Dense Smoke Advisory 9, NWS Tallahassee, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
954 PM EDT Tue May 29 2012

.UPDATE...
No major changes were made to the evening forecast. Storms in the
vicinity of Pensacola have begun to diminish, or evolve further
west of our local area. To the north, storms across southern TN
and northern AL/GA will continue through the night. There is a
chance that some of these storms will reach our northern Georgia,
and Alabama counties late tonight. However, any storms that do
reach our borders will have weakened significantly through the
night.

Broad troughing will remain in place over the southeastern part of
the country for the next several days. At the surface, high
pressure will build in behind Beryl (currently situated along the
GA/SC border). Afternoon seabreeze circulations and weak impulses
in the broad east coast trough will provide the support each
afternoon for scattered thunderstorms. However, probabilities will
remain low (in the 20-30% range). By the end of the week, rain
chances will increase as a frontal boundary approaches from the
west. Highs in the lower 90s with overnight lows in the lower 70s
are expected each day.

&&

MARINE...
Cautionary (borderline SCA) level winds will continue for the next
couple of hours across our eastern forecast waters. This is an
area where the pressure difference is great between Beryl to the
north, and high pressure in the Gulf. As Beryl moves away the
gradient will weaken and winds will subside. Winds and seas will
remain below headline criteria for the remainder of the period,
with only slight enhancements near shore each afternoon within the
afternoon seabreeze.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions are expected to hold at all terminals into the early
morning hours, when chances of patchy fog will increase. A few sites
may see MVFR conditions for a few hours beginning around 10Z. After
the fog diminishes by 14Z, VFR conditions will prevail.  Widely
scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected in the afternoon
and have mentioned VCTS at TLH and VLD to account for this
potential.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   75  93  70  92  71 /  20  30  20  30  20
Panama City   78  89  76  87  74 /  20  20  10  20  20
Dothan        71  94  71  92  70 /  20  20  10  30  20
Albany        68  95  71  94  70 /  20  20  10  30  20
Valdosta      70  93  68  93  70 /  30  30  20  40  20
Cross City    76  90  70  91  70 /  30  40  20  40  20
Apalachicola  79  88  75  86  74 /  20  30  10  20  10

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
GA...None.
FL...None.
GM...None.
&&

Harrigan/Evans

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
938 PM EDT TUE MAY 29 2012

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-
GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-310145-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-
INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON-
COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON-
COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-
EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
938 PM EDT TUE MAY 29 2012 /838 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2012/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.

HARRIGAN