Alert archive / Oklahoma / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 848

May 20, 20128 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 20, 2012, 3:00 AM CDT for 8 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 90 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 20, 2012, 3:00 AM CDT (08:00 UTC)
Expired
May 20, 2012, 4:30 AM CDT
In force
90 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Caddo County, OK, Cleveland County, OK, Grady County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, McClain County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Pottawatomie County, OK, Seminole County, OK

The radar

The Norman radar (KTLX), 20 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 00:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 5 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Norman, OK at 00:00Z on 2012-05-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 539 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Norman, OK at 00:00Z on 2012-05-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 211 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
539 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-464 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1944 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
211 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
337 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

374 
ACUS11 KWNS 200801
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 200800
OKZ000-200930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0848
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0300 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CNTRL OK

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL

VALID 200800Z - 200930Z

SUMMARY...TRAINING CONVECTION WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH A THREAT FOR
HEAVY RAIN...INCLUDING RAINFALL RATES TO 2 IN/HR...ACROSS A NARROW
W-E CORRIDOR IN CNTRL OK.

DISCUSSION...WAA NORTH OF A CONVECTIVELY AUGMENTED BOUNDARY LYING
ACROSS SRN OK WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT CONVECTIVE BACKBUILDING
WITHIN A 35-MILE CORRIDOR EXTENDING FROM KIOWA COUNTY EWD THROUGH
GRADY/CLEVELAND COUNTIES AND FARTHER EAST INTO OKFUSKEE/HUGHES
COUNTIES. THE STRONG WAA PATTERN IS REVEALED BY FREDERICK OK VWP
DATA...WITH WINDS ABRUPTLY VEERING FROM SELY TO WLY FROM THE SFC TO
3 KM...WITH A NOTABLE NOCTURNAL BOUNDARY LAYER WIND MAX OF SSWLY AT
40 KT AROUND 1 KM AGL. SLOPED MOISTURE TRANSPORT/ISENTROPIC ASCENT
ATOP THIS BOUNDARY WILL MAINTAIN CONVECTIVE TRAINING FOR THE NEXT
HOUR OR TWO...AS MESO-BETA ELEMENTS ARE STEERED EWD/ENEWD BY 20-35
KT OF CLOUD-LAYER FLOW PARALLEL TO THE AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARY.
COLUMNAR SATURATION/LOW LCLS -- OWING TO EARLY CONVECTION -- WILL
SUPPORT HIGH PRECIPITATION EFFICIENCY AMIDST PW VALUES EXCEEDING 1.2
INCHES PER GPS DATA. RAINFALL RATES TO 2 IN/HR WILL BE OF CONCERN AS
STORMS REPEATEDLY MOVE OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS. THE THREAT FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL LIKELY DIMINISH/SHIFT SEWD AFTER 10Z...AS A DEEPER
BOUNDARY/COLD FRONT ACROSS NWRN/N-CNTRL OK UNDERCUTS ONGOING
CONVECTION WHILE MOVING SEWD.

..COHEN.. 05/20/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

LAT...LON   35419606 35219610 34989675 34879772 34829880 34919903
            35199883 35339805 35319747 35539637 35419606

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 19, 7:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Grant57 min
May 19, 9:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche and 21 more7 hr
May 19, 11:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche, Garfield, Grady and 16 more66 min
May 20, 1:30 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche, Creek, Garvin and 14 more90 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.