Alert archive / Mississippi / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 22
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Feb 1, 2012, 4:59 PM CST for 27 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 4 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 1, 2012, 4:59 PM CST (22:59 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 1, 2012, 8:42 PM CST
- In force
- 4 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 27 counties
Alcorn County, MS, Attala County, MS, Benton County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Clay County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Union County, MS, Webster County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS
The radar
The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
9 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 5:43 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Carroll, Grenada, Montgomery | 62 min |
| Feb 1, 5:44 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lafayette, Panola, Tallahatchie, Yalobusha | 46 min |
| Feb 1, 5:48 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Carroll, Grenada | 23 min |
| Feb 1, 6:13 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Calhoun, Lafayette, Pontotoc, Yalobusha | 47 min |
| Feb 1, 6:37 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Choctaw, Clay, Montgomery, Oktibbeha, Webster | 53 min |
| Feb 1, 6:48 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Attala, Choctaw, Montgomery, Winston | 57 min |
| Feb 1, 6:50 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Calhoun, Chickasaw, Lee, Pontotoc | 55 min |
| Feb 1, 7:26 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Chickasaw, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe | 64 min |
| Feb 1, 7:27 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Clay, Lowndes, Oktibbeha | 63 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 127 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 34 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -85 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 838 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 44 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -28 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 53 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
272
WWUS20 KWNS 012302
SEL2
SPC WW 012302
MSZ000-020500-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 22
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
500 PM CST WED FEB 1 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 500 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CST.
HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHEAST OF GREENWOOD MISSISSIPPI TO 50 MILES NORTH OF TUPELO
MISSISSIPPI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 20...WW 21...
DISCUSSION...BOWING MCS WITH A WELL-ORGANIZED COLD POOL IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE EWD ACROSS NRN MS AT AROUND 40 KT. UPSTREAM VAD DATA
FROM LITTLE ROCK INDICATE 50 KT WLY FLOW AT 2 KM AGL WHICH MAY BE
TRANSLATED TO THE SFC BY REAR-INFLOW JET DEVELOPING WITHIN TRAILING
STRATIFORM REGION OF MCS. DOWNSTREAM AIR MASS SHOULD REMAIN BUOYANT
AND WEAKLY TO MODERATELY UNSTABLE FOR THE NEXT 1-3 HOURS...ALLOWING
FOR THE CONTINUED THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND SOME HAIL THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS.
A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION
VECTOR 27040.
...MEADSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 1:06 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Amite, Franklin, Lincoln, Wilkinson | 114 min |
| Feb 1, 2:58 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Bolivar, Carroll, Coahoma, DeSoto, Grenada and 12 more | 2 hr |
| Feb 1, 3:45 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bolivar, Coahoma, DeSoto, Humphreys, Issaquena, Leflore and 8 more | 3 hr |
| Feb 1, 4:49 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Attala, Benton, Calhoun, Carroll, Chickasaw, Choctaw and 17 more | 56 min |
| Feb 1, 5:18 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Hancock, Pearl River | 87 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Mississippi, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.