Alert archive / Montana / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 340
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 2, 2012, 2:10 PM MDT for 33 counties in Montana. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 2, 2012, 2:10 PM MDT (20:10 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 2, 2012, 9:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 33 counties
Big Horn County, MT, Broadwater County, MT, Carbon County, MT, Carter County, MT, Cascade County, MT, Custer County, MT, Daniels County, MT, Dawson County, MT, Fallon County, MT, Fergus County, MT, Gallatin County, MT, Garfield County, MT, Golden Valley County, MT, Judith Basin County, MT, McCone County, MT, Meagher County, MT, Musselshell County, MT, Park County, MT, Petroleum County, MT, Phillips County, MT, Powder River County, MT, Prairie County, MT, Richland County, MT, Roosevelt County, MT, Rosebud County, MT, Sheridan County, MT, Stillwater County, MT, Sweet Grass County, MT, Treasure County, MT, Valley County, MT, Wheatland County, MT, Wibaux County, MT, Yellowstone County, MT
The radar
The Billings radar (KBLX), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
5 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 4:35 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Fergus | 22 min |
| Jun 2, 4:38 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Yellowstone | 52 min |
| Jun 2, 5:50 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Blaine, Chouteau, Fergus | 70 min |
| Jun 2, 5:57 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, McCone | 24 min |
| Jun 2, 7:30 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Garfield | 30 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Great_falls, MT (KTFX), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 172 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1977 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 28 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 66 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
641
WWUS20 KWNS 022012
SEL0
SPC WW 022012
MTZ000-030300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 340
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
210 PM MDT SAT JUN 2 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTH-CENTRAL AND EASTERN MONTANA
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 210 PM UNTIL
900 PM MDT.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF BOZEMAN MONTANA TO 25 MILES NORTH OF BAKER MONTANA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN BOTH COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY ACROSS PARTS OF CNTRL...SRN AND ERN MT THROUGH THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. MID/UPPER LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS WILL
ACT TO SUPPRESS RIDGE AXIS ACROSS THE REGION WITH SUBSEQUENT LARGE
SCALE ASCENT ACTING ON A MOIST AND WEAKLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS
SUFFICIENT TO RESULT IN SCATTERED VIGOROUS CONVECTION. DEEP-LAYER
SHEAR SHOULD ALLOW FOR UPDRAFT PERSISTENCE AND SOME ORGANIZATION
WITH CELLS AND/OR SHORT LINE SEGMENTS POSING A THREAT FOR SEVERE
HAIL AND HIGH WINDS. STORMS MAY CONGEAL ACROSS PORTIONS OF ERN MT
DURING THE EVENING WITH WIND POTENTIAL POSSIBLY INCREASING OVER
THESE AREAS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25025.
...CARBINSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 9:22 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Big Horn, Custer, Dawson, Fergus, Garfield, Golden Valley and 9 more | 53 min |
| Jun 2, 12:52 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Big Horn, Carbon, Custer, Fergus, Gallatin, Garfield and 11 more | 113 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Montana, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.