Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 124
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 31, 2012, 9:24 PM CDT for 22 counties in Illinois; 12 counties in Iowa. It was in force for 9 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 31, 2012, 9:24 PM CDT (02:24 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 1, 2012, 6:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 34 counties
Cedar County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Linn County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Scott County, IA, Washington County, IA, Boone County, IL, Bureau County, IL, Carroll County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, Henry County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, Knox County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Lee County, IL, Marshall County, IL, McLean County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Ogle County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Stark County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Winnebago County, IL, Woodford County, IL
The radar
The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 23 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 5%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 5%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 5%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 50%
Warnings issued inside it
13 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 9:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Cedar, Clinton, Jones, Scott | 66 min |
| Mar 31, 10:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Rock Island | 58 min |
| Mar 31, 11:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Jo Daviess | 54 min |
| Apr 1, 12:26 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Henry, Mercer, Rock Island | 64 min |
| Apr 1, 1:06 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Knox | 54 min |
| Apr 1, 1:19 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Stephenson | 27 min |
| Apr 1, 1:59 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Knox | 46 min |
| Apr 1, 2:20 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Peoria, Stark | 55 min |
| Apr 1, 2:48 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Peoria, Tazewell | 57 min |
| Apr 1, 3:15 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Peoria, Woodford | 30 min |
| Apr 1, 3:40 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Tazewell, Woodford | 39 min |
| Apr 1, 3:43 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | McLean, Tazewell | 47 min |
| Apr 1, 4:22 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | McLean, Woodford | 38 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Davenport, (KDVN), launched 00:00Z, 2.4 hours before the alert went out and 22 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1520 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 41 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 196 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 306 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.3
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
636
WWUS20 KWNS 010224
SEL4
SPC WW 010224
IAZ000-ILZ000-010900-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 124
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
925 PM CDT SAT MAR 31 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EAST CENTRAL IOWA
NORTHWEST ILLINOIS
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 925 PM
UNTIL 400 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
CEDAR RAPIDS IOWA TO 5 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF MARSEILLES
ILLINOIS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 123...
DISCUSSION...AREA OF TSTMS RELATED TO LOW-LEVEL WAA WILL SPREAD
EWD/ESEWD FROM ERN IA INTO NW IL OVERNIGHT. A FEED OF MUCAPE
APPROACHING 1000 J/KG AND SUBSTANTIAL CLOUD-LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR
WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED STORMS AND POTENTIALLY AN ELEVATED SUPERCELL
OR TWO...WITH AN ATTENDANT RISK FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED LARGE HAIL.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29030.
...THOMPSONSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 8:52 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bureau, Carroll, DeKalb, Henderson, Henry, Jo Daviess and 14 more | 53 min |
| Apr 1, 1:33 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Bureau, Carroll, DeKalb, Fulton, Grundy and 21 more | 117 min |
| Apr 1, 7:56 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Bureau, Carroll, DeKalb, Fulton, Grundy and 21 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.