Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 584

August 18, 2012Cotton County, Jefferson County, Tillman County, Oklahoma; 34 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 18, 2012, 2:05 PM CDT for Cotton County, Jefferson County, Tillman County, Oklahoma; 34 counties in Texas. It took effect at Aug 18, 2012, 2:10 PM CDT. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 18, 2012, 2:05 PM CDT (19:05 UTC)
In effect from
Aug 18, 2012, 2:10 PM CDT
Expired
Aug 18, 2012, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 37 counties

Cotton County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Archer County, TX, Baylor County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Castro County, TX, Childress County, TX, Clay County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Foard County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Jack County, TX, Jones County, TX, Kent County, TX, King County, TX, Knox County, TX, Montague County, TX, Motley County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Throckmorton County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX, Wise County, TX, Young County, TX

The radar

The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 135 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

4 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 18, 4:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCooke, Denton, Wise54 min
Aug 18, 5:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDJack, Palo Pinto, Young57 min
Aug 18, 5:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDJack, Palo Pinto, Stephens, Young41 min
Aug 18, 5:59 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFWDDenton, Tarrant, Wise2 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 7.1 hours before the alert went out and 195 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2012-08-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 226 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2012-08-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 6 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
226 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-197 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2149 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
6 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
20 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 18, 3:52 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Beaver, Ellis, Harper, Woods, Woodward113 min
Aug 18, 9:29 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Blaine, Canadian, Custer, Dewey, Garfield and 5 more91 min
Aug 18, 1:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCotton, Jackson, Tillman2 hr
Aug 18, 5:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCotton, Jefferson, Tillman90 min
Aug 17, 7:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBowie2 hr
Aug 18, 6:29 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBowie2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.