Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 474

April 7, 201232 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 7, 2012, 6:41 PM CDT for 32 counties in Texas. It was in force for 64 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 7, 2012, 6:41 PM CDT (23:41 UTC)
Expired
Apr 7, 2012, 7:45 PM CDT
In force
64 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 32 counties

Archer County, TX, Brewster County, TX, Brown County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Clay County, TX, Coke County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Concho County, TX, Crane County, TX, Crockett County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Erath County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Irion County, TX, Jack County, TX, Jones County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Runnels County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Terrell County, TX, Throckmorton County, TX, Tom Green County, TX, Upton County, TX, Young County, TX

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 11.7 hours before the alert went out and 129 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2012-04-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 993 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2012-04-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 145 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
993 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-242 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1189 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
145 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
148 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

739 
ACUS11 KWNS 072342
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 072341
TXZ000-080045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0474
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0641 PM CDT SAT APR 07 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN/N CNTRL TX INTO S CNTRL OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 150...

VALID 072341Z - 080045Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 150
CONTINUES.

A SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS WW 150 WITH THE PRIMARY
THREATS OF LARGE HAIL AND DMGG WINDS.

SFC ANALYSIS CURRENTLY DEPICTS A COLD FRONT ALONG A FST TO ABI TO
ADM LINE WITH THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING S OF BGS AND NEAR ABI. SURFACE
TEMPERATURES SOUTH OF THE FRONT ARE IN THE 80S WITH DEWPOINT VALUES
IN THE 60S. WARMEST TEMPERATURES...HIGHEST DEWPOINTS...AND BEST
CONVERGENCE ARE ALONG THE SRN PORTIONS OF THE FRONT /ABI SWWD
TOWARDS FST/. AS A RESULT...THE BEST CHANCE OF CONTINUING/INCREASING
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS IN THIS AREA. FARTHER N...WEAKENING WINDS
AND SLIGHTLY LOWER DEWPOINTS BRING UNCERTAINTY REGARDING CONVECTIVE
INITIATION. ADDITIONALLY...DESPITE SURFACE OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS
DEPICTING AN UNCAPPED ML PARCEL...WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT ASSOCIATED
WITH SWLY FLOW ARE LIKELY INHIBITING THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.

..MOSIER.. 04/07/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF...

LAT...LON   29310326 31040326 33999808 32279806 29310326

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 7, 2:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Brewster, Callahan, Clay, Coke and 21 more61 min
Apr 7, 3:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrewster, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho, Crane and 27 more9 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.