Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 124

March 31, 201222 counties in Illinois; 12 counties in Iowa

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 31, 2012, 9:24 PM CDT for 22 counties in Illinois; 12 counties in Iowa. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 31, 2012, 9:24 PM CDT (02:24 UTC)
Expired
Apr 1, 2012, 6:00 AM CDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 34 counties

Cedar County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Linn County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Scott County, IA, Washington County, IA, Boone County, IL, Bureau County, IL, Carroll County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, Henry County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, Knox County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Lee County, IL, Marshall County, IL, McLean County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Ogle County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Stark County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Winnebago County, IL, Woodford County, IL

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 23 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
5%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
50%

Warnings issued inside it

13 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 31, 9:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCedar, Clinton, Jones, Scott66 min
Mar 31, 10:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNRock Island58 min
Mar 31, 11:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNJo Daviess54 min
Apr 1, 12:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHenry, Mercer, Rock Island64 min
Apr 1, 1:06 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXKnox54 min
Apr 1, 1:19 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNStephenson27 min
Apr 1, 1:59 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXKnox46 min
Apr 1, 2:20 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXPeoria, Stark55 min
Apr 1, 2:48 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXPeoria, Tazewell57 min
Apr 1, 3:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXPeoria, Woodford30 min
Apr 1, 3:40 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXTazewell, Woodford39 min
Apr 1, 3:43 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXMcLean, Tazewell47 min
Apr 1, 4:22 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXMcLean, Woodford38 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 00:00Z, 2.4 hours before the alert went out and 22 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2012-04-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2012-04-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 196 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1520 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
196 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
306 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

636 
WWUS20 KWNS 010224
SEL4
SPC WW 010224
IAZ000-ILZ000-010900-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 124
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
925 PM CDT SAT MAR 31 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       EAST CENTRAL IOWA
       NORTHWEST ILLINOIS

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 925 PM
UNTIL 400 AM CDT.

HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
CEDAR RAPIDS IOWA TO 5 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF MARSEILLES
ILLINOIS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 123...

DISCUSSION...AREA OF TSTMS RELATED TO LOW-LEVEL WAA WILL SPREAD
EWD/ESEWD FROM ERN IA INTO NW IL OVERNIGHT.  A FEED OF MUCAPE
APPROACHING 1000 J/KG AND SUBSTANTIAL CLOUD-LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR
WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED STORMS AND POTENTIALLY AN ELEVATED SUPERCELL
OR TWO...WITH AN ATTENDANT RISK FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED LARGE HAIL.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29030.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 31, 8:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBureau, Carroll, DeKalb, Henderson, Henry, Jo Daviess and 14 more53 min
Apr 1, 1:33 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, DeKalb, Fulton, Grundy and 21 more117 min
Apr 1, 7:56 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, DeKalb, Fulton, Grundy and 21 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.