Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 488

April 10, 20124 counties in New Mexico; 5 counties in Oklahoma; 26 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 10, 2012, 2:35 PM MDT for 4 counties in New Mexico; 5 counties in Oklahoma; 26 counties in Texas. It was in force for 115 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 10, 2012, 2:35 PM MDT (20:35 UTC)
Expired
Apr 10, 2012, 4:30 PM MDT
In force
115 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 35 counties

Curry County, NM, Harding County, NM, Quay County, NM, Union County, NM, Beaver County, OK, Cimarron County, OK, Ellis County, OK, Roger Mills County, OK, Texas County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Carson County, TX, Castro County, TX, Childress County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Dallam County, TX, Deaf Smith County, TX, Donley County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hansford County, TX, Hartley County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Lipscomb County, TX, Moore County, TX, Ochiltree County, TX, Oldham County, TX, Parmer County, TX, Potter County, TX, Randall County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Sherman County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Wheeler County, TX

The radar

The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 83 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2012-04-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 408 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2012-04-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 53 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
408 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-171 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1308 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
53 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
61 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

919 
ACUS11 KWNS 102035
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102035 
OKZ000-TXZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-102230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0488
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0335 PM CDT TUE APR 10 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NM/SERN CO/OK AND TX PANHANDLES

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

VALID 102035Z - 102230Z

POTENTIAL FOR STORM DEVELOPMENT IS INCREASING ATTM ACROSS THE TX
PANHANDLE AND SURROUNDING AREAS.  LIMITED SEVERE POTENTIAL COULD
EVENTUALLY REQUIRE WW ISSUANCE.

LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS BANDS OF SLOWLY INCREASING CU
IN A NUMBER OF LOCATIONS INVOF THE TX PANHANDLE.  HOWEVER...WITH
LIMITED SHEAR AND INSTABILITY ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF THIS
AREA...OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW.  GREATEST
SEVERE THREAT WOULD APPEAR TO EXIST ACROSS NRN PORTIONS OF THE
AREA...WHICH LIES ON THE FAR SRN FRINGE OF THE STRONGER FLOW FIELD
ALOFT.  THOUGH THE OVERALL ENVIRONMENT APPEARS SUPPORTIVE OF LIMITED
STORM ORGANIZATION AND THUS ONLY LOW-END SEVERE POTENTIAL...WW MAY
BE WARRANTED IF TRENDS SUGGEST FAIRLY WIDESPREAD CONVECTIVE COVERAGE
WOULD BECOME LIKELY.

..GOSS.. 04/10/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...PUB...ABQ...

LAT...LON   36680428 37070453 37440347 36980059 36889991 36279955
            34260007 34140051 34050168 34330362 35490382 36680428

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 9, 6:33 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEddy, Lea57 min
Apr 9, 7:07 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCraig, Nowata, Osage, Rogers, Washington83 min
Apr 9, 7:54 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Comanche, Cotton and 14 more66 min
Apr 9, 11:52 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGreer, Harmon, Jackson, Tillman23 min
Apr 10, 12:56 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChoctaw, McCurtain64 min
Apr 9, 11:25 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrewster, Pecos, Presidio, Terrell35 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in New Mexico, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.