Alert archive / Mississippi / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 22

February 1, 201227 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Feb 1, 2012, 4:59 PM CST for 27 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 1, 2012, 4:59 PM CST (22:59 UTC)
Expired
Feb 1, 2012, 8:42 PM CST
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 27 counties

Alcorn County, MS, Attala County, MS, Benton County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Clay County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Union County, MS, Webster County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS

The radar

The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

9 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 1, 5:43 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCarroll, Grenada, Montgomery62 min
Feb 1, 5:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLafayette, Panola, Tallahatchie, Yalobusha46 min
Feb 1, 5:48 PM CSTTornado WarningJANCarroll, Grenada23 min
Feb 1, 6:13 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCalhoun, Lafayette, Pontotoc, Yalobusha47 min
Feb 1, 6:37 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChoctaw, Clay, Montgomery, Oktibbeha, Webster53 min
Feb 1, 6:48 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Choctaw, Montgomery, Winston57 min
Feb 1, 6:50 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCalhoun, Chickasaw, Lee, Pontotoc55 min
Feb 1, 7:26 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGChickasaw, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe64 min
Feb 1, 7:27 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClay, Lowndes, Oktibbeha63 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 127 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2012-02-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 34 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2012-02-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -28 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
34 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-85 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
838 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-28 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
53 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

272 
WWUS20 KWNS 012302
SEL2
SPC WW 012302
MSZ000-020500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 22
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
500 PM CST WED FEB 1 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 500 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CST.

HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHEAST OF GREENWOOD MISSISSIPPI TO 50 MILES NORTH OF TUPELO
MISSISSIPPI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 20...WW 21...

DISCUSSION...BOWING MCS WITH A WELL-ORGANIZED COLD POOL IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE EWD ACROSS NRN MS AT AROUND 40 KT.  UPSTREAM VAD DATA
FROM LITTLE ROCK INDICATE 50 KT WLY FLOW AT 2 KM AGL WHICH MAY BE
TRANSLATED TO THE SFC BY REAR-INFLOW JET DEVELOPING WITHIN TRAILING
STRATIFORM REGION OF MCS.  DOWNSTREAM AIR MASS SHOULD REMAIN BUOYANT
AND WEAKLY TO MODERATELY UNSTABLE FOR THE NEXT 1-3 HOURS...ALLOWING
FOR THE CONTINUED THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND SOME HAIL THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS.
A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION
VECTOR 27040.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 1, 1:06 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Amite, Franklin, Lincoln, Wilkinson114 min
Feb 1, 2:58 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Bolivar, Carroll, Coahoma, DeSoto, Grenada and 12 more2 hr
Feb 1, 3:45 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBolivar, Coahoma, DeSoto, Humphreys, Issaquena, Leflore and 8 more3 hr
Feb 1, 4:49 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAttala, Benton, Calhoun, Carroll, Chickasaw, Choctaw and 17 more56 min
Feb 1, 5:18 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHancock, Pearl River87 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Mississippi, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.