Dense Smoke Advisory 7, NWS Tallahassee, FL

809 
WWUS72 KTAE 130706
NPWTAE

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
306 AM EDT FRI APR 13 2012

...THE DENSE SMOKE ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR EASTERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA AND EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND...


FLZ018-019-GAZ146>148-158>161-130815-
/O.CAN.KTAE.SM.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-120413T1200Z/
INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-THOMAS-BROOKS-
LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTICELLO...MADISON...GREENVILLE...
MOULTRIE...ADEL...SPARKS...NASHVILLE...THOMASVILLE...QUITMAN...
VALDOSTA...LAKELAND
306 AM EDT FRI APR 13 2012

...THE DENSE SMOKE ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS CANCELLED THE
DENSE SMOKE ADVISORY. 

RECENT SHORTWAVE INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY HAS INDICATED THAT THE
LARGE WILDFIRE IN NORTHERN BAKER AND COLUMBIA COUNTIES IN FLORIDA
HAS COOLED OFF QUITE A BIT. THIS HAS RESULTED IN NO REPORTS OF
VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS IN THE AREA ONCE COVERED BY THE DENSE
SMOKE ADVISORY DESPITE THE WIND SHIFT TO THE EAST. HOWEVER...
DURING THE HEATING OF THE DAY TODAY...THIS FIRE COULD GROW IN SIZE
AND HEAT CONTENT ONCE AGAIN...WHICH COULD POSSIBLY CREATE SOME SMOKE
PROBLEMS ONCE AGAIN FOR PARTS OF THE AREA.

$$

17-GOULD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1034 AM EDT Thu Apr 12 2012

.UPDATE...
High pressure is the dominant weather feature across the area,
providing clear skies and mild temperatures. The only concern is the
smoke plume from the large fire along the Baker/Columbia county
line. Satellite imagery shows that the outer edges of this plume are
already starting to shift into Dixie and Lafayette counties this
morning, and as the wind becomes more easterly over the next 24
hours, the plume is expected to continue shifting westward. We have
already added areas of smoke into the forecast for portions of the
southeast big bend today, and this will likely be expanded to
include a larger area tonight into Friday once we see the latest 12z
Hysplit runs. Portions of I-10 and I-75 will likely be impacted. A
dense smoke advisory is possible for portions of the area tonight
depending on the 12z model guidance.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the day with winds
becoming northeasterly around 10 knots. As winds gradually become
more due east late in the period, the next forecast cycle will have
to consider adding smoke into at least KVLD and possibly KTLH and
KABY depending on what the latest Hysplit model runs show.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds and seas should diminish some this afternoon after the
northeasterly surge this morning. Then, after a lull through Friday,
a rather extended period of cautionary to near small craft advisory
levels will begin later on Friday night and may last through much of
the weekend as the pressure gradient tightens across the marine
area.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   76  49  80  54  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
Panama City   74  54  78  61  80 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dothan        74  45  79  53  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
Albany        72  46  77  52  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
Valdosta      74  50  81  53  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
Cross City    78  51  81  54  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
Apalachicola  74  54  76  61  78 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Red Flag Warning until 6 PM CDT this evening for Coffee-Dale-
     Geneva-Henry-Houston.

GA...None.
FL...Red Flag Warning until 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ this evening for
     Calhoun-Central Walton-Coastal Bay-Coastal Dixie-Coastal
     Franklin-Coastal Gulf-Coastal Jefferson-Coastal Taylor-
     Coastal Wakulla-Gadsden-Holmes-Inland Bay-Inland Dixie-
     Inland Franklin-Inland Gulf-Inland Jefferson-Inland Taylor-
     Inland Wakulla-Inland Walton-Jackson-Lafayette-Leon-Liberty-
     Madison-South Walton-Washington.

     Fire Weather Watch from Friday afternoon through Friday evening
     for Calhoun-Central Walton-Gadsden-Holmes-Inland Bay-Inland
     Jefferson-Inland Walton-Jackson-Leon-Liberty-Madison-
     Washington.

GM...None.

&&

DVD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1048 AM EDT THU APR 12 2012

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-
GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-131100-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-
INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON-
COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON-
COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-
EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1048 AM EDT THU APR 12 2012 /948 AM CDT THU APR 12 2012/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
AREAS OF SMOKE WILL BE A CONCERN STARTING TODAY OVER THE SOUTHEAST
BIG BEND AND EXPANDING WESTWARD AND NORTHWARD TONIGHT TO INCLUDE
PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA AS WELL AS MORE OF
THE BIG BEND. REDUCED VISIBILITY IS POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
I-10 AND I-75 TONIGHT...AND A DENSE SMOKE ADVISORY FOR SOME AREAS
MAY BECOME NECESSARY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

AREAS OF SMOKE WILL LIKELY LINGER INTO FRIDAY. OTHERWISE...FAIR
WEATHER WITH A STEADY WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN ON FRIDAY AND
LINGER INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...BUT NO STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.

DVD/GOULD