Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 80

March 18, 201214 counties in Oklahoma; 37 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 18, 2012, 3:12 PM CDT for 14 counties in Oklahoma; 37 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 18, 2012, 3:12 PM CDT (20:12 UTC)
Expired
Mar 18, 2012, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 51 counties

Beaver County, OK, Beckham County, OK, Custer County, OK, Dewey County, OK, Ellis County, OK, Greer County, OK, Harmon County, OK, Harper County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Roger Mills County, OK, Texas County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Washita County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Baylor County, TX, Borden County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Carson County, TX, Childress County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Donley County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Foard County, TX, Garza County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hansford County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Howard County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Jones County, TX, Kent County, TX, King County, TX, Knox County, TX, Lipscomb County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Motley County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Ochiltree County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Wheeler County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX

The radar

The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 116 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
80%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
70%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

29 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 18, 3:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBChildress, Cottle, Hall59 min
Mar 18, 4:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBCottle, King51 min
Mar 18, 4:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNFoard, Hardeman, Knox54 min
Mar 18, 4:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBChildress66 min
Mar 18, 4:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBKing, Stonewall41 min
Mar 18, 4:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNGreer, Harmon, Jackson65 min
Mar 18, 5:22 PM CDTTornado WarningLUBKing38 min
Mar 18, 5:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACollingsworth19 min
Mar 18, 5:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNFoard, Hardeman64 min
Mar 18, 5:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNKnox54 min
Mar 18, 5:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBChildress18 min
Mar 18, 5:46 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNFoard29 min
Mar 18, 5:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBeckham, Greer, Harmon62 min
Mar 18, 6:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBorden, Dawson33 min
Mar 18, 6:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNJackson, Tillman64 min
Mar 18, 6:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBGarza, Lynn66 min
Mar 18, 6:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNFoard, Knox66 min
Mar 18, 6:54 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNGreer36 min
Mar 18, 7:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBCrosby, Lubbock65 min
Mar 18, 7:27 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNBeckham, Greer33 min
Mar 18, 7:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBCrosby, Floyd, Hale, Lubbock30 min
Mar 18, 7:42 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNBeckham, Greer, Kiowa, Washita33 min
Mar 18, 7:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBFloyd, Hale59 min
Mar 18, 8:00 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNBeckham, Washita38 min
Mar 18, 8:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBBriscoe, Hall41 min
Mar 18, 9:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBBriscoe, Hall15 min
Mar 18, 9:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACollingsworth, Donley, Gray44 min
Mar 18, 9:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBBriscoe, Hall12 min
Mar 18, 9:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACollingsworth, Donley, Gray5 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 115 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2012-03-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1066 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2012-03-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 123 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1066 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-188 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
832 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
123 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
75 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

695 
WWUS20 KWNS 182017 CCA
SEL0
SPC WW 182017 CCA
OKZ000-TXZ000-190300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 80...CORRECTED
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
315 PM CDT SUN MAR 18 2012

CORRECTED FOR TYPO IN STATE LISTING

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND THE EASTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
       PARTS OF NORTHWEST TEXAS INTO THE EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 315 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
GAGE OKLAHOMA TO 45 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF ABILENE TEXAS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEPENING CUMULUS ALONG
AND E OF THE DRYLINE FROM BIG SPRING TX NWD THROUGH THE CENTRAL/ERN
TX PANHANDLE...WITH THE MOST LIKELY AREA FOR STORM DEVELOPMENT
BETWEEN CHILDRESS AND BIG SPRING BY 21Z.  THE STORM ENVIRONMENT IS
BECOMING MORE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS AS BOTH DEEP-LAYER AND
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR INCREASE IN CONJUNCTION WITH DAYTIME HEATING/
DESTABILIZATION.  VERY LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY OF THE
SUSTAINED SUPERCELLS THROUGH THE EVENING...AND A FEW TORNADOES WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE GIVEN TEMPERATURE-DEWPOINT SPREADS GENERALLY AOB 20
F AND INCREASING EFFECTIVE SRH THROUGH THE EVENING.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 18, 2:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Beckham, Ellis, Greer, Harmon, Harper and 3 more119 min
Mar 18, 5:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Beckham, Ellis, Greer, Harmon, Jackson and 1 more84 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2012Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.