Alert archive / New Jersey / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 425

June 25, 20124 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 25, 2012, 6:39 AM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 25, 2012, 6:39 AM EDT (10:39 UTC)
Expired
Jun 25, 2012, 2:00 PM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 30 counties

Capitol Planning Region, CT, Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, CT, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Atlantic County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Nassau County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Suffolk County, NY, Westchester County, NY, Bucks County, PA, Chester County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA

The radar

The Brookhaven radar (KOKX), 73 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
50%

Warnings issued inside it

4 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 25, 7:16 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYNorthwest Hills Planning Region59 min
Jun 25, 7:58 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIMercer, Middlesex, Monmouth47 min
Jun 25, 9:12 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningOKXLower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region3 hr
Jun 25, 9:16 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXSuffolk29 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 00:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 73 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2012-06-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2012-06-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 68 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1702 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
68 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
118 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 25, 3:44 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 25, 6:21 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC24 min
Jun 25, 3:12 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC63 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Jersey, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Connecticut, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.