Alert archive / Louisiana / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 752

May 7, 20129 parishes in Louisiana

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 7, 2012, 7:21 PM CDT for 9 parishes in Louisiana. It was in force for 54 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 7, 2012, 7:21 PM CDT (00:21 UTC)
Expired
May 7, 2012, 8:15 PM CDT
In force
54 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%

Counties Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 00:00Z, 0.4 hours before the alert went out and 52 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2012-05-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 891 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2012-05-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 30 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
891 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-79 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1717 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
30 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
72 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

718 
ACUS11 KWNS 080022
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 080021
LAZ000-ARZ000-TXZ000-080115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0752
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0721 PM CDT MON MAY 07 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN LA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 080021Z - 080115Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS FAR SERN OK AND SWRN AR
WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP SSEWD INTO NRN LA. A RELATIVELY BRIEF
TEMPORAL THREAT OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS MAY EXIST.

DISCUSSION...A MORE WELL-DEFINED CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS
DEVELOPED ALONG THE MERGING COLD FRONT AND OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY...PROGRESSING SSEWD TOWARDS GREATER INSTABILITY. WEAK
LOW-MID LEVEL FLOW /GENERALLY ABOUT 20 KTS BELOW 500 MB PER 00Z LIT
AND SHV OBSERVED SOUNDINGS/ SHOULD MAINTAIN A LOOSELY ORGANIZED
NATURE OF THE ONGOING CONVECTION. STORMS MAY CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
STRONG TO SEVERE WINDS/HAIL FOR A FEW HOURS BEFORE NOCTURNAL COOLING
GRADUALLY BEGINS TO STABILIZE THE BOUNDARY LAYER.

..HURLBUT/THOMPSON.. 05/08/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...

LAT...LON   32999410 33079294 32899240 32659231 32279236 31919272
            31729315 31719363 32539420 32999410

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 7, 7:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Claiborne, De Soto, Red River and 1 more4 hr
May 7, 9:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Claiborne, De Soto, Red River and 1 more60 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Louisiana, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.