Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 429

June 25, 201232 counties in North Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 25, 2012, 5:34 PM EDT for 32 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 25, 2012, 5:34 PM EDT (21:34 UTC)
Expired
Jun 25, 2012, 11:48 PM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 32 counties

Beaufort County, NC, Bertie County, NC, Camden County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Craven County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Dare County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Gates County, NC, Granville County, NC, Greene County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Nash County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Washington County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC

The radar

The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 106 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

10 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 25, 6:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQChowan, Gates, Hertford, Perquimans45 min
Jun 25, 6:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQBertie, Gates, Hertford, Northampton50 min
Jun 25, 6:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXDare65 min
Jun 25, 6:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHHalifax, Warren63 min
Jun 25, 7:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHEdgecombe49 min
Jun 25, 7:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXDare, Martin, Tyrrell, Washington71 min
Jun 25, 8:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHEdgecombe, Nash, Wilson68 min
Jun 25, 9:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHJohnston, Wake65 min
Jun 25, 10:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHWayne69 min
Jun 25, 11:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHCumberland, Harnett, Johnston, Sampson70 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 142 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2012-06-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 860 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2012-06-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 29 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
860 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-21 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
748 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
29 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
24 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

330 
WWUS20 KWNS 252133
SEL9
SPC WW 252133
NCZ000-CWZ000-260500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 429
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
535 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 535 PM
UNTIL 100 AM EDT.

HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST OF
ROCKY MOUNT NORTH CAROLINA TO 50 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
ELIZABETH CITY NORTH CAROLINA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE
WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 426...WW 427...WW 428...

DISCUSSION...PRE-FRONTAL BAND OF TSTMS ONGOING OVER S-CNTRL/SERN VA
IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD SEWD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING AHEAD OF 50 KT MIDLEVEL JET STREAK AND
ASSOCIATED...AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH.  THE COMBINATION OF A
MODERATELY UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR AND STRENGTHENING VERTICAL SHEAR
WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE BOWING LINE SEGMENTS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING
WINDS AND SOME HAIL.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 30030.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 25, 5:21 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Camden, Chowan, Craven, Currituck and 23 more24 min
Jun 25, 7:44 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Carteret, Chowan, Craven, Dare and 22 more61 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Carolina, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.