Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2012
Tornado Watch 93
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 20, 2012, 2:55 PM CDT for 31 counties in Arkansas. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 20, 2012, 2:55 PM CDT (19:55 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 20, 2012, 9:45 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 31 counties
Arkansas County, AR, Baxter County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Conway County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Grant County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Marion County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Perry County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR
The radar
The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 29 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 20%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 10%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
17 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Grant, Hot Spring, Pulaski, Saline | 46 min |
| Mar 20, 3:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Dallas, Grant, Saline | 38 min |
| Mar 20, 3:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Conway, Pope, Van Buren | 36 min |
| Mar 20, 3:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Faulkner, Grant, Lonoke, Pulaski, Saline | 25 min |
| Mar 20, 4:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Faulkner, Lonoke, Pulaski, White | 47 min |
| Mar 20, 4:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Conway, Faulkner, Stone, Van Buren | 44 min |
| Mar 20, 4:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Faulkner, Van Buren, White | 51 min |
| Mar 20, 5:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Cleveland, Jefferson, Lincoln | 41 min |
| Mar 20, 5:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Marion, Searcy, Stone, Van Buren | 51 min |
| Mar 20, 5:14 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Faulkner, Van Buren | 31 min |
| Mar 20, 5:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Cleburne, Izard, Stone, Van Buren | 38 min |
| Mar 20, 5:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Marion | 36 min |
| Mar 20, 6:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Prairie, White | 38 min |
| Mar 20, 6:15 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Independence, Izard, Stone | 19 min |
| Mar 20, 6:17 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Prairie, White | 28 min |
| Mar 20, 6:42 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Lonoke, Prairie, White | 33 min |
| Mar 20, 6:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Fulton, Izard | 28 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 193 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 223 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -72 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 474 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 39 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 175 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 222 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.1
- Supercell composite
- 1.3
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
419
WWUS20 KWNS 201957
SEL3
SPC WW 201957
ARZ000-210300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 93
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
255 PM CDT TUE MAR 20 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND EASTERN ARKANSAS
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 255 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS TO 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF MONTICELLO
ARKANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 92...
DISCUSSION...COMPOSITE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY CURRENTLY ROUGHLY BISECTING
AR WILL SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR INCREASING TSTM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH
LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING AS IT SLOWLY PROGRESSES EASTWARD...WITH
OTHER TSTMS POSSIBLE IN THE ADJACENT WARM SECTOR. A RELATIVELY
WARM/MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER IN CONJUNCTION WITH STRONG/DEEP SOUTHERLY
FLOW MAY YIELD STRONGER/SEVERE UPDRAFTS WITH THE QLCS...INCLUDING
EMBEDDED BOWING STRUCTURES AND A FEW SUPERCELLS. ISOLATED DAMAGING
WINDS AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES MAY BE POSSIBLE IN ADDITION TO HEAVY
RAINFALL.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21045.
...GUYER/THOMPSONSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 7:28 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Howard, Little River, Miller, Sevier | 9 hr |
| Mar 19, 8:48 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Sebastian, Washington | 57 min |
| Mar 19, 10:17 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Boone, Marion, Newton, Pope, Searcy | 58 min |
| Mar 19, 10:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Baxter, Boone, Marion, Newton, Searcy | 3 hr |
| Mar 20, 1:48 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Cleburne, Cleveland and 22 more | 117 min |
| Mar 20, 5:57 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Fulton, Independence, Izard, Jackson, Monroe and 4 more | 93 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.