Alert archive / Illinois / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 601

August 31, 201221 counties in Illinois

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 31, 2012, 3:53 PM CDT for 21 counties in Illinois. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 31, 2012, 3:53 PM CDT (20:53 UTC)
Expired
Aug 31, 2012, 9:02 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 21 counties

Cass County, IL, Champaign County, IL, Christian County, IL, Clay County, IL, Coles County, IL, Cumberland County, IL, DeWitt County, IL, Douglas County, IL, Effingham County, IL, Jasper County, IL, Logan County, IL, Macon County, IL, Mason County, IL, Menard County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Moultrie County, IL, Piatt County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Shelby County, IL

The radar

The Lincoln radar (KILX), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
10%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
50%

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 114 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2012-08-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 947 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2012-08-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -60 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
947 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-143 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1049 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-60 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-45 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

297 
WWUS20 KWNS 312051
SEL1
SPC WW 312051
ILZ000-010300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 601
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
350 PM CDT FRI AUG 31 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       CENTRAL ILLINOIS

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 350 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 80 MILES WEST OF SPRINGFIELD
ILLINOIS TO 20 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF MATTOON ILLINOIS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 600...

DISCUSSION...AREA OF TSTMS IN W CNTRL IL...SOME OF WHICH HAVE SHOWN
LOW-LVL ROTATION...EXPECTED TO MOVE/DEVELOP NNE INTO CNTRL IL A BIT
LATER THIS AFTN/EVE.  STORMS MAY CONTINUE TO EXHIBIT LOW-LVL
ROTATION GIVEN PRESENCE OF DIFFUSE WNW-ESE WARM FRONT APPROACHING
SRN PART OF WW...AND CONTINUED NNE MOVEMENT OF REMNANT CIRCULATION
OF FORMER HRCN ISAAC.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 19030.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 31, 1:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Bond, Calhoun, Clinton, Franklin, Greene and 14 more64 min
Aug 31, 1:56 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAlexander, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Clinton, Fayette and 19 more8 hr
Aug 31, 6:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Champaign and 40 more89 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.