Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 103

March 23, 201245 counties in Indiana; 48 counties in Kentucky

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 23, 2012, 6:25 PM EDT for 45 counties in Indiana; 48 counties in Kentucky. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 23, 2012, 6:25 PM EDT (22:25 UTC)
Expired
Mar 24, 2012, 1:00 AM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 93 counties

Bartholomew County, IN, Boone County, IN, Brown County, IN, Carroll County, IN, Clark County, IN, Clinton County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Dearborn County, IN, Decatur County, IN, Delaware County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Fayette County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Franklin County, IN, Hamilton County, IN, Hancock County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Hendricks County, IN, Henry County, IN, Howard County, IN, Jackson County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Jennings County, IN, Johnson County, IN, Lawrence County, IN, Madison County, IN, Marion County, IN, Monroe County, IN, Montgomery County, IN, Morgan County, IN, Ohio County, IN, Orange County, IN, Perry County, IN, Putnam County, IN, Randolph County, IN, Ripley County, IN, Rush County, IN, Scott County, IN, Shelby County, IN, Switzerland County, IN, Tippecanoe County, IN, Tipton County, IN, Union County, IN, Washington County, IN, Wayne County, IN, Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Barren County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henry County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Larue County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Madison County, KY, Marion County, KY, Meade County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Owen County, KY, Russell County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Woodford County, KY

The radar

The Indianapolis radar (KIND), 96 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

24 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 23, 6:42 PM EDTTornado WarningINDBrown, Monroe, Morgan33 min
Mar 23, 6:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDBoone, Hendricks, Marion44 min
Mar 23, 6:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBreckinridge25 min
Mar 23, 7:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCrawford, Harrison37 min
Mar 23, 7:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBreckinridge, Meade14 min
Mar 23, 7:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDBrown, Monroe, Morgan41 min
Mar 23, 7:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBreckinridge, Hardin, Meade32 min
Mar 23, 7:51 PM EDTTornado WarningINDBrown24 min
Mar 23, 7:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCrawford, Orange, Washington17 min
Mar 23, 8:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDBrown, Johnson, Morgan50 min
Mar 23, 8:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDBrown, Jackson, Lawrence, Monroe40 min
Mar 23, 8:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBullitt, Hardin34 min
Mar 23, 8:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDJohnson, Shelby34 min
Mar 23, 8:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDBartholomew, Brown, Jackson, Johnson32 min
Mar 23, 9:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDDecatur, Jennings52 min
Mar 23, 9:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDJohnson, Shelby33 min
Mar 23, 9:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKGrayson, Hardin23 min
Mar 23, 9:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDHancock, Shelby36 min
Mar 23, 10:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDDelaware, Hancock, Henry, Madison, Rush47 min
Mar 23, 10:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKMarion, Taylor29 min
Mar 23, 10:52 PM EDTTornado WarningLMKCasey, Russell23 min
Mar 23, 11:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDDelaware, Henry60 min
Mar 23, 11:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKMercer, Washington25 min
Mar 23, 11:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKLincoln27 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 194 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2012-03-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 233 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2012-03-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 3 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
233 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-53 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1093 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
3 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
82 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

447 
WWUS20 KWNS 232227
SEL3
SPC WW 232227
INZ000-KYZ000-240500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 103
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
625 PM EDT FRI MAR 23 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN INDIANA
       CENTRAL KENTUCKY

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 625 PM
UNTIL 100 AM EDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF MUNCIE
INDIANA TO 35 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BOWLING GREEN KENTUCKY.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 101...WW 102...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE ALONG CONFLUENCE
ZONE ATTM ARCING SWD FROM NEAR LAFAYETTE IND TO NEAR BOWLING GREEN
KY AS MID/UPR LVL VORT LOBE NOW IN NE AR/W TN CONTINUES NEWD.
SLIGHTLY BACKED...RELATIVELY WARM/MOIST INFLOW AHEAD OF CONFLUENCE
ZONE AND CONTINUED COOLING/ASCENT ALOFT SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR A FEW
STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY LOW LVL
MESOCYCLONES/TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 23, 10:46 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDaviess, Dubois, Gibson, Greene, Knox, Martin and 6 more119 min
Mar 23, 12:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClay, Daviess, Gibson, Greene, Knox, Lawrence and 10 more7 hr
Mar 23, 2:28 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Daviess, Dubois, Gibson, Greene, Knox and 12 more62 min
Mar 23, 4:17 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Benton, Boone, Brown, Carroll, Clay and 35 more58 min
Mar 23, 4:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Boone, Brown, Carroll, Cass, Clinton and 18 more4 hr
Mar 23, 6:08 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Brown, Clark, Crawford, Dearborn, Decatur and 25 more37 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2012Tornado Watches in Indiana, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.