Alert archive / Louisiana / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 72

March 11, 2012Ashley County, Chicot County, Arkansas; 26 parishes in Louisiana; 12 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 11, 2012, 6:42 PM CDT for Ashley County, Chicot County, Arkansas; 26 parishes in Louisiana; 12 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 11, 2012, 6:42 PM CDT (23:42 UTC)
Expired
Mar 12, 2012, 2:53 AM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 40 counties

Ashley County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Acadia Parish, LA, Allen Parish, LA, Avoyelles Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, Cameron Parish, LA, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, Evangeline Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Iberia Parish, LA, Jefferson Davis Parish, LA, Lafayette Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Saint Landry Parish, LA, Saint Martin Parish, LA, St. Mary Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Vermilion Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Warren County, MS, Washington County, MS, Yazoo County, MS

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 11, 7:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMorehouse51 min
Mar 11, 7:31 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVCaldwell, LaSalle, Winn44 min
Mar 11, 7:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMorehouse, Richland, West Carroll37 min
Mar 11, 7:42 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANAshley, Chicot3 hr
Mar 11, 7:48 PM CDTTornado WarningJANMorehouse, West Carroll27 min
Mar 11, 8:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANEast Carroll, Madison38 min
Mar 11, 8:16 PM CDTTornado WarningLCHRapides29 min
Mar 11, 8:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChicot47 min
Mar 11, 8:48 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANEast Carroll, Franklin, Madison, Richland, Tensas117 min
Mar 11, 8:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHolmes, Humphreys, Sharkey, Sunflower, Washington, Yazoo52 min
Mar 11, 9:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMadison42 min
Mar 11, 9:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHRapides56 min
Mar 11, 9:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCarroll, Holmes, Humphreys, Yazoo27 min
Mar 11, 9:28 PM CDTTornado WarningLCHCameron, Jefferson Davis32 min
Mar 11, 9:42 PM CDTTornado WarningLCHJefferson Davis33 min
Mar 11, 10:06 PM CDTTornado WarningLCHJefferson Davis24 min
Mar 11, 10:20 PM CDTTornado WarningLCHJefferson Davis25 min
Mar 11, 10:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMadison, Yazoo45 min
Mar 11, 10:39 PM CDTTornado WarningLCHAcadia, Jefferson Davis36 min
Mar 11, 11:11 PM CDTTornado WarningLCHVermilion34 min
Mar 11, 11:13 PM CDTTornado WarningLCHAcadia, Evangeline, Saint Landry31 min
Mar 11, 11:42 PM CDTTornado WarningLCHVermilion33 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 11.7 hours before the alert went out and 163 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2012-03-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2012-03-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 201 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
960 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
201 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
235 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

531 
WWUS20 KWNS 112343
SEL2
SPC WW 112343
ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-120700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 72
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
645 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS
       CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA
       WESTERN MISSISSIPPI

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 645 PM UNTIL
200 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 85 MILES NORTHEAST OF MONROE
LOUISIANA TO 55 MILES SOUTHEAST OF FORT POLK LOUISIANA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 71...

DISCUSSION...CONVECTIVE COMPLEX WITH EMBEDDED LEWP STRUCTURES IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE EWD TOWARD THE MS RIVER THIS EVENING WITHIN
AMBIENT ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY MARGINAL INSTABILITY BUT RATHER
STRONG LOW AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR.  AS SUCH...EXPECT THE RISK FOR
LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS A COUPLE OF TORNADOES TO EXIST
WITH ANY MORE PERSISTENT/ORGANIZED STORM STRUCTURES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22030.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 11, 5:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Desha, Drew and 2 more84 min
Mar 11, 11:31 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBossier, Caddo, De Soto, Red River, Sabine89 min
Mar 11, 11:55 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAllen, Beauregard, Bienville, Bossier, Caddo, Calcasieu and 18 more7 hr
Mar 11, 2:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Beauregard, Bienville, Calcasieu, De Soto, Grant and 10 more118 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2012Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2012Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.