Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 389

June 14, 201228 counties in Minnesota; 7 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 14, 2012, 2:45 PM CDT for 28 counties in Minnesota; 7 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 14, 2012, 2:45 PM CDT (19:45 UTC)
Expired
Jun 14, 2012, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 35 counties

Blue Earth County, MN, Brown County, MN, Carver County, MN, Cottonwood County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Dodge County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Hennepin County, MN, Jackson County, MN, Le Sueur County, MN, Martin County, MN, McLeod County, MN, Nicollet County, MN, Olmsted County, MN, Ramsey County, MN, Redwood County, MN, Renville County, MN, Rice County, MN, Scott County, MN, Sibley County, MN, Steele County, MN, Wabasha County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Washington County, MN, Watonwan County, MN, Winona County, MN, Buffalo County, WI, Dunn County, WI, Eau Claire County, WI, Pepin County, WI, Pierce County, WI, Saint Croix County, WI, Trempealeau County, WI

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

15 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 14, 2:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBarron, Polk, Saint Croix47 min
Jun 14, 2:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDakota, Goodhue, Rice46 min
Jun 14, 3:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXGoodhue45 min
Jun 14, 4:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXWabasha40 min
Jun 14, 4:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXGoodhue36 min
Jun 14, 5:57 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMPXDakota, Goodhue, Rice4 hr
Jun 14, 6:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXGoodhue46 min
Jun 14, 7:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXDodge, Olmsted, Wabasha49 min
Jun 14, 7:19 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningARXWabasha3 hr
Jun 14, 7:29 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMPXGoodhue5 hr
Jun 14, 7:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXOlmsted, Wabasha, Winona25 min
Jun 14, 7:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXFaribault, Martin34 min
Jun 14, 8:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBlue Earth, Faribault, Freeborn, Waseca35 min
Jun 14, 8:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXBuffalo, Trempealeau29 min
Jun 14, 10:00 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMPXDakota, Goodhue, Rice4 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 58 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2012-06-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2012-06-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 475 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1268 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
475 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
442 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 13, 10:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClay, Norman, Traverse, Wilkin5 hr
Jun 14, 3:01 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Stone, Douglas, Grant, Otter Tail, Pope, Stevens and 2 more89 min
Jun 14, 7:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Benton, Carver, Chisago, Dakota, Hennepin and 9 more113 min
Jun 14, 1:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlue Earth, Brown, Chippewa, Cottonwood, Faribault, Jackson and 19 more2 hr
Jun 14, 2:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Marshall, Norman, Pennington, Polk, Red Lake and 1 more89 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.