WINDS AND PERHAPS AN
ISOLATED TORNADO OR WATERSPOUT...ESPECIALLY IN OFFSHORE AREAS.

EVEN IF THERE IS NO DIRECT IMPACT FROM A TROPICAL CYCLONE...THE
PERSISTENT SOUTHEAST FLOW SHOULD LEAD TO TIDAL LEVELS ABOVE
NORMAL. COMBINED WITH BREAKING WAVE ACTION...THIS COULD CAUSE SOME
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AND OVERWASH...ESPECIALLY IN NORMALLY
FLOOD-PRONE AREAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR
THE LATEST FORECAST INFORMATION GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY. NO FORMAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE REQUIRED FOR
TODAY OR THIS EVENING.

08-LAMERS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tallahassee, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 23, 3:11 PM CDTCoastal Flood AdvisoryTAEBay, Dixie, Franklin, Gulf, Jefferson, Taylor and 2 more19 hr

Nearby

High Surf Advisories in Florida, 2012Every high surf advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.