Areal Flood Warning 9, NWS Tallahassee, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1216 PM EDT Tue Jun 26 2012

.UPDATE...Tropical Storm Debby continues to move slowly across
Apalachee Bay towards the eastern Big Bend. Then intensity has
dropped to 35 knots and the storm is expected to make landfall
early Wednesday. The surface boundary, which helped to trigger the
extreme rainfall yesterday, has weakened and shifted east this
morning. Latest surface analysis indicates this boundary runs from
the center of Debby northeast across Dixie county. Expect this
region to be the focus for additional heavy rain today. However,
the convection is not nearly as deep today as it was 24 hours ago.
Therefore, rainfall rates should not be as high today in the
eastern Big Bend. Despite this, any bands that do develop may
cause some additional flooding, given the saturated conditions.

Farther west, drier air continues to pour in from the north in the
wake of Debby. Have trimmed PoPs over the western zones to account
for latest conditions.

&&

.MARINE...Conditions will slowly begin to improve from west to
east over the next 24 hours as Debby moves inland over central
Florida. Have adjusted seas downward with the latest update to
match better with current buoy observations.

&&

.AVIATION...MVFR to IFR conditions will continue this morning at
KVLD and KTLH. These conditions will gradually improve starting
this evening. VFR conditions expected elsewhere.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   84  74  87  71  91 /  70  50  40  40  40
Panama City   87  77  88  75  90 /  60  30  30  30  30
Dothan        90  72  90  71  94 /  30  10  10  20  20
Albany        88  72  90  70  92 /  50  30  20  30  20
Valdosta      85  72  86  70  91 /  80  50  50  50  40
Cross City    82  75  83  72  91 / 100  60  60  60  50
Apalachicola  84  78  85  75  87 /  70  50  40  40  40

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
GA...None.
FL...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for Coastal Dixie-Coastal
     Taylor-Inland Dixie-Inland Taylor-Lafayette.

     TROPICAL Storm Warning for Coastal Dixie-Coastal Franklin-
     Coastal Gulf-Coastal Jefferson-Coastal Taylor-Coastal
     Wakulla-Inland Dixie-Inland Taylor-Lafayette.

     High Surf Advisory until 5 PM CDT this afternoon for Coastal Bay-
     South Walton.

GM...TROPICAL Storm Warning for Apalachee Bay-Coastal waters From
     Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola FL out to 20 NM-Coastal
     waters from Suwannee River to Keaton Beach FL out 20 NM-
     Coastal waters from Apalachicola to Destin FL out 20 NM-
     Waters from Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60
     NM-Waters from Apalachicola to Destin FL from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

Camp/Godsey/Harrigan

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
514 AM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-
GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-270915-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-
INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON-
COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON-
COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-
EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
514 AM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012 /414 AM CDT TUE JUN 26 2012/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THE MAJOR THREAT TODAY WILL BE FLOODING MAINLY ACROSS THE
EASTERN BIG BEND.

PLEASE SEE MIAAFDTAE AND MIAHLSTAE FOR MORE SPECIFIC INFORMATION.

FLORIDA...
     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR COASTAL DIXIE-COASTAL
     TAYLOR-INLAND DIXIE-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE.

     TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR COASTAL DIXIE-COASTAL FRANKLIN-
     COASTAL GULF-COASTAL JEFFERSON-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL
     WAKULLA-INLAND DIXIE-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-MADISON.

     HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR COASTAL BAY-
     SOUTH WALTON.

MARINE AREA...
     TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR APALACHEE BAY-COASTAL WATERS FROM
     OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS
     FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS
     FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM SUWANNEE
     RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

HAZARDS FROM DEBBY WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO AT LEAST WEDNESDAY
WITH A GRADUAL AND THEN MORE RAPID IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE WEATHER AND ANY FLOODING ISSUES.

REPORT HEAVY RAIN AMOUNTS AND FLOODING...AND ANY SEVERE WEATHER
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

BLOCK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
833 AM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     FLASH FLOOD      LAKE PARK               30.68N 83.19W
06/25/2012                   LOWNDES            GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            UP TO ONE FOOT OF WATER IN THE PARKING LOT OF SONNYS IN
            LAKE PARK GEORGIA.

&&

GODSEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1016 AM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 SSW CHAIRES CROSSROAD 30.40N 84.13W
06/26/2012  M13.50 INCH      LEON               FL   PUBLIC

            STORM TOTAL AT THE INTERSECTION OF LOUVINIA DR AND BRUSHY
            CREEK RD.

&&

HARRIGAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1136 AM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1133 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 E CURTIS MILL         30.01N 84.50W
06/26/2012  E28.78 INCH      WAKULLA            FL   PUBLIC

            UNOFFICIAL MEASUREMENT. STORM TOTAL. EMPTIED 7 INCH RAIN
            GAUGE 4 TIMES WITH AN ADDITIONAL .78 INCHES THEREAFTER.

&&

HARRIGAN