Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 565

August 8, 201230 counties in Iowa

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 8, 2012, 2:21 PM CDT for 30 counties in Iowa. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 8, 2012, 2:21 PM CDT (19:21 UTC)
Expired
Aug 8, 2012, 8:00 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 30 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Appanoose County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Boone County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cass County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Greene County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Polk County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Story County, IA, Tama County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Warren County, IA, Wayne County, IA

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 38 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

6 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 8, 2:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXGreene53 min
Aug 8, 3:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBoone, Dallas, Greene, Guthrie43 min
Aug 8, 3:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Madison51 min
Aug 8, 3:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBoone, Story30 min
Aug 8, 3:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXDallas, Polk38 min
Aug 8, 4:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXJasper, Marion, Polk, Warren29 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 189 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2012-08-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 994 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2012-08-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 103 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
994 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-254 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1661 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
103 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
78 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

363 
WWUS20 KWNS 081921
SEL5
SPC WW 081921
IAZ000-090100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 565
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
220 PM CDT WED AUG 8 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL IOWA

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 220 PM UNTIL
800 PM CDT.

HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF DES MOINES IOWA TO 15 MILES EAST OF LAMONI IOWA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...A CLUSTER OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS WILL LIKELY INCREASE
IN COVERAGE/INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS IA...IN ADVANCE OF A
SEWD-MOVING MIDLEVEL TROUGH.  STEEP LAPSE RATES AND SURFACE HEATING
IN THE WAKE OF MORNING CLOUDS HAVE RESULTED IN MLCAPE IN EXCESS OF
1500 J/KG...IN AN ENVIRONMENT WITH SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR FOR
ORGANIZED MULTICELL CLUSTERS.  THE PRIMARY SEVERE RISKS WILL BE
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THROUGH THIS EVENING.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 31025.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 8, 12:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Calhoun, Carroll, Cass and 17 more62 min
Aug 8, 4:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Boone, Carroll and 36 more95 min
Aug 8, 4:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFremont, Harrison, Mills, Monona, Montgomery, Page and 2 more5 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.